亚洲冬季运动项目竞技实力格局的分析与研究——兼论我国备战第二十一届冬奥会的发展策略

运用文献资料、数理统计、逻辑推理等方法,对亚洲冬季运动项目竞技实力格局进行研究分析,提出我国备战第二十一届冬季奥运会的策略:继续深化举国体制,实施和推进"北冰南展";认真研究、加强冰雪项目的合理布局;重视和加强高水平后备人才培养;重视科研,提升医疗保障;继续实施"送出去,请进来"策略;重视冬季运动项目特征和训练规律的研究.     

美国在印尼非殖民化过程中的政策变化及作用分析

按照战时美国关于印尼的计划，荷兰将有序地恢复其殖民统治，并指导印尼渐进地获得独立。但是，战后印尼民族主义者没有遵循美国所设想的非殖民化道路，而是建立起一个稳定的共和国政权。在荷兰与印尼冲突开始后，美国政府起初希望采取中立政策，以避开尴尬的非殖民化问题。但随着印尼局势的日益恶化，尤其是“茉莉芬事件”后，印尼共和国的反共倾向符合美国在东南亚的利益，而荷兰顽固的殖民政策已经威胁到美国战后外交政策目标的实现，美国最终选择了支持印尼走向非殖民化之路。     

Nuclear science and technology in the Malaysian context: Three phases of technoscientific knowledge transfer (ETTLG)

This essay considers the development of the nuclear science programme in Malaysia from a transnational perspective by examining the interactions between state agents and other external nuclear-knowledge/technology related actors and agents. Going beyond the model of knowledge diffusion that brings together concerns articulated in Harris’s (2011) geographies of long distance knowledge and Reinhardt's (2011) role of the expert in knowledge transfer, the proposed three-phase model of knowledge transfer theorises the pathways undertaken by a late-blooming participant of modern science and technology as the latter moves from epistemic dependency to increasing independence despite the hurdles encountered, and the underdevelopment of many areas of its technoscientific economy. The model considers tensions stemming from the pressures of expediency for meeting national developmental goals on the one side, and the call to support the objectives of basic science on the other. The three phases of the model are epistemic transition, epistemic transplantation and localisation, and epistemic generation (ETTLG). As additional support for the proposed model, three arguments are proffered as deeper explanations of the epistemic goal by using Malaysia as a case study: knowledge transfer for political legitimization, knowledge transfer for countering agnotology, and knowledge transfer for social engineering and science diplomacy.     

西玉东输雁门关——玉石之路山西道调研报告

文章是对上古玉石之路的入关终端所做的田野调研和文献综合梳理,提示＂玉石之路山西道＂的命题,认为自史前至先秦时代的西玉东输运动至少存在新老两条路线：水路漕运之道为距今约4000年的黄河道,以黄河两岸出土的龙山文化玉器为证;陆路运输之道即雁门关道,约3000年前始于家马和马车技术在商代进入中原之后,即穆天子西行之路线。雁门关作为西部玉料资源进入中原国家的战略要道之关口,催生出中华文明内部的文化区分标志：北方游牧文化与中原定居文化——从犬戎族到犬封国、神马吉量的神话历史叙事,再到穷奇、饕餮一类妖魔化想象模式的形成。     

东亚集装箱港口体系集装箱化进程研究

在确定50个东亚港口的基础上,按照这些港口在1993—2013年的集装箱吞吐量增长模式,结合康德拉捷夫长波对东亚集装箱港口体系的集装箱化过程进行研究,结果表明从1993年以来经历了三个发展阶段.在此基础上,将每个阶段包含的港口视为一个港口群,运用基尼系数分解法对东亚集装箱港口体系的不平衡性进行深入分析.分析显示,东亚集装箱港口体系的不平衡性从主要受港口群之间吞吐量的不平衡性的影响,逐渐转移到受重叠部分的影响,即传统优势枢纽港的发展相对停滞,而以上海港、深圳港为代表的新枢纽港的强势崛起是造成不平衡性的主要原因.     

东南亚金融危机与美国次贷危机的比较研究

对东南亚金融危机和美国次贷危机作了简要回顾,分析了两次危机存在的异同点,总结出其对我国完善金融体系、预防金融危机的重要启示。     

Reconstructed index of summer monsoon dry-wet modes in East Asia for the last millennium

Monthly precipitation datasets collected at 160 stations in China as well as the monthly winds and humidity data derived from the US National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) were used to construct the relationship between six summer dry-wet modes in eastern China and the summer monsoon airflow northward advance in East Asia. A millennial series of the monsoon dry-wet index (MDWI) was reconstructed based on Wang’s six summer dry-wet modes in eastern China since 950 AD. A high (low) index indicate...     

冷战后东南亚"逆裁军"问题初探

1991年冷战的结束,为全球或地区性的军控与裁军创造了良好的环境,但在东南亚却出现了扩充军务的"逆裁军".究其原因,固然是由于东南亚自身的经济增长和南中国海的分歧与争端,但也与"中国威胁论"、地区安全机制及冷战后军控与裁军的现状与理论缺失等有关.就其影响而言,"逆裁军"不仅占用了大量的经济资源,而且破坏了地区稳定,也对中国的安全环境造成了消极的影响.     

用AHP和DELPHI方法对“长江回越江通道工程”进行区位排序

国家科委、计委、江苏省和上海市人民政府提出了建设越江通道的意见和方案．合理选择越江通道区位是前期研究的重要课题．本文应用ＡＨＰ和ＤＥＬＰＨＩ相结合的方法对已拟定的４个越江通道区位方案进行研究，得出了方案排序结果．     

Identifying the northernmost summer monsoon location in East Asia

An integrated index which can be used to indicate the advance of subtropical summer monsoon in East Asia has been proposed in this paper.The index was comhined by three variables including precipitation,wind and pseudo-equivalent potential tempera- ture.The northernmost summer monsoon location(NSML)was identified by using this index annually.It was found that the NSML ex- perienced an interdecadal shift in the period 1977—1979 based on the annual index analysis from 1961 to 2001.A comparison of the NSML with other four summer monsoon indices has also been made.The result showed that the NSML could well represent the interan- nual and interdecadal variability of summer monsoon precipitation in North China(beyond 35°N),while other four indices could well indi- cate the precipitation anomalies of East Asian summer monsoon along the Yangtze River valley(around 30°N).