时间序列法在厦门城市供水量预测中的应用研究

城市供水量的预测工作是城市供水优化调度的重要基础工作。城市的日需供水量是与天气、供水设施、城市建设水平、生活水平、生活习惯等众多复杂因素密切相关的，要对日用水量做出较为准确的预测是较困难的。在厦门城市供水原水系统优化调度决策系统的课题研究中，     

隔夹层对薄层底水油藏排水采油动态影响研究

在薄层底水油藏开发过程中,由于油层下部水体发育,能量充足,极易发生底水锥进现象,从而导致其开发效果变差.双层完井排水采油技术可以抑制底水锥进,达到解放油层生产潜力、改善油藏开发效果的目的.基于其原理并结合陆梁油田陆9井区呼图壁河组K1h23油藏的储集层参数,应用油藏数值模拟技术研究了理想单井模型下隔夹层对排水采油动态的影响.数值模拟结果表明:有效的隔板能够很好地抑制底水锥进,但隔板尺寸大小与排水规模之间有一定的关系.     

用试井分析方法评价Y2井区的压裂效果

延长气田具有低压、地产、低渗特点,自然产量较低,必须通过实施压裂增产技术才可能达到经济开发的要求。只有在深化储层认识的基础上,通过实践、分析、总结不断完善压裂施工设计、改进压裂施工工艺,因此必须及时收集现场一手资料,对压裂施工、压后排液试气和压后压力恢复资料等进行跟踪分析研究、结合调研学习不断提高设计水平,进一步完善鄂北气井的压裂改造技术。     

Effect of excessive Internet use on the time-frequency characteristic of EEG

We examined the effect of excessive Internet use on the time–frequency characteristic of the electroencephalogram by wavelet transformed and non-negative matrix factorization (NMF). The event-related potentials (ERP) of normal subjects and excessive Internet users were acquired using the oddball paradigm experiment. We applied the wavelet transformed and event-related spectral perturbation to ERP in order to extract the time–frequency values. The F-test statistics of time–frequency values were then decomposed into two components by NMF. Excessive Internet use resulted in a significant decrease in the P300 amplitudes (P < 0.05) and a significant increase in the P300 latency (P < 0.05) in all electrodes. The major effect of excessive Internet use on gamma oscillation occurred at 300 ms after stimuli at 40–50 Hz on the parietal central region. Thus, these data suggest that excessive Internet use affects information coding and integration in the brain.     

金融时间序列的多重分形类型的确定

为了探索股票时间序列的无标度性,利用多重分形消除趋势涨落分析的方法(MF-DFA)来研究沃尔玛股票指数(WMT)日收盘价.结果表明沃尔玛股票指数日收盘价的变化具有多重分形的特性.然后,随机打乱时间序列的次序,用MF-DFA方法分析打乱序列的多重分形性质,得出沃尔玛股票指数的多重分形主要是由概率密度函数产生的,分布多重分形占主导地位.比较原始序列和打乱序列的多重分形性质,得出打乱序列的多重分形性弱于原始序列的多重分形性.     

基于局部RBF网络的复杂时间序列预测方法研究

针对复杂时间序列全局预测模型建模效率低、预测性能不佳等问题,提出一种基于局部RBF神经网络的新型预测模型.该模型采用K最近邻搜索方法得到待预测样本的K个近邻,用近邻样本进行RBF神经网络建模,用训练好的RBF神经网络对待预测样本进行预测.实验结果显示该模型在复杂时间序列预测上有良好的性能.     

模糊时间序列预测在动态经济系统预测中的应用

研究适合于动态经济系统的预测方法,对指导我国现阶段的经济工作有很大的意义。为尽可能地减少对动态经济系统预测的偏差,将模糊数学的理论应用于预测过程中,应用模糊时间序列预测方法,解决带有模糊信息的动态预测问题,使所得出的预测结果能够更加符合现实的需要。     

《周易》人文时间观的现代价值

《周易》是中华民族古代智慧的结晶,是人文型时间观的缔造者。其人文时间观对于整个中华文化乃至整个世界文化而言都具有重要的开创性意义。《周易》的时间观具有对于现代情境的应因性与机因性、矫正西方近现代时间观之偏失、语用学意义的现代运用、转化为复兴中华和中华民族的行动智慧等现代价值。     

堵塞恢复时间服从标准正态分布的旅行者问题策略研究

针对旅行者在行走过程中遇到的某一或一系列无法预知堵塞事件的加拿大旅行者问题,考虑每个堵塞恢复时间是一个相互独立随机变量的情形,从在线问题与竞争策略的角度,给出了每个堵塞恢复时间都为标准正态分布下的等待策略和贪婪策略以及相应策略下的竞争比,并对两种策略的执行效果进行了分析和比较．     

Overexpression of OsRAA1 promotes flowering and hypocotyls elongation in Arabidopsis

Previously, OsRAA1, an AtFPF1 homologue gene, was found to play an important role in modulating rice root development. In the current study, OsRAA1 was overexpressed in Arabidopsis, and the transgenic plants showed early flowering and elongated hypocotyl phenotypes as compared with the wild-type under white-light conditions. The hypocotyls of transgenic lines were twice as long as those of wild-type plants under red-light conditions but were indistinguishable from those of the wild-type under blue and far-red light and darkness. In addition, the phenotypes of AtFPF1 transgenic lines were similar to those of OsRAA1 transgenic lines. These results suggested that OsRAAI/AtFPF1 protein is involved in regulating flowering time and plays an important role in the inhibition of hypocotyl elongation under continuous red light. The functions were preserved during the evolution.