逆半群上的几类模糊子半群

利用集合上模糊同余关系, 在逆半群上定义了模糊正规子半群和模糊商子半群, 并研究了逆半群上由这几类模糊关系所定义的模糊同余关系的一些性质. 通过模糊同余关系β, 得到模糊正规商子半群R及S/ρ上的模糊同余关系μ_R.     

对测不准关系的认同与争议

介绍了测不准关系的一些不同的表述和证明方法,对其中关于这一原理的认同和有争议的问题进行了比较与分析.结合殿村和蔡林格(Zeilinger)近期完成的电子和中子衍射实验的结果,评述了有关量子理论的新进展.这些实验充分地证明了单个粒子具有波动性的事实.测不准关系原本是微观粒子波动性质的必然结果,所以它应当适用于单个微观粒子.     

Intermittent demand forecasting in the Enterprise: Empirical verification

Forecasting methods are often valued by means of simulation studies. For intermittent demand items there are often very few non–zero observations, so it is hard to check any assumptions, because statistical information is often too weak to determine, for example, distribution of a variable. Therefore, it seems important to verify the forecasting methods on the basis of real data. The main aim of the article is an empirical verification of several forecasting methods applicable in case of intermittent demand. Some items are sold only in specific subperiods (in given month in each year, for example), but most forecasting methods (such as Croston's method) give non–zero forecasts for all periods. For example, summer work clothes should have non–zero forecasts only for summer months and many methods will usually provide non–zero forecasts for all months under consideration. This was the motivation for proposing and testing a new forecasting technique which can be applicable to seasonal items. In the article six methods were applied to construct separate forecasting systems: Croston's, SBA (Syntetos–Boylan Approximation), TSB (Teunter, Syntetos, Babai), MA (Moving Average), SES (Simple Exponential Smoothing) and SESAP (Simple Exponential Smoothing for Analogous subPeriods). The latter method (SESAP) is an author's proposal dedicated for companies facing the problem of seasonal items. By analogous subperiods the same subperiods in each year are understood, for example, the same months in each year. A data set from the real company was used to apply all the above forecasting procedures. That data set contained monthly time series for about nine thousand products. The forecasts accuracy was tested by means of both parametric and non–parametric measures. The scaled mean and the scaled root mean squared error were used to check biasedness and efficiency. Also, the mean absolute scaled error and the shares of best forecasts were estimated. The general conclusion is that in the analyzed company a forecasting system should be based on two forecasting methods: TSB and SESAP, but the latter method should be applied only to seasonal items (products sold only in specific subperiods). It also turned out that Croston's and SBA methods work worse than much simpler methods, such as SES or MA. The presented analysis might be helpful for enterprises facing the problem of forecasting intermittent items (and seasonal intermittent items as well).     

超支化不饱和聚(酰胺-酯)的改性及热分解动力学

采用不同链长的十四酰氯和十八酰氯对超支化不饱和聚(酰胺-酯)(MHBP)的端羟基进行原位端基改性,制备出2种改性超支化聚合物,用傅立叶红外光谱(FTIR)、热重分析(TGA)、黏度法等对其结构及性能进行表征,并研究了它们的热分解行为及其热分解动力学.结果表明,其热分解反应不是一级反应,改性超支化聚合物的热稳定性与末端烷烃链的长度有关,用Ozawa法求出了热分解表观活化能.     

城市绿色基础设施:概念、分类及其价值

该文系统综述了绿色基础设施的起源与发展、构成与分类.通过文献研究系统梳理了绿色基础设施在保护生态系统、提供生态服务、发挥文化价值以及协同效应等方面的内容.最后,依据中国绿色基础设施的研究和实践现状,提出针对性的发展目标和规划路径.     

各向异性超导体的能隙函数与能隙方程

利用格林函数,推导出各向异性超导体的能隙函数的表达方程式.其过程和结果均表明,利用格林函数推导出来的各向异性超导体的能隙函数,比利用Bogoliubov正则变换来的简便.     

基于灰色理论的主观信任计算方法

通过讨论传统信任模型和信任计算,提出了以灰色系统理论为基础的灰序白化评估算法.方法的基本原理是:以主体的网上交易额为参考序列,由客体对主体的关键属性评分构成计算序列,得出主体的信任水平序列,根据灰关联分析计算灰关联信任空间,求出序化点列,作序化点列图,得出白度序列,最后按照灰序白化分析得出主体的关键属性对主体的信任水平的影响次序.该算法克服了传统分析中将主体的关键属性对主体信任水平的影响大小视为相等的做法,具有评价可靠,可操作性强,适合软件自动处理等特点,在开放式环境中具有广阔的应用前景.     

Taming theory with thought experiments: Understanding and scientific progress

I claim that one way thought experiments contribute to scientific progress is by increasing scientific understanding. Understanding does not have a currently accepted characterization in the philosophical literature, but I argue that we already have ways to test for it. For instance, current pedagogical practice often requires that students demonstrate being in either or both of the following two states: 1) Having grasped the meaning of some relevant theory, concept, law or model, 2) Being able to apply that theory, concept, law or model fruitfully to new instances. Three thought experiments are presented which have been important historically in helping us pass these tests, and two others that cause us to fail. Then I use this operationalization of understanding to clarify the relationships between scientific thought experiments, the understanding they produce, and the progress they enable. I conclude that while no specific instance of understanding (thus conceived) is necessary for scientific progress, understanding in general is.     

Glycogen synthase kinase 3β and Alzheimer’s disease: pathophysiological and therapeutic significance

Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disorder associated with cognitive and behavioral dysfunction and is the leading cause of dementia in the elderly. Several studies have implicated molecular and cellular signaling cascades involving the serine-threonine kinase, glycogen synthase kinase β(GSK-3β) in the pathogenesis of AD. GSK-3β may play an important role in the formation of neurofibrillary tangles and senile plaques, the two classical pathological hallmarks of AD. In this review, we discuss the interaction between GSK-3β and several key molecules involved in AD, including the presenilins, amyloid precursor protein, tau, and β-amyloid. We identify the signal transduction pathways involved in the pathogenesis of AD, including Wnt, Notch, and the PI3 kinase/Akt pathway. These may be potential therapeutic targets in AD. Received 19 December 2005; received after revision 24 January 2006; accepted 6 February 2006     

基于重复博弈的集群企业间社会关系构建分析

针对我国外生模式及混合内生模式集群中核心企业与依附企业间的主从支配关系,将核心企业与依附企业间的社会关系收益进行量化,讨论了核心企业与依附企业间的社会关系构建及维持的影响因素及内在机制.研究表明,核心企业与依附企业间的社会关系构建与维持取决于核心企业对双方社会关系价值的预期以及依附企业的市场价格;核心企业依据依附企业的市场价格来分割双方的社会关系收益;而依附企业可以通过提高自身的价值,获取更高的社会关系收益分割值,缔结和维持有利于自身和集群成长的社会关系.