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111.
电工电子基础实验教学的探索与实践 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
祝秋文 《湖北师范学院学报(自然科学版)》2008,28(2):78-81
从教学内容、教学进度、教学准备、教学方法及教学评价等五个方面,谈谈个人在从事电工电子基础实验教学方面所做的探索与实践。 相似文献
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114.
Gongyue Jiang;Gaoxiu Qiao;Lu Wang;Feng Ma; 《Journal of forecasting》2024,43(6):2378-2398
From the cross-market perspective, this paper investigates crude oil volatility index (OVX) forecasts by proposing a hybrid method, which combines the data-driven SVR technique and parametric models. In terms of parametric models, we utilize GARCH-type models with jumps, and the forecasting effects of five non-parametric jumps (including interday and intraday jump tests) of stock market are also explored. Empirical results show that our approach can substantially increase forecasting accuracy. In addition, the model confidence set test and robust test reaffirm the superiority of the novel hybrid method. From the assessment of economic significance, the advantages of the hybrid method for volatility index forecasting are further confirmed. All these findings imply that jumps of stock market can be helpful in forecasting OVX, especially after the introduction of the hybrid method. Our work can certainly provide a new insight for volatility forecasting and cross-market research. 相似文献
115.
针对移动通信卫星射频载荷产生的系统内和系统间复杂电磁兼容性问题,以及批产化研制特点带来的非专门电磁兼容性试验验证评估需求,提出了一种基于近场扫描的电磁兼容性评估方法。针对卫星载荷的辐射影响,采用柱面近场扫描获得载荷的近场辐射特性,用于系统内的电磁兼容性分析。基于近远场变换技术获得远场辐射特性,用于星座系统间的电磁兼容性评估。给出了探头补偿方法和扫描步进优化方法来提高测试准确度和测试效率。仿真和试验校验证明了方法的有效性。将该方法应用到卫星系统内和系统间电磁兼容性(electromagnetic compatibility, EMC)分析评估中,结果表明方法可有效满足工程应用需求。 相似文献
116.
应用系统仿真的方法,建立了突发事件下的城市轨道交通列车运行仿真模型,并应用北京地铁亦庄线的实际数据进行了案例分析。基于离散事件模型的仿真方法,使用Processing和G4P控件库开发仿真软件,实现列车的超速防护、移动闭塞系统生成列车移动授权、列车运行控制和列车停站控制。通过系统仿真,针对城市轨道交通单线多列车的运行场景,对突发事件下的全线运行、延误情况进行模拟和评估。结果表明,故障发生的不同位置和持续时间会对列车延误情况造成不同影响,并且通过运行调整手段如发车调整和停站调整可以有效缓解突发事件下列车的延误情况。 相似文献
117.
Frederik Kunze 《Journal of forecasting》2020,39(2):313-333
By linking measures of forecast accuracy as well as testing procedures with regard to forecast rationality this paper investigates aggregated survey forecasts with forecast horizons of 3, 12, and 24 months for the exchange rates of the Chinese yuan, the Hong Kong dollar, the Japanese yen, and the Singapore dollar vis-à-vis the US dollar and, hence, for four different currency regimes. The rationality of the exchange rate predictions is initially assessed utilizing tests for unbiasedness and efficiency which indicate that the investigated forecasts are irrational in the sense that the predictions are biased. As one major contribution of this paper, it is subsequently shown that these results are not consistent with an alternative, less restrictive, measure of rationality. Investigating the order of integration of the time series as well as cointegrating relationships, this empirical evidence supports the conclusion that the majority of forecasts are in fact rational. Regarding forerunning properties of the predictions, the results are rather mediocre, with shorter term forecasts for the tightly managed USD/CNY FX regime being one exception. As one additional important and novel evaluation result, it can be concluded, that the currency regime matters for the quality of exchange rate forecasts. 相似文献
118.
The availability of numerous modeling approaches for volatility forecasting leads to model uncertainty for both researchers and practitioners. A large number of studies provide evidence in favor of combination methods for forecasting a variety of financial variables, but most of them are implemented on returns forecasting and evaluate their performance based solely on statistical evaluation criteria. In this paper, we combine various volatility forecasts based on different combination schemes and evaluate their performance in forecasting the volatility of the S&P 500 index. We use an exhaustive variety of combination methods to forecast volatility, ranging from simple techniques to time-varying techniques based on the past performance of the single models and regression techniques. We then evaluate the forecasting performance of single and combination volatility forecasts based on both statistical and economic loss functions. The empirical analysis in this paper yields an important conclusion. Although combination forecasts based on more complex methods perform better than the simple combinations and single models, there is no dominant combination technique that outperforms the rest in both statistical and economic terms. 相似文献
119.
The ability to improve out-of-sample forecasting performance by combining forecasts is well established in the literature. This paper advances this literature in the area of multivariate volatility forecasts by developing two combination weighting schemes that exploit volatility persistence to emphasise certain losses within the combination estimation period. A comprehensive empirical analysis of the out-of-sample forecast performance across varying dimensions, loss functions, sub-samples and forecast horizons show that new approaches significantly outperform their counterparts in terms of statistical accuracy. Within the financial applications considered, significant benefits from combination forecasts relative to the individual candidate models are observed. Although the more sophisticated combination approaches consistently rank higher relative to the equally weighted approach, their performance is statistically indistinguishable given the relatively low power of these loss functions. Finally, within the applications, further analysis highlights how combination forecasts dramatically reduce the variability in the parameter of interest, namely the portfolio weight or beta. 相似文献
120.
基于层次分析法的贵州玉舍国家森林公园休养地适宜度评价 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
【目的】从层次分析角度对贵州玉舍国家森林公园休养地适宜度进行综合评价,分析玉舍森林公园开发康养旅游的资源潜力。【方法】基于森林公园宏观环境,构建森林资源康养利用价值、休养地建设可利用条件为项目层的森林公园休养地适宜度评价指标体系,利用层次分析法确定指标权重和指标评分标准,建立休养地适宜度的综合计算模型,划分适宜度等级标准,对玉舍国家森林公园休养地适宜度进行综合评价。【结果】玉舍国家森林公园休养地适宜度评价体系中,项目层评价得分与权重值得分高低顺序保持一致,休养地适宜度评价总分值为85.228 6,处于康养旅游开发的4级水平,具有较高的休养地适宜度,但也存在资源未开发、配套设施不齐全等劣势指标。【结论】玉舍国家森林公园康养旅游开发价值较高,可通过建设休养地,完善内部设施;兼顾生态、经济、社会效益,综合利用森林资源。 相似文献