考虑借还平衡约束的城市自行车服务点布设

为了解决城市自行车服务点借还不平衡导致城市自行车系统使用效率低和停放混乱的问题,构建了以借还差惩罚成本为主要考量因素,步行成本、骑行成本、建设成本为次要因素的多目标协同优化的选址模型。研究揭示了城市自行车使用者的出行目的性强、随机性不显著、相对稳定的规律,并利用马尔科夫过程理论预测借还规律特征,使用帕累托(Pareto)加权求和法求解获得自行车服务点位置方案。研究结果表明,所提出的方法能够大幅改善服务点布设不当引发的需求不平衡的问题,辅助优化城市自行车在交通出行结构中的分担比例。     

Design and implementation of two-level metadata server in small-scale cluster file system

The reliability and high performance of metadata service is crucial to the store architecture. A novel design of a two-level metadata server file system （TTMFS） is presented, which behaves high reliability and performance. The merits both centralized management and distributed management are considered simultaneously in our design. In this file system, the advanced-metadata server is responsible for manage directory metadata and the whole namespace. The double-metadata server is responsible for maintaining file metadata. And this paper uses the Markov return model to analyze the reliability of the two-level metadata server. The experiment data indicates that the design can provide high throughput.     

循环流化床锅炉返料器改造分析

本文介绍了循环流化床锅炉以及返料器存在的由于返料阀为高流率、低压头、小风量自平衡回灰阀,返料阀松动风采用一次冷风,使用过程中返料装置的配风管容易出现弯曲变形,返料不均匀造成堵塞的缺陷,返料装置的缺陷影响了锅炉的安全稳定运行,造成了一定的经济损失,为彻底解决此问题,通过对现有返料装置进行了改造,解决返料器堵塞的问题,为锅炉安全、稳定、长周期运行提供了基础保障。     

机场防洪工程风险一效益分析方法

针对现行机场防洪工程设计方法的不足 ,提出一种新的设计方法 :风险—效益分析方法。该方法以防洪工程的经济、社会和军事等的综合效益作为依据来评价设计方案。对各个效益指标的确定和计算也进行了初步的探讨。通过某机场改建排洪沟工程的计算 ,用风险—效益分析法确定了最佳的设计方案     

基于层次分析法的图书退货二次分类上架作业效率提升方案实证研究

近年来,图书行业的大量退货严重制约着图书公司的效益。本文以安徽振兴图书公司的相关数据为研究对象,首先运用层次分析法对安徽振兴图书公司图书退货处理效率影响因素进行具体分析,在结论的基础之上采用二次分类法对于该公司的退书上架作业效率提出了提升方案。由于图书行业的行业特征明显,管理方法相近,所以希望通过此例的实证研究,从技术层面对于国内整个图书行业的此类问题提供借鉴和参考。     

抗旱能力定量计算的简化方法

针对具有月尺度的径流系列资料和同期的月或年尺度的供需水系列资料,或仅具有水资源规划中不同保证率(如50%、75%、90%、95%或97%等)的供需水资料2种常见的资料条件,给出抗旱能力定量计算的简化方法,并根据抗旱能力水平指数来水频率(保证率)关系曲线确定抗旱能力大小;提供了计算示例,可供进一步研究与应用参考。     

铲齿凸轮理论廓线的设计研究

以铲齿凸轮理论廓线为研究对象,对其设计方法进行了深入研究,提出Hermite型的凸轮回程曲线设计.简要叙述了利用铲齿车床加工齿轮滚刀铲背曲面的基本原理.基于微分几何学和Hermite多项式插值理论,并结合曲线边界条件,给出了三次Hermite型回程曲线的参数方程.结合铲齿凸轮设计实例,比较Archimedes型和Hermite型回程曲线的运动特性曲线,并分析其对加工过程的影响,证明Hermite型曲线的优势.为提高设计效率,用C语言编写铲齿凸轮理论廓线辅助设计程序,并结合开源程序包gnuplot和LaTeX,以曲线图呈现设计结果.     

金融资产收益率的多尺度统计分析

金融资产收益率是金融投资要考虑的重要因素.金融资产收益率数据样本的不确定性可以用统计模型进行描述.本文从多尺度的角度讨论和分析了金融资产收益率在小波域的统计模型和统计特性.蒙特卡罗仿真实验和分析表明了结论的有效性.     

实时应用的可预测性研究和分析

阐述了实时应用的可预测性概念,以及实时应用的静态特性和动态特性,并从静态可预测性和动态可预测性两个方面分析支持可预测性的主要策略．     

Geopolitical risk and global financial cycle: Some forecasting experiments

In this study, we investigate the connection between geopolitical risk (GPR) and global financial cycle (GFCy) as well as whether the former has predictive value for the out-of-sample predictability of the latter. We utilize both the historical and recent GPR data and their variants, namely, GPR act covering all “acts” that constitute GPR such as war, nuclear invasion and terrorism, and GPR threat, which represents threats of these acts. We construct a predictive model that accommodates the salient features of the predicted and predictor series while the forecast evaluation is conducted for both in-sample and out-of-sample periods. Our findings reveal that a rise in GPR discourages investments in risky assets and by implication worsens GFCy. The impact is more severe after the global financial crisis (gfc), and the GPR threat exerts more adverse effect on GFCy compared with GPR act regardless of whether historical GPR or recent GPR is used. Meanwhile, the predictive model of GFCy that accommodates the GPR data outperforms the benchmark model that ignores it both in the in-sample and out-of-sample estimates albeit with improved forecast performance during the post-gfc period and at a longer forecast horizon. However, the recent GPR data, which are broader in scope, offer better forecast accuracy than the historical GPR data. Additional analyses involving the vulnerability of global economic conditions reveal similar outcomes as GFCy.