基于非平稳GEV模型的黄河源区枯季径流演变特征分析

为剖析气候变化对水文极值非平稳性的影响,采用5 a滑动平均和Mann-Kendall突变检验法对黄河唐乃亥水文站1957—2018年最枯多日平均流量进行非平稳检验;根据Kendall等级相关分析法优选气候指数,以时间和气候指数为协变量构建非平稳广义极值分布(generalized extreme value, GEV)模型,并进行参数估计与模型优选,对比平稳与非平稳GEV模型在枯季径流模拟中的应用效果。研究结果表明：黄河源区枯季径流呈现明显的非平稳特征;平稳GEV模型的模拟值偏高,以西太平洋指数为协变量的非平稳GEV模型对极值的拟合效果较好,且能较好地解释极端枯水事件的波动性。     

1998—2020年三峡库区最大1h降水的时空变化特征

以年、月最大1 h降水强度及其发生时间为指标,采用趋势检验、周期分析、经验正交函数和降水过程综合强度评估方法,分析了1998—2020年三峡库区最大1 h降水的时空变化特征。结果表明：库区年最大1 h降水发生时间有每隔约10 a前移至汛前的现象,主汛期7月最大1 h降水强度有8 a的循环周期;与2010年以前比,2010年后的库区强降水落区表现出自上游向坝址迁移的走势;若最大1 h降水强度相近,则降水持续时间长、覆盖范围广的降水过程,综合强度更高,对防洪安全影响更大。     

西藏自治区农家书屋工程可持续发展的几点思考

西藏自治区自2007年启动农家书屋工程以来,取得了很大的成绩。主要从图书资源、管理制度、人力资源、经费支持、制度保障等方面进行分析,对如何保持西藏农家书屋可持续发展提出了几点思考。     

Inventory of Sarcophaginae (Diptera: Sarcophagidae) for the Humid Chaco,a poorly surveyed ecoregion of South America

ABSTRACT

Sarcophaginae is a large subfamily of sarcophagid flies (Diptera: Calyptratae: Oestroidea: Sarcophagidae) which have diverse habits, mainly sarcosaprophagous, and have forensic and sanitary importance. This is the first work that analyzes the fauna of Sarcophaginae exclusively in the Humid Chaco ecoregion where diversity of flies has scarcely been studied. This inventory was based on: a) samplings at different locations in the province of Chaco, Argentina, and in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil; b) examination of entomological collections and c) bibliographic records. Sixty-two species of Sarcophaginae flies are included in this paper, of which 31 species are recorded for the first time in the Humid Chaco ecoregion. Ten species are new records for Argentina, two for Brazil and three for Paraguay. Lepidodexia (Neophytodes) lindneri Townsend, 1931, Lepidodexia (Notochaeta) adelina Mulieri, Schaefer, Duré and González, 2018, Lepidodexia (Pachygraphomima) lenti Lopes, 1980, Oxysarcodexia berthet Dufek and Mulieri, 2017, Oxysarcodexia ibera Dufek and Mulieri, 2017 and Retrocitomyia paraguayensis Lopes, 1985 are registered as endemic species of the Humid Chaco ecoregion. Species with forensically and sanitary importance are listed. Some comments on species distribution previously published in catalogues are provided.     

工矿城市功能定位转变的实证研究——以阳泉市为例

功能定位转变是工矿在持续发展中普遍面临的难题，本文简要讨论了这类城市功能定位转变的意义，并在分析阳泉市经济发展现状及其作为中心城市与腹地的关系基础上，指出山西东部区域中心城市是其新的功能定位，最后提出实现这一目标的对策和措施。     

中原经济区城市流强度时空变化分析

以中原经济区为研究区域,选取2000年和2009年两个时间截面,采用城市流强度模型,对中原经济区28个城市的城市流强度进行测度,根据计算结果将中原经济区28个城市的城市流强度分为高水平平稳型、较高水平增长型、较高水平缓增型等14种类型.结果显示,2000—2009年,中原经济区城市流强度空间整体格局保持不变,呈现围绕郑州、洛阳的圈层结构;中原经济区北部围绕郑州和洛阳形成城市流强度高梯度区域,而南部由于处于经济区边缘,且处于省际地区,为城市流强度低梯度区域,故在南北方向上北高南低;东西方向上,东部受经济近邻效应影响明显,而西部紧靠西部欠发达地区,故城市流强度东高西低;随着时间的变化,经济区核心城市的溢出作用开始凸显.     

A re-examination of 11 species of Otostigmus from the Indo-Australian region described by R. V. Chamberlin based on type specimens in the collection of the Museum of Comparative Zoology,Harvard (Chilopoda; Scolopendromorpha; Scolopendridae)

As a contribution to a revision of the scolopendromorph centipede subgenus Otostigmus of the genus Otostigmus, the type specimens of 11 species described by R. V. Chamberlin from the Indo-Australian region and in the collection of the Museum of Comparative Zoology at Harvard have been redescribed. Of these 11, six are junior synonyms of other Otostigmus species, one is a junior synonym of Rhysida longipes longipes (Newport, 1845) and one a nomen dubium. Only three, namely, Otostigmus amballae Chamberlin, 1913, Otostigmus proponens Chamberlin, 1920 and Otostigmus pamuanus Chamberlin, 1920 are valid.     

Typhlosyrinx -like tropical deep-water turriform gastropods (Mollusca,Gastropoda, Conoidea)

Based on radular and protoconch morphology, the genus Typhlosyrinx Thiele, 1925 has been successively classified in the subfamily Turriculinae of the family Turridae and in the subfamily Clathurellinae of the family Conidae. It is shown that the protoconch had earlier been misinterpreted, and the presence of a diagonally cancellated sculpture indicates a placement in the conid subfamily Raphitominae. Two conchologically similar genera, based on teleoconch sculpture and radular morphology are recognized: Typhlosyrinx, with axial ribbing on teleoconch spire whorls and a radula with long (250 μm) barbed teeth, and Leiosyrinx n. gen., without axial sculpture and a radula with short (<100 μm) simplified teeth. Five species (two new) of Typhlosyrinx and four species (all new) of Leiosyrinx are recognized, all at bathyal depths between 280 and 1840 m in the tropical Indo-Pacific and Panamic provinces. The two genera are not known earlier than the Pliocene, where they already occurred in deep-water assemblages.     

Dynamic Changes of the Farmers and Herdsmen’s Income Sources in the Tibet Autonomous Region

0Introduction Beingaregionrelativelybehindintermsofruraleconomicdevelopment,theTibetanAutonomousRegionin2003achievedanaveragenetincomepercapitaof1690yuan(RMB)for thefarmersandherdsmen,rankingthe4thnationwide.Comparedwiththatof2001,thisis aconsiderablerise,howeverthereisstillabiggapfromotherprovincesandregionsthatare economicallydeveloped[1].HowtoraiseTibetfarmersandherdsmen’sincome,improve livingqualityoftheminoritynationalityareasandpromoteregionaldevelopmenthavebecome thepriorityoftheCen…