上证指数和恒生指数的copula尾部相关性分析

通过分析连接函数（copula）的尾部相关性揭示上证指数和恒生指数的相关性。实证表明，在众多具有非对称尾部相关特性的Archimedean copula函数中，用Gumbel—Hougard copula对上证指数和恒生指数进行尾部相关性分析是最优的，两者具有较好的上尾相关性，且量化后的相关性能够预测股票市场的变化。     

超越"科学大战":从对立到对话

本文在对“科学大战”产生的背景、原因以及争论的焦点问题进行梳理的基础上，针对英美学术界尤其是拉宾格尔和柯林斯等人致力于超越“科学大战”的努力进行了讨论，指出进入新世纪以来从对立走向对话正在成为西方学术界的一种发展趋势和潮流，我国学术界应当从中得到某种启示。     

科学元勘的第三波及其争论述评

本文评述了关于公众参与科技决策的一场学术争论。柯林斯等认为，科学知识社会学对公众参与科技决策的支持过于宽泛，导致了“对技术决策的参与应该扩展多远？”这样的疑问。他们提出，科学元勘应当面向决策实践，放弃单纯描述性的工作和消极解构，转向考察专识的认识论特征，及其内容、结构、类别和功能，以重新理解决策中专家和外行的划界，为筛选适当的专家和公众参与决策提供依据。批评者认为。这个理论框架误读和抛弃了科学知识社会学的基本结论，是科学主义的和还原论的，是向传统的专家治理结构的倒退。他们站在社会建构论和认识论多元主义的立场上，分别从对决策问题、专家和专识的社会建构、对合法性问题的理解等方面提出了激烈的批评。     

浅议物理学中的理想模型及其在大学物理教学中的作用

理想模型在物理学的研究中具有十分重要的地位和作用,它是形成物理概念、建立物理规律的基础,能简化物理问题,帮助研究者寻找研究方向.在大学物理的教学中,要注意培养学生建立理想模型的能力和利用理想模型去思考和解决具体物理问题的能力.     

民国时期的书院研究述评

晚清全面废书院、兴学堂后,新教育所带来的弊端在民国初期渐露端倪,引起国人关注,由此引发了人们对新教育与传统教育的反思。书院研究正是在当时动荡的学术教育环境中应时而生,断断续续存在于整个民国时期,并在三、四十年代掀起了一个小高潮。     

论译文的回译性与翻译

到目前为止，评论界对语际翻译、尤其是英汉翻译进行了大量的研究，并已归纳出不少翻译原则，本文中，作者从多语转换现象出发，提出了“译文回译性”这个新概念，并对其分类进行了讨论。作者认为，在从原文到译文的翻译过程中考虑译文的回译性有利于促使译文“忠实”原文，并在此基础上进行合理的“神似”、“化境”，也有利于多语转换和文化交流。据此认为，“译文回译性”应成为译文质量的评判标准之一，回译性研究应成为翻译研究的一个组成部分。     

Spectroscopic studies on interaction of hemoglobin and serum albumin with nicotine

The interactions of nicotine and Hb/SA were studied in vitro by UV/Vis, fluorescence, 1H NMR and FT-IR spectroscopies. The UV/Vis absorbance of Hb/SA (200 nm)shifted to red and decreased gradually with the addition of nicotine, indicating that the protein conformational change resulted from the chemical interaction. With increasing nicotine concentration, incubation of SA with nicotine caused the quenching of fluorescence typical of protein tryptophan residues, which meant that the vicinity of the tryptophan residues of SA was changed because of nicotine. FT-IR spectra showed that α-helix component of Hb/SA decreased, turn and β-structure components of Hb/SA increased in the presence of nicotine. In the 1H NMR spectra of nicotine, all proton peaks on pyrrolidinyl ring moved to downfield and the resonance emanating from nicotine was preferentially broadened while the concentration of Hb/SA increased. All these results indicate that nicotine and Hb/SA in vitro interact on each other, forming a new complex and inducing the protein conformational change.     

Judgemental revision of sales forecasts: The relative performance of judgementally revised versus non-revised forecasts

The judgemental revision of sales forecasts is an issue which is receiving increasing attention in the forecasting literature. This paper compares the performance of forecasts after revision by managers with that of the forecasts which were accepted by them without revision. The data set consists of sales forecasting data from an industrial company, spanning six quarterly periods and relating to some 900 individual products. The findings show that, in general, the improvements made by managers bring the forecast errors of revised forecasts more into line with non-revised forecasts, but the change is often marginal, and the best result is equivalence between revised and non-revised forecasts.     

相互作用观和立体几何教学

本文以认知结构同化理论为基础,探讨了“相互作用观”在立体几何教学中的意义和作用,以期指导立体几何的教学.     

Dealing with a Differentiated Whole: The Philosophy of the WSR Approach

This paper seeks to explore a philosophical ground for the formulation and practice of an Oriental systems methodology, the wuli–shili–renli approach (WSR). Drawing insights from ancient Chinese thought, WSR contends that, in sociotechnical systems design/management, we should investigate and follow wuli, shili, and renli, which constitute a differentiable, dynamic whole. Wuli, shili, and renli condition and determine the fate of our projects, meaning different methods are needed to deal with each differentiable aspect. It also points out that, to deal with wuli, shili, and renli properly, we need to engage in encounters with the "dark side" of Confucianism and with the contemporary tendency of scientism.