AN AHP MODEL FOR BRINGING EXPERTS TO CONSENSUS ON MEDICAL PAYMENT STANDARDS

1. Introduction Many countries with health insurance systems conduct periodic payment standardsadjustments. The main reasons are to address continually rising health care costs and to ensure an equitable allocation of resources. From the248 JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING data of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, the proportion of health care costs as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) continues to r…     

湘西地区农村电力普遍服务评价指标体系的构建

运用层次分析法,从过程指标和结果指标2大类型出发,构建了包括政策执行力、服务质量、接入程度、供电质量、用电水平和企业业绩等6大一级指标,17个二级指标的综合指标体系,并以湘西地区为例进行实证分析.研究表明,湘西地区农村电力普遍服务的总体水平相对较高,但在政策宣传力度、用电量增长率和供电成本等方面还十分薄弱;电力普遍服务显示出“空间传染”特性,从东向西呈现逐步减弱的态势,与地方经济发展水平之间具有显著的正相关性.在脱贫攻坚背景下,要实现电力普遍服务更好更快的发展,一是建立统一的电力普遍服务评价体系;二是重视政策宣传,引导居民合理用电;三是探索电力普遍服务扶贫模式.     

基于AHP的高校贫困学生精准评定方法

为了公平、公正地开展高校贫困学生资助工作,利用层次分析法（AHP）建立评价指标体系,再用Matlab软件计算判断矩阵的特征值和特征向量.以3位高校贫困生为例,分别建立9组判断矩阵,并计算各矩阵的特征值和特征向量,再计算出指标体系中的权向量,最后评定特征向量最大者为最贫困大学生.     

层次分析法在高校形势与政策教学质量评价中的应用

形势与政策教育是高校思想政治教育的重要组成部分,对大学生的成长成才有重要作用.为了科学评价高校形势与政策教学质量,促进形势与政策课程发展,本文针对我国高校特点,应用层次分析法原理构建了一个科学合理的高校形势与政策教学质量评价模型.     

随机利率下索赔次数服从复合Poisson-Geometric过程的风险模型

考虑随机利率下索赔次数服从一类双参数Poisson分布时的风险模型.当随机利率为一般的独立增量过程时,得到了总索赔额折现值的各阶矩.特别地,当独立增量过程为标准Weiner过程,损失分布为Pareto分布的情形下,计算了总索赔额折现值各阶矩的表达式,并利用一阶矩给出了有利率因素时的一类NCD保费策略.在实例分析部分,分析了模型的合理性,给出了NCD策略的数值计算结果.     

The predictability of stock market volatility in emerging economies: Relative roles of local,regional, and global business cycles

This paper explores the role of business cycle proxies, measured by the output gap at the global, regional, and local levels, as potential predictors of stock market volatility in the emerging BRICS nations. We observe that the emerging BRICS nations display a rather heterogeneous pattern when it comes to the relative role of idiosyncratic factors as a predictor of stock market volatility. While domestic output gap is found to capture significant predictive information for India and China particularly, the business cycles associated with emerging economies and the world in general are strongly important for the BRIC countries and weakly for South Africa, especially in the postglobal financial crisis era. The findings suggest that despite the increase in the financial integration of world capital markets, emerging economies can still bear significant exposures to idiosyncratic risk factors, an issue of high importance for the profitability of global diversification strategies.     

A different kind of revolutionary change: transformation from object to process concepts

I propose a new perspective with which to understand scientific revolutions. This is a conversion from an object-only perspective to one that properly treats object and process concepts as distinct kinds. I begin with a re-examination of the Copernican revolution. Recent findings from the history of astronomy suggest that the Copernican revolution was a move from a conceptual framework built around an object concept to one built around a process concept. Drawing from studies in the cognitive sciences, I then show that process concepts are independent of object concepts, grounded in specific regions of the brain and involving unique representational mechanisms. There are cognitive obstacles to the transformation from object to process concepts, and an object bias—a tendency to treat processes as objects—makes this kind of conceptual change difficult. Consequently, transformation from object to process concepts is disruptive and revolutionary. Finally, I explore the implications of this new perspective on scientific revolutions for both the history and philosophy of science.     

从熵增到非均势:组织冲突的政策意蕴

传统组织行为理论认为组织冲突可以通过内部处理、社会规范调节和外部资源介入等方式得以解决,是均势条件下的应对策略。由于组织冲突中存在多均衡点、投机倾向以及合谋等问题,利用传统解决机制应对组织冲突问题会导致诸多负面效应,因而需要将非均势条件内化为解决组织冲突的必备项。把组织冲突问题从均势条件向非均势条件延伸,在非均势条件存在的情况下,组织冲突双方行为变化呈现非线性机制,在本文所讨论的理论框架中均势条件仅仅是一种极端解。鉴于此,控制与调节解决组织冲突的政策法律,同样需要扩展到非均势条件下组织冲突领域,并将其纳入到相关解决策略之中。     

民用飞机研发过程中的权衡研究

民用飞机的研发既要满足客户要求、保证飞机完整性、达到飞机安全性目标,同时还要满足相关条例、公务要求和商业要求。而这些要求往往相互制约、相互冲突,这就使得权衡研究在民用飞机的研发过程成为一项必不可少的工作。本文分析了权衡研究在民用飞机研发过程各阶段中的作用,并阐明了权衡研究在民用飞机研发过程中应遵循的过程。通过分析和研究,表明权衡研究是保证飞机型号成功的一种有效方法。     

供应链风险管理研究进展的综述与分析

随着供应链中断事件的频繁发生及其严重后果，供应链风险管理目前成为供应链研究的一个重要方向，文章评迷了供应链在风险识别、风险评估和风险管理过程的国内外研究成果，指出应加强对供应链网络风险的识别研究，定量化的风险评估研究，动态环境下具有反馈机制的风险管理过程研究等，最后给出了未来的研究展望。