Can online search data improve the forecast accuracy of pork price in China?

Online search data provide us with a new perspective for quantifying public concern about animal diseases, which can be regarded as a major external shock to price fluctuations. We propose a modeling framework for pork price forecasting that incorporates online search data with support vector regression model. This novel framework involves three main steps: that is, formulation of the animal diseases composite indexes (ADCIs) based on online search data; forecast with the original ADCIs; and forecast improvement with the decomposed ADCIs. Considering that there are some noises within the online search data, four decomposition techniques are introduced: that is, wavelet decomposition, empirical mode decomposition, ensemble empirical mode decomposition, and singular spectrum analysis. The experimental study confirms the superiority of the proposed framework, which improves both the level and directional prediction accuracy. With the SSA method, the noise within the online search data can be removed and the performance of the optimal model is further enhanced. Owing to the long-term effect of diseases outbreak on price volatility, these improvements are more prominent in the mid- and long-term forecast horizons.     

老年呼吸系统疾病患者最佳护理方法探索

目的：探索老年呼吸系统疾病患者最佳护理方法。方法：对80例老年呼吸系统疾病患者,根据病房护理、呼吸道护理、用药护理、心理护理及基础护理等方法进行护理。结果：减轻了老年呼吸系统疾病患者的痛苦,减少了并发症的发生。结论：应用科学有效的护理方法护理,老年呼吸系统疾病患者恢复效果明显。     

Identification of proteinaceous binding media for the polychrome terracotta army of Emperor Qin Shihuang by MALDI-TOF-MS

A proteinaceous binding media for the polychrome terracotta army of Emperor Qin Shihuang has been identified using matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry(MALDI-TOF-MS).Methods for the preparation of the model samples and the elimination of interferences have been evaluated,as well as ageing processes.A method involving the complexation of EDTA in combination with dialysis was used to eliminate any interference in the polychrome layers taken from the historical samples.The model samples were aged by being buried in loess to replicate the ageing process of the historical samples as closely as possible.The optimum conditions for the extraction and subsequent enzymatic hydrolysis of the extracted protein were investigated.Under the optimized conditions,the‘‘peptide mass fingerprints’’of the proteinaceous binding media from the historical and model samples were determined by MALDITOF-MS.The results revealed that animal glue was used as the binding media for the polychrome layers of Emperor Qin Shihuang’s terracotta army.It also shows that animal glue used as binding media has a long history in China.     

榆林沙区樟子松林生态适应性研究

对榆林地区不同林龄樟子松群落的自疏规律、生活史对策、病虫害发生情况以及自然更新等进行研究.榆林地区的樟子松群落不是稳定群落,但其有很强的竞争力和适应能力,目前正处于适应当地立地条件和气候条件的过程中,在今后的营林中应该注意防止病虫害大面积爆发,人工促进天然更新.     

自身免疫性肝病自身抗体应用进展

自身免疫性肝病(AILD)是一种由自身免疫反应引起的慢性肝胆系统损伤性疾病,目前尚无根治该疾病的有效措施,早期诊断及治疗对该疾病发展及预后至关重要.自身抗体检测技术的不断提高对AILD诊断及鉴别诊断有重要价值,本文阐述了自身免疫性肝病相关自身抗体的临床应用进展.     

动物免疫去势的基本理论与实践

从免疫学角度较系统论述了动物免疫去势的基本原理、激素调控、临床实践及该技术的特征     

熊果酸在神经精神系统疾病中的药理作用及机制研究进展

 熊果酸（ursolic acid,UA）是一种五环三萜类化合物,存在于熊果、女贞叶、枇杷叶等植物中。熊果酸不仅具有抗氧化、抗炎、抗肿瘤、抗糖尿病、保肝等药理活性,还具有改善和治疗多种神经精神系统疾病的作用。通过文献分析,归纳总结了熊果酸在神经元损伤、脑血管疾病和精神障碍中的药理作用及其作用机制的研究进展。     

苹果树病虫害智能识别系统设计与实现

为提高苹果的产量和质量,防止病虫害对果实质量的影响,设计了一款基于机器视觉的苹果树病虫害智能识别系统。该系统采用交互式分割(GrabCut)算法对图像进行分割,然后使用高斯拉普拉斯算子和拉普拉斯高斯(Laplacian-of-Gaussian, LOG)算法将苹果叶片中的病斑提取出来,最后将提取出的图像送入深度神经网络(deep neural networks, DNN)进行进一步的分析与处理,能够实时、方便地识别出苹果树叶病害中较为常见、发病率高的花叶病,锈病,灰斑病,斑点落叶病以及褐斑病。经测试,该系统对苹果树5种常见病虫害识别率精度高达91.17%。结果表明,该算法能够有效提升苹果树病虫害防治,优于基于卷积神经网络特征的区域方法(regions with CNN features, R-CNN)、YOLO(you only look once)等单一病虫害检测方法。     

林下连作种植参根际土壤可培养微生物区系及细菌群落对酚酸类化感物质的响应

为探究酚酸类成分对林下连作参根际土壤中微生物区系及可培养细菌群落的影响,以未栽培人参(Panax ginseng C.A.Meyer)林地土壤(1#样品)、连作未发病土壤(2#样品)和连作发病土壤(3#样品)为研究对象,探究根际土壤中微生物区系及可培养细菌群落结构、多样性的变化。同时,通过高效液相色谱(High Performance Liquid Chromatography, HPLC)分析方法对土壤样品中的酚酸进行定性和定量分析。结果表明,2#样品和3#样品土壤可培养微生物总数量与1#样品相比分别下降61.37%和68.24%;可培养细菌分别下降61.36%和68.18%;可培养放线菌分别下降72.97%和75.68%;可培养真菌分别为1#样品的1.40倍和0.47倍。3种样品共分离到193株细菌,分属于4门6纲13目19科39属96种。3种样品中最优势菌纲均为芽孢杆菌纲Bacilli(相对分离频率分别为51.67%、64.00%、48.28%),1#样品、2#样品最优势菌属为芽孢杆菌属Bacillus(相对分离频率分别为15.00%、21.33%),3#样品最优势菌属为链霉菌属...     

Some trends in medical populations genetics

Summary Five topics concerning medical population genetics have been selected for discussion: in the field of population cytogenetics, the frequency of chromosomal aberrations and the roles of mutation and selection in the maintenance of balanced rearrangements are studied; the long term genetic effects of treatment and prevention of genetic diseases are reviewed; the relationships between malaria and the sickle-cell trait are discussed; some recent works concerning human DNA polymorphisms in the field of population, genetics are presented, and finally, some methods of genetic epidemiology are described.