略论《在延安文艺座谈会上的讲话》之前中国共产党的抗战文艺政策

《在延安文艺座谈会上的讲话》被学界认为是中国共产党的第1部正式的文艺政策文献,是中国共产党在处理重大文艺问题上承前启后的一份重要文件。在《讲话》出现之前,中国共产党的抗战文艺政策同样具有重要的研究价值,这一段时期的准文艺政策主要体现在重要领导人的著作和讲话中,其内容最终成为《讲话》的重要组成部分。     

澳大利亚多元文化政策的形成与影响评析

70年代初，澳大利亚政府开始采取多元文化政策来处理民族文化多样性问题，到80年代末将其确立为基本国策。多元文化政策的实施有利于澳大利亚经济的发展，社会稳定和国际交往。     

Oil shocks: How can OECD countries manage them best?

As the 1990-91 Gulf crisis has emphasized, the risk of new oil shocks remains high in the medium to long run. Although energy intensity has decreased in the major countries since the first two oil shocks, the simulation performed with the MIMOSA world model, which is described in this paper, shows that a permanent rise in oil prices still induces direct strong negative consequences in the OECD: a temporary recession, a durable loss in production and employment and a lasting rise in inflation. Moreover, according to the model and due to national dissimilarities, an oil shock in Europe has some asymmetrical effects which are pointed out here. Further simulations test two different economic policy responses in the OECD: a ‘beggar-thy-neighbor’ policy in which each country tries to ‘export’ its unemployment by curbing domestic inflation and wage growth; and a co-ordinated policy supporting both supply and demand. The first leads to a general deflationist overshooting. The second ensures stabilization with a much lower cost in employment.     

布雷顿森林体系的运行机制、内在缺陷及历史作用分析

随着信息时代到来,建立一个什么样的国际货币体系问题就又一次成为理论界探讨的热点问题。本文本着“以史为鉴”的态度,对布雷顿森林体系的运行机制、内在缺陷及其历史作用进行了分析和探讨,对其基本思想及组织机构在今后建立国际货币体系中将发挥的作用进行了预测。     

The role of macroeconometric models in forecasting and policy analysis in the united states

This article stresses how little is known about the quality, particularly the relative quality, of macroeconometric models. Most economists make a strict distinction between the quality of a model per se and the accuracy of solutions based on that model. While this distinction is valid, it leaves unanswered how to compare the‘validity’of conditional models. The standard test, the accuracy of ex post simulations, is not definitive when models with differing degrees of exogeneity are compared. In addition, it is extremely difficult to estimate the relative quantitative importance of conceptual problems of models, such as parameter instability across‘policy regimes’ In light of the difficulty in comparisons of conditional macroeconometric models, many model-builders and users assume that the best models are those that have been used to make the most accurate forecasts are those made with the best models. Forecasting experience indicates that forecasters using macroeconometric models have produced more accurate macroeconomic forecasts than either naive or sophisticated unconditional statistical models. It also suggests that judgementally adjusted forecasts have been more accurate than model-based forecasts generated mechanically. The influence of econometrically-based forecasts is now so pervasive that it is difficult to find examples of‘purely judgemental’forecasts.     

略论"三个代表"在统战工作中的指导功能

“三个代表”对统战工作有巨大的指导作用。在“三个代表”的表述中,蕴涵着对统战工作的对象、对统战工作的方针和对统战干部的要求等各方面的逻辑内涵和理论意义。     

从完善公司治理结构入手规范货币资金内部控制

阐述了公司治理结构与货币资金内部控制的含义,分析了公司治理结构与货币资金内部控制的关系,探讨了我国公司治理结构的特殊性。     

解读中国的趋势

从中国传统的儒家文化和老子的文化入手进行分析,阐述了他们各自的观点和不同以及两者相结合所产生的巨大的能量,从这里引申到当今的中国的一些基本的国策和他们内在的涵义,从中希望解读中国今后二三十年的国家的运程和走势.     

21世纪初主要发达国家科技人才政策新动向

在对本世纪初美、日、德、英、法发达国家主要的人才战略规划和计划进行梳理的基础上,分析其在科技人才政策方面的新思路和新措施,为促进我国科技人才队伍的建设提供参考。     

多出口下的校园网NAT应用探析

为了在经济的基础上提高校园网的出口带宽和安全性,在策略路由的基础上运用NAT技术实现了双出口接入互联网。首先介绍了我校校园网的基本情况,说明了双出口接入互联网的必要性,然后提出了所面临的问题以及解决问题的思路,最后详细叙述了用iptables实现NAT功能的全过程。