农村大学生专业承诺现状调查——以湖北师范学院为例

目的调查农村大学生专业承诺现状。方法采用大学生专业承诺量表对260名农村大学生和203名城镇大学生进行测查。结果农村大学生专业承诺的整体水平不高,规范承诺显著高于城镇大学生。农村大学生专业承诺的性别、专业、年级、成绩差异显著：女生的规范承诺高于男生;文科生的情感承诺、理想承诺高于理科生;低年级学生的专业承诺显著高于高年级学生;学习成绩越差,情感承诺和规范承诺水平越低。结论农村大学生专业承诺的整体水平不高,存在显著的性别、专业、年级及成绩差异。     

老顶山国家森林公园根际土壤动物多样性初步研究

本文采用方框法调查了山西长治老顶山国家森林公园内油松林、侧柏林和草本植物根际土壤动物的多样性.结果表明,该森林公园内的土壤动物种类共计16类、381只,隶属3门10纲12目.其中膜翅目为优势类群,原尾目和弹尾目为稀有类群,直翅目幼虫、蜘蛛目、鞘翅目成虫及幼虫、双翅目成虫及幼虫、马陆目、等足目、石蜈蚣目、地蜈蚣目、后孔目、柄眼目和蜱螨目为常见类群.各种样地内常见土壤动物类群组成和占群落总体数量的比例呈现一定差异.土壤动物垂直分布有明显的表聚性.     

吉延高速公路涎流冰分析与防治

涎流冰在我国季冻区的公路建设中经常遇到,若处理不当,其危害性相当大。结合吉林至延吉高速公路敦化至延吉段涎流冰形成的类型、特点和规模,对涎流冰的形成机理做了研究与分析,按其成因分为沟谷涎流冰和山坡涎流冰。针对吉延高速涎流冰的特点,有针对性地采取了排、挡、积、截等4种措施进行了综合治理,通车运营,3年来未再发生过涎流冰,取得了较好的效果。所以只有以预防为主,防治结合,多方面重视涎流冰,涎流冰的发生才能得到有效控制。     

军民合用机场鸟击风险评价及防范措施改进研究

为了掌握军民合用机场及周边地区威胁飞行安全的鸟类动态,2015年6月至2016年5月,对某军民合用机场在机场周围半径8 km范围内展开鸟情生态调研工作。根据调查结果引入鸟的体长、飞行高度及相对重量并结合鸟的相对数量、遇见频次为影响因子进行鸟类威胁程度分析。首次提出军民合用机场的鸟击防范特征;并根据分析结果,结合军民合用的机场性质,在现有的鸟击防范工作基础上提出了具有针对性鸟击防范对策。     

我院大学语文课程教学的调查分析与对策

大学语文作为高校人文素质通识课程在培养学生人文素质方面有着不可替代的重要地位。本文通过对我校大学语文课程的教学调查,一方面总结教学经验,一方面为适应时代发展,根据课程特点,从教学内容、教学手段、作业考试等方面提出改革措施,使该课程更好为学校的人才培养目标服务。     

基于分区控制下的建筑物立面图测绘

研究了常规测量设备与非量测摄影机联合进行建筑物立面测绘问题;提出了立面控制基线下遥测获取建筑物特征点三维坐标的数学模型,并用模拟法进行细部点修绘的方法,实践证明该法经济且简便易行．     

基于正确登记概率的普查直接多报估计

基于现有的普查直接多报估计量,在二重抽样调查下,对样本小区登记人口数梳理分类,构建基于正确登记概率的普查直接多报估计量,以解决前者由于计数对象不确定而造成的多报虚增问题.创新之处在于:构建样本小区下登记人口数的指标体系,提出基于正确登记概率的普查直接多报估计量、发生重报估计量和重报估计量,并将普查直接多报估计量与基于正...     

基于GPS的海底电缆二次定位测量系统

讨论了二次定位中声波定位方法和初至波定位方法误差的来源,指出由于多台GPS设备在不同的船上工作,众多设备统筹协调不好是造成二次定位存在较大系统误差的重要原因。在863课题支持下,开发了基于GPS的海上物探测量系统,该系统能统筹管理多台设备,实时完成导航、资料处理、绘图等多项功能,对提高生产效率,降低系统误差起到了重要作用。     

The role of forward‐ and backward‐looking information for inflation expectations formation

Assuming that private forecasters learn inflation dynamics to form their inflation expectations and that they believe a hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) to capture the true data‐generating process of inflation, we aim at establishing the role of backward‐ and forward‐looking information in the inflation expectation formation process. We find that longer term expectations are crucial in shaping shorter horizon expectations. While the influence of backward‐looking information seems to diminish over time, we do not find evidence of a structural break in the expectation formation process of professional forecasters. Our results further suggest that the weight put on longer term expectations does not solely reflect a mean‐reverting process to trend inflation. Rather, it might also capture beliefs about the central bank's long‐run inflation target and its credibility to achieve inflation stabilization.     

Predicting exchange rates in Asia: New insights on the accuracy of survey forecasts

By linking measures of forecast accuracy as well as testing procedures with regard to forecast rationality this paper investigates aggregated survey forecasts with forecast horizons of 3, 12, and 24 months for the exchange rates of the Chinese yuan, the Hong Kong dollar, the Japanese yen, and the Singapore dollar vis-à-vis the US dollar and, hence, for four different currency regimes. The rationality of the exchange rate predictions is initially assessed utilizing tests for unbiasedness and efficiency which indicate that the investigated forecasts are irrational in the sense that the predictions are biased. As one major contribution of this paper, it is subsequently shown that these results are not consistent with an alternative, less restrictive, measure of rationality. Investigating the order of integration of the time series as well as cointegrating relationships, this empirical evidence supports the conclusion that the majority of forecasts are in fact rational. Regarding forerunning properties of the predictions, the results are rather mediocre, with shorter term forecasts for the tightly managed USD/CNY FX regime being one exception. As one additional important and novel evaluation result, it can be concluded, that the currency regime matters for the quality of exchange rate forecasts.