尾部指标估计中的阈值选择

本文研究如何用较好的方法选择一个适当的阈值，计算尾部指标的Hill估计，然后加以比较，并以美元对日元的汇率为例，说明方法的使用．     

Drazin可逆算子在0点特征投影的刻画

研究了Drazin可逆算子在0点的特征投影,得到了两个结果:设A是Drazin可逆的,则Q=Aπ的充要条件是Q2=Q,AQ=QA,σ(AQ)={0}且A Q是可逆的;设E是与A可交换的幂等算子,A是Drazin可逆的且i(A)=k,那么下列条件是等价的:E是A在0点的特征投影;对所有的λ≠0,A λE是可逆的;AkE=0且对某个ξ≠0,A ξE是可逆的.     

信息技术教师的课程决策能力:内涵、结构与发展

信息技术课程的发展离不开信息技术教师的发展,而信息技术教师在专业成长的过程中有一个很重要的内容,那就是课程决策能力。由于各方面因素的要求与影响,信息技术教师的课程决策能力也日益受到重视,本文将探讨信息技术教师课程决策能力的一些基本概念和要素,以期能够为信息技术教师课程决策能力的发展提供理论支撑。     

系统和谐度测度研究

通过系统和谐度构成的分析,建立了和谐度的测度体系。和谐度的测度指标分为构成和谐性、组织和谐性、内部环境和谐性、外部环境和谐性和总体和谐性。通过在理论上对各构成要素的敏感性分析,表明单因素或多因素的改进对和谐度是有影响的。利用和谐度分析矩阵构建和谐度测度方法,并结合企业实际对系统和谐度给与实证研究,验证单因素改进对系统和谐度有正向影响。     

Demonstration Study on the Intrinsic Characteristic of Stock Complex Index on Shanghai Security Market

This paper takes the Shanghai Security market stock composite index as the research object, analyzes its intrinsic fractal essence characteristics by the application of fractal theory and the method, and computes the Hurst index, fractal dimension and correlated function of the highest prices of the complex index. Moreover, it studies characteristics of long term memory of the sample data and its variance along with time; study existence of chaotic attractors in data of the complex index by reconstructing the phase space of the index data. Finally, this paper carries on the related forecast demonstration study to the stock composite index. Results of the study have certain reference function to the actual problem.     

现代信息通讯技术对高等教育的影响及对策研究

本文主要论述了现代信息通讯技术讯猛发展,对高等教育的改革和发展有着积极的作用,它不仅冲击了传统的教育思想和观念,并且为了适应时代和社会发展的需要,教育目标、教育手段、教学方法、教学模式、师生关系、学校管理等必须作出相应调整。但是,在各领域的广泛应用中也存在各种问题,文章有针对性提出了应对的策略。     

江西省雷电灾害易损性分析及其区划

详细分析江西省自然环境、经济状况和雷灾损失情况,根据该省近9年的雷电灾害统计资料和1951年以来的年平均雷暴日统计资料,选取雷击密度、雷电灾害频数、经济易损指标、生命易损指标作为雷灾易损性评价指标。对江西省各设区市的雷灾易损性进行了综合评估,初步形成了江西省雷灾易损性区划,为防御和减低雷电损失的规划提供了科学依据。     

模糊综合评判和层次分析法在高校教学评价中的应用

教师课堂教学质量评价是高校教学质量管理的重要环节,它对提高教学效果有积极的作用.本文针对评价的模糊性,提出了模糊综合评判和层次分析法相结合的方法,合理地确定了评价指标的权重,减少了评价中的主观影响,提高了评价的准确性、公正性.     

Some evidence of drying trend over northern China from 1951 to 2004

The surface wetness index, Palmer drought sererity index and the retrieval of soil moisture over China were calculated using monthly precipitation and monthly mean surface air temperature. Based on the contrast analysis of the variation of the above three indices and precipitation, the dry/wet spatio-temporal pattern of northern China in the last 54 years was revealed, and the evidence of drying trend over northern China was analyzed, especially. The results show the following four facts: (1) The drying trend is the main characteristic of the eastern part of Northwest China and the central part of North China since the 1980s and it was enhanced in the last 15 years mainly due to the precipitation decrease and the temperature increase; (2) During the last 54 years, there was only one dry/wet shift at the interdecadal scale occurring in the eastern part of Northwest China and the central part of North China in the late 1970s, which was related to 1977/1978 global abrupt change, whereas there were three shifts in Northeast China, one was in the mid 1990s and the other two were in 1965 and 1983, respectively; (3) Unlike the variation trend of other subregions of northern China, the western part of Northwest China is currently located in a relatively wetting period, which is weak-ened due to the temperature increase; (4) The extreme drought frequency is obviously increasing in the eastern part of Northwest China, the central part of North China and Northeast China since the 1980s, which is closely related to the precipitation decrease and temperature increase in these subregions.     

奇异二阶微分方程边

利用拓扑度理论研究了奇异二阶Neumann边值问题.在有关其线性算子方程对应的第一特征值的条件下得到了边值问题正解及多解的存在性.