《萧红自传》所展现的全景萧红及其文本价值

《萧红自传》是肖凤老师筛选的一本萧红作品集。虽然萧红生前没有写过自传,但这本合成的自传和其他自传一样记录了作者的生平经历、个性特点、心灵感受,同时,还让我们领略作者的创作风格。合上自传,一个全景式的萧红历历在目。《萧红自传》的编写是严谨的,也是严肃的,其写作具有诗的旋律,具有很高的文本价值。     

弘扬国学精粹 提高人文素质--高校非中文专业开设"中国古典文学鉴赏"课的必要性与可行性

从高校非中文专业学生知识结构的现状出发，阐述加强人文素质教育的重要性；“中国古典文学鉴赏”课的课程特点及其在人文素质教育中所起的作用决定了在高校非中文专业学生中开设这门课程的必要性和可行性。     

Exponential smoothing: The state of the art

This paper is a critical review of exponential smoothing since the original work by Brown and Holt in the 1950s. Exponential smoothing is based on a pragmatic approach to forecasting which is shared in this review. The aim is to develop state-of-the-art guidelines for application of the exponential smoothing methodology. The first part of the paper discusses the class of relatively simple models which rely on the Holt-Winters procedure for seasonal adjustment of the data. Next, we review general exponential smoothing (GES), which uses Fourier functions of time to model seasonality. The research is reviewed according to the following questions. What are the useful properties of these models? What parameters should be used? How should the models be initialized? After the review of model-building, we turn to problems in the maintenance of forecasting systems based on exponential smoothing. Topics in the maintenance area include the use of quality control models to detect bias in the forecast errors, adaptive parameters to improve the response to structural changes in the time series, and two-stage forecasting, whereby we use a model of the errors or some other model of the data to improve our initial forecasts. Some of the major conclusions: the parameter ranges and starting values typically used in practice are arbitrary and may detract from accuracy. The empirical evidence favours Holt's model for trends over that of Brown. A linear trend should be damped at long horizons. The empirical evidence favours the Holt-Winters approach to seasonal data over GES. It is difficult to justify GES in standard form–the equivalent ARIMA model is simpler and more efficient. The cumulative sum of the errors appears to be the most practical forecast monitoring device. There is no evidence that adaptive parameters improve forecast accuracy. In fact, the reverse may be true.     

The teachers/practitioners corner comparative analysis of load forecasting techniques at a southern utility

The prime directive of any regulated electric utility is to provide adequate and reliable electricity supplies to the consuming public at reasonable cost. This requires the continual addition of new generating plants which is based on a long term forecast of energy and peak demand. This study documents the forecasting process used at a southern utility and compares the accuracy of their models to that produced using Holt's exponential smoothing and generalized adoptive filtering.     

浅论古代文学教学的当代性

随着时代的变迁和社会的发展，我国高校中文专业古代文学学科的教学出现了与时代需要相脱节而导致学生厌学的局面。为使古代文学的教学适应“三个面向”，必须进行相应的改革，而改革的关键是在教学中必须加强和突出当代性，即用当代意识精选、整合教学内容，用当代意识观照、发掘、阐释古代文学作品的人文与科学精神，用当代意识改革传统教学方法和手段。     

Forecasting the economic recession in the U.K. 1979-1982: A comparison of model-based ex ante Forecasts

This paper compares the forecasts of recession and recovery made by five non-government U.K. teams modelling the economy (Cambridge Econometrics, the London Business School, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, the Cambridge Economic Policy Group and the Liverpool Research Group). The paper concentrates on annual ex ante projections as published over the period 1978-1982, i.e. forecasts made, before the event, of the onset, length, depth and character of the economic recession in the U.K. which began in 1979. The comparison is in terms of year by year changes in production, unemployment, prices and other variables. It concludes that no group was systematically better or worse than other groups (confirming U.S. experience) and that the groups tended to perform better in their chosen areas of specialization, e.g. medium-term groups did better at forecasting the medium-term outcome.     

短小芽孢杆菌BA06的比较基因组分析

将短小芽孢杆菌BA06与其他18个短小芽孢杆菌菌株进行全基因组比较,鉴定出BA06基因组中有包括抗性岛、毒力岛、共生岛在内的12个基因组岛或噬菌体序列.基因家族分析鉴定出BA06有3个特异性基因家族,9个基因家族发生扩张,3个基因家族有所收缩.表明BA06在短小芽孢杆菌这一菌种中具有突出的抗药性与运动能力,并具有除皮革脱毛外更多的生物学特性.     

数字出版企业版权管理策略研究——基于盛大文学的实证考察

我国很多数字出版企业由于缺乏以版权为核心的商业发展战略,因而在运营中常常受困于频发的版权危机。而盛大文学把版权事务提升到公司发展的战略高度,尤其在版权资源获取、版权业务管理、版权运营和版权保护等方面有着鲜明的特色,值得数字出版同行借鉴。     

英语拟植物修辞格探析及英汉翻译研究

无论是中国还是西方国家,人类表达情感的方式大体上是相同的,这一点也反映在修辞格上的运用上。拟人(Personification)已被人们所广泛理解与接受,然而拟植物(Plantification)却鲜为人知,本文拟对英语中拟植物修辞格进行分析,并探讨在英译汉翻译中如何处理拟植物修辞格,这将有助于提高翻译的质量。