基于Markov链的两心理账户BPT研究

针对投资者的有限理性特征，利用Markov链构造了投资者两心理账户之间的动态转换模型。描述了随机数量转换对投资者证券投资决策的影响机理，数据模拟与实证分析表明：基于Markov链的两心理账户BPT(行为证券组合理论)模型能够有效反应决策者的实际情景。     

综合集成法的认识论基础

从认识论角度分析了钱学森提出综合集成法的心路历程，论证了综合集成法是《实践论》的具体化，讨论了综合集成法对《实践论》的深化及其存在的问题。     

企业员工离职的博弈分析模型

以员工离职的基本模型为基础，对企业员工离职的市场供求模型、组织约束模型进行了分析，认为企业员工离职行为是否发生，不仅取决于员工自身的内在因素以及市场供需情况、组织约束等外部因素，而且更取决于组织与员工之间的相互作用，并对这种相互作用进行分析，建立员工离职的博弈分析模型。     

基于元胞自动机的行业危机扩散博弈分析

元胞自动机(Cellular Automata,CA)模拟仿真实现了行业危机扩散博弈过程的可视化,简化了博弈分析过程。本文首先进行了行业危机扩散的博弈分析,通过纳什均衡解的求解误差发现危机扩散受到很多因素影响,并且具有一定的随机性,增加了博弈分析的难度。基于此,引用元胞自动机结合行业危机扩散博弈的策略组合,构建了行业危机扩散的CA算法,解决了行业危机扩散博弈的有限理性假设问题,并使用仿真效果较好的多主体可视化软件Netlogo进行仿真,结果符合实际情况。     

The Ontological Constitution of Bounding-Judging in the Phenomenological Epistemology of von Bertalanffy's General System Theory

An analysis of the current presentation of boundary judgments in the Critical Systems literature highlights a general result: that the activity of bounding has been, implicitly or explicitly, considered as an epistemological issue. By arguing that knowledge is not produced singularly by bounding, the paper informs this general result. This, in turn, informs other results, which have emerged in current understanding. In particular, the paper argues (a) the reason why knowledge indeed never attains the status of "objective or right" knowledge, (b) how critique is dependent on some positing of knowledge, and (c) the exact place where critique is actioned. von Bertalanffy's attempted systems epistemology is considered at length because it explains and informs the epistemological conclusions seen to have been drawn in the current Critical Systems literature. von Bertalanffy's attempt requires the support of Husserlian phenomenology, especially Sartre's understanding of it. This requires an in-depth discussion of the phenomenological understanding of consciousness. Since the conclusions stem from von Bertalanffy, the paper reconsiders the status of General System Theory in Critical Systems Thinking.     

基于秘密共享方案的小波混沌数字水印算法

在对小波域混沌数字水印算法研究的基础上,引入Shamir理论秘密共享思想,提出一种新的基于Shamir秘密共享的小波混沌数字水印算法。新算法将小波分解所得到的子图作为分存信息的保存对象,嵌入部分或者全部的数字水印信息。在水印的提取中,根据Shamir理论利用部分子信息就可以恢复出初始水印信息。实验表明该算法拥有好的视觉效果,提高了传统算法的鲁棒性,是一种实际可行的数字水印算法。     

基于熵理论的上市公司信息披露质量测度

上市公司信息披露质量的测度关系到资本市场稳定、健康发展。通过建立二层结构的信息披露质量测度指标体系，应用熵理论构建了信息披露质量测度模型，提高了信息质量测度结果的客观性和有效性，并得到实证结果的支持。     

The Future of Systems Thinking

Due to the diminishing popularity of systems thinking, an attempt is done to predict its future in the university world. Two starting points are used: one in the traditional scientific community, being its habitat; and the other in the surrounding society, being its area of application. The investigation shows that systems thinking is highly needed, although its nearest future seems bleak. The systemic challenge to the traditional academic world has unfortunately been taken as a threat against its existence. The scientific and educational impact of systems thinking is therefore opposed as an alternative to the old scientific paradigm. Furthermore, the resistance to new theories moving across disciplinary boundaries seems stronger than resistance to theories within the disciplines.     

耗散结构理论在科学传播实践中的应用——基于上海浦东新区的实证研究

作为建设创新型国家战略基础工程的科学传播,是一个宏大的复杂系统,该系统具备形成耗散结构的条件,即系统具有开放性、远离平衡态、存在涨落及系统各要素之间存在非线性相互作用等特点,运用耗散结构理论指导科学传播实践,将有助于我们认识科学传播实践的条件和规律,自觉推进其由低层次向高层次的有序转变。     

改革开放前后邓小平知识分子思想探微

援用文献法和比较法,对邓小平知识分子思想的形成、发展及其基本内容进行了阐述,对改革开放前后邓小平知识分子思想做了比较,并分析了改革开放后邓小平特别关心人才问题的原因。在学习贯彻十七大精神的今天,学习和研究邓小平关于知识分子问题的理论和实践,具有重要的现实意义。