Petri网络在无控制交叉口延误分析中的应用

选用比较适合描述系统组织结构和动态行为的Petri网络模型对主路优先通行的无信号交叉口运行过程建立HSPN模型．在此基础上，结合间隙接受理论，对无控制交叉口进行平均延误分析探索，为交叉口仿真控制软件的研发奠定了算法基础。     

Discovering Frequent Subtrees from XML Data Using Neural Networks

By rapid progress of network and storage technologies, a huge amount of electronic data such as Web pages and XML has been available on Internet. In this paper, we study a data-mining problem of discovering frequent ordered sub-trees in a large collection of XML data, where both of the patterns and the data are modeled by labeled ordered trees. We present an efficient algorithm of Ordered Subtree Miner （OSTMiner） based on two- layer neural networks with Hebb rule, that computes all ordered sub-trees appearing in a collection of XML trees with frequent above a user-specified threshold using a special structure EM-tree. In this algo- rithm, EM-tree is used as an extended merging tree to supply scheme information for efficient pruning and mining frequent sub-trees. Experiments results showed that OSTMiner has good response time and scales well.     

信息不对称下企业并购信号传递博弈模型研究

根据企业并购中的信息不对称现象,结合不完全信息动态博弈及信息经济学的有关理论,建立了目标企业与并购企业之间的信号传递博弈模型,并进行了实例分析,结果表明,目标企业所发出的信号能够反映出目标企业的真实质量,尽管并购企业不能直接观察到目标企业的价值,但可以通过观测目标企业发出的信号来判断目标企业的预期价值水平,并据此作出正确的并购行为.     

Samples Selection for Artificial Neural Network Training in Preliminary Structural Design

An artificial neural network (ANN) is applied in the preliminary structural design of reticulated shells. Major efforts are made to enhance the generalization ability of networks through well-selected training samples. Number-theoretic methods (NTMs) are adopted to generate samples with low discrepancy, i.e.uniformly scattered in the domain, where discrepancy is a quantitative measurement of the uniformity. The discrepancy of the NTM-based sample set is 1/6-1/7 that of samples with equal spacing. In a case study,networks trained by NTM-based samples are compared with those trained by equal-spaced samples in generalizing performance. The results show that both the computational precision and stability of the former ANNs are more satisfactory than those of the latter. It is concluded that the flexibility of ANNs in generalizing can be effectively increased by use of uniformly distributed training samples rather than simply piling data.More reliable uniformity should be obtained, however, through NTMs instead of equal-spaced samples.     

人工神经网络紫外分光光度法同时测定苯和甲苯

应用三层ANN_BP网络解析苯和甲苯的吸收光谱 ,不经分离 ,用紫外分光光度法同时测定苯和甲苯 .使用改进的BP算法 ,避免了神经网络学习过程中可能产生的麻痹现象 ,提出了目标向量的简单变换方法及便于网络参数选择的收敛评价函数 .实验验证了方法的有效性 ,同时表明 ,苯在 0 - 72 0mg/L和甲苯在 0 - 84 0mg/L范围内服从比尔定律     

Duane模型、分组数据的AMSAA模型和具丢失数据的AMSAA模型——Bayes分析方法

本文将Bayes分析方法应用于Duane可靠性增长模型、分组数据的AMSAA模型和具丢失数据的AMSAA模型,得到了参数以及系统能达到的MTBF的Bayes点估计和Bayes区间估计。     

无线异类数据网服务质量体系结构解决方案

设计了一套具有高性能的适合于移动数据网（超2．5G）和无线本地区域网（WLAN）组成的综合数据网的网络体系结构，提供基于预留端到端的QoS模型，使用带宽适应算法支持端到端的QOS，提高了系统资源的利用率，减少了呼叫拥塞概率和交接丢包概率，解决了2个系统QoS类不匹配等问题，平衡了2个系统的传输能力。     

Forecasting recessions using the yield curve

We compare forecasts of recessions using four different specifications of the probit model: a time invariant conditionally independent version; a business cycle specific conditionally independent model; a time invariant probit with autocorrelated errors; and a business cycle specific probit with autocorrelated errors. The more sophisticated versions of the model take into account some of the potential underlying causes of the documented predictive instability of the yield curve. We find strong evidence in favour of the more sophisticated specification, which allows for multiple breakpoints across business cycles and autocorrelation. We also develop a new approach to the construction of real time forecasting of recession probabilities. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

可压缩流体网络的建模方法

本文运用网络分析手段,首次提出了任意拓扑结构可压缩流体网络动态特性的建模方法.该方法突破了目前在流体网络分析中普遍采用的“小扰动”线性化处理方法的局限。     

Systems and organizations: Distal and proximal thinking

The paper introduces the contributions to this special issue ofSystems Practice on Systems and Organizations: New Directions in terms ofdistal andproximal thinking. Distal thinking refers to ready-made concepts, to the finished effects and outcomes of thought and action; proximal thinking, to process and event, to the continuous and unfinished. The papers presented here deal with various aspects of the distal/proximal distinction in social systems and organizations, and especially draw out the implications of recent work in information technology, sociology of technology, accounting theory, and organization studies for a proximal conception of systems and organizations.