Interval Time Series Analysis with an Application to the Sterling-Dollar Exchange Rate

Traditional econometrics has long employed ＂points＂ to measure time series data. In real life situations, however, it suffers the loss of volatility information, since many variables are bounded by intervals in a given period. To address this issue, this paper provides a new methodology for interval time series analysis. The concept of ＂interval stochastic process＂ is formally defined as a counterpart of ＂stochastic process＂ in point-based econometrics. The authors introduce the concepts of interval stationarity, interval statistics （including interval mean, interval variance, etc.） and propose an interval linear model to investigate the dynamic relationships between interval processes. A new interval-based optimization approach for estimation is proposed, and corresponding evaluation criteria are derived. To demonstrate that the new interval method provides valid results, an empirical example on the sterling-dollar exchange rate is presented.     

求解带装载能力限制的开放式车辆路径问题的遗传算法

对带装载能力限制的开放式车辆路径问题的求解进行了研究,提出了一种用于求解该问题的遗传算法.对算法中几个关键操作的不同实现方式的性能进行了比较.给出了算法对标准测试算例的运算结果,并与文献中目前最好的结果进行了比较和分析.     

Robust fault detection and diagnosis for uncertain nonlinear systems

This paper considers robust fault detection and diagnosis for input uncertain nonlinear systems. It proposes a multi-objective fault detection criterion so that the fault residual is sensitive to the fault but insensitive to the uncertainty as much as possible. Then the paper solves the proposed criterion by maximizing the smallest singular value of the transformation from faults to fault detection residuals while minimizing the largest singular value of the transformation from input uncertainty to the fault detection residuals. This method is applied to an aircraft which has a fault in the left elevator or rudder. The simulation results show the proposed method can detect the control surface failures rapidly and efficiently.     

基于SMP2的导弹攻防仿真想定编辑系统研究

简要介绍了仿真模型可移植性标准(Simulation Model Portability Standard,SMP)及依此进行的导弹攻防对抗仿真总体设计,分析了各分系统间的功能关系;着重讨论了想定编辑分系统的作用,指出了对它的功能需求;最终设计并实现了该系统.该系统能够构建合理的战场地理环境、生成作战模型实例、完成实例配置和装配、自动建立实例间的链接关系,还支持表现属性设定和模型实例入口点设置.该系统可以有效支持基于SMP2标准构架下的导弹攻防对抗仿真系统的总体运行.     

Analysis of finite-time practical stability for time-varying polytopic systems

The problem of finite-time practical stability (FTPS) for time-varying polytopic systems is discussed. Three equivalent conditions for FTPS are first proposed. To facilitate the system analysis, a sufficient linear matrix inequality (LMI) criterion on the FTPS is further provided. The definition of finite-time practical boundedness and a sufficient LMI criterion are also provided to overcome the exogenous disturbance. A numerical example is used to illustrate the effect of the proposed approach.     

有关最低工资标准确定若干问题的系统思考

最低工资制度是社会保障制度的重要组成部分。论文在对国内外有关最低工资制度的研究现状进行综述的基础之上,归纳出最低工资制度与标准的发展脉络及趋势,进而指出研究最低工资标准的基本思路与主要内容,最后提出了确定最低工资标准的建议。     

基于SMP2的导弹攻防对抗仿真系统研究

指出了当前基于HLA进行攻防对抗仿真系统开发存在的不足,提出了基于仿真模型可移植性标准(SMP2)标准进行攻防对抗仿真系统开发的思路.简要介绍了SMP2标准的顶层架构以及SMP2仿真系统的运行结构和开发过程.针对战略导弹突防仿真的应用需求,搭建了基于SMP2的战略导弹突防仿真系统软件体系结构,讨论了系统的模型框架以及关键功能的设计与实现.     

基于SMP2的导弹攻防对抗仿真模型开发与集成

介绍了仿真模型可移植性标准(SMP2),指出其在分析型仿真中的优点,提出基于SMP2进行导弹攻防对抗仿真系统模型开发与集成思路.从组成框架、交互框架、时序框架和对象执行框架搭建基于SMP2标准的导弹攻防对抗仿真系统概念模型框架,根据SMP2建模一般过程描述了基于SMP2的导弹攻防对抗仿真系统模型设计、开发与集成,讨论了相应的关键功能设计与实现,并以弹道导弹对美导弹防御系统突防措施论证问题为实例验证了介绍的模型开发和集成思路.     

基于可接受性标准的复杂产品仿真系统在线评估框架

针对当前复杂仿真系统评估的滞后性问题,提出了基于可接受性标准(Acceptability Criteria,AC)的仿真在线评估方法。通过定性和定量AC到指标的映射模型来建立评估指标体系;引入指标集和评估函数,提出了仿真评估流程有限自动机七元组模型,给出仿真流程到评估自动机的映射关系和基于数据驱动的状态转移机制,实现评估过程自动化执行过程;基于上述成果设计了在线评估工具,通过案例验证了在线评估方法的有效性,表明该方法能够有效解决仿真系统评估滞后性问题。     

以系统工程的思想开发信息安全产品标准

信息安全产品标准的开发涉及到确定威胁、确定组织安全策略和假设、确定安全目的、标识安全功能要求、选择评估保证级别(evaluationassurancelevel,EAL)、验证一致性和完备性等方面,需要对产品进行复杂性分析,熟悉产品使用环境以及产品可能面临的威胁,因此开发信息安全产品标准的过程可视为一个系统安全工程.提出采用系统工程的思想,依据系统安全工程能力成熟模型(systems security engineering capability maturity model,SSE-CMM)提出的一套成熟的工程过程来指导信息安全产品标准的开发,以提高产品标准开发过程的可预见性,提高所开发的产品标准的质量,确保目标与实际结果的一致性.