浅谈孔、庄二家的个体关系

阐述孔子的“知其不可为而为之”与庄子的“知其不可为而安之若命”观点，认为其总体地代表了人类思想史上两种不同的“个体关怀”理论。并对比二家得失。     

浅论晚清文人经商

本文探讨了晚清文人经商热潮的社会历史原因，选取其中具有代表性的魏源、郑观应、张謇等人的经商活动来反映整个社会文人经商的阶段性进展，揭示了其对中国近代化进程的影响和失败的原因。     

Gall‐induction by an Australian insect of the family Thripidae (Thysanoptera: Terebrantia)

Leaf‐fold galls induced by Cyrilthrips cecidis gen. nov. et sp. nov. on Austrosteenisia blackii (Fabaceae) in eastern Queensland, Australia, involve either single or double folds. Single‐fold galls are subject to invasion by two species of kleptoparasitic Phlaeothripidae, to which double‐fold galls are largely immune. This thripid is a member of a southeast Asian lineage of Thripinae in which gall‐induction is possibly recurrent. This lineage includes the genus Chaetanaphothrips in which some species are crop pests but not gall‐inducing. Females of Cyrilthrips have a unique curved spur on the hind coxae, and the ocellar chaetotaxy is also unique among Thripidae.     

New amphipods of hydrothermal vent environments on the Mid‐Atlantic Ridge,Azores Triple junction zone

This work is the third publication on the new amphipod species collected from the Azores Triple junction zone by the cruises ATOS, DIVA 2, MARVEL, PICO and SEAHMA 1. Seven new species and a new genus are described belonging to six families, Eusiridae, Leucothoidae, Oedicerotidae, Phoxocephalidae, Pleustidae, and Podoceridae. They were sampled in four sites, Menez Gwen, Lucky Strike, Saldanha and Rainbow.     

杜甫报国忧民意识的思想意蕴与精神特征

杜甫有过致仕的经历，但更多的时候是身在江湖，但这并未让诗人熄灭政治热情。战乱和动荡给诗人带来的巨大影响和冲击，更让诗人深切地体会到人民的苦难。杜甫深厚的仁民爱物情怀，让他在漂泊无定的人生中始终保持着强烈的报国忧民意识。     

Conditional volatility forecasting in a dynamic hedging model

This paper addresses several questions surrounding volatility forecasting and its use in the estimation of optimal hedging ratios. Specifically: Are there economic gains by nesting time‐series econometric models (GARCH) and dynamic programming models (therefore forecasting volatility several periods out) in the estimation of hedging ratios whilst accounting for volatility in the futures bid–ask spread? Are the forecasted hedging ratios (and wealth generated) from the nested bid–ask model statistically and economically different than standard approaches? Are there times when a trader following a basic model that does not forecast outperforms a trader using the nested bid–ask model? On all counts the results are encouraging—a trader that accounts for the bid–ask spread and forecasts volatility several periods in the nested model will incur lower transactions costs and gain significantly when the market suddenly and abruptly turns. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Description of a new hypogean species of the genus Trechus Clairville, 1806 from eastern Spain and comments on the Trechus martinezi‐lineage (Coleoptera: Adephaga: Carabidae)

Trechus torressalai new species, a cave‐dwelling ground beetle from eastern Spain is described. Ecological data are also included. Diverse morphological characters suggest they belong in the Trechus fulvus‐group. Detailed study of the aedeagus suggests taxonomic affinities with Trechus martinezi Jeannel, Trechus alicantinus Español, and Trechus beltrani Toribio. The close relationship among these species reveals an adelphotaxon‐complex that constitutes the T. martinezi‐lineage, exclusive to the north‐eastern Betic Mountains. An identification key to the species and biogeographical comments on the T. martinezi‐lineage are also included.

Se describe Trechus torressalai nueva especie, carábido cavernícola del Este de España. Se incluyen datos sobre su ecología. Diversos caracteres morfológicos aconsejan su inclusión dentro del amplio grupo de Trechus fulvus. El estudio detallado de la genitalia masculina sugiere su proximidad taxonómica a Trechus martinezi Jeannel, Trechus alicantinus Español y Trechus beltrani Toribio. Las estrechas afinidades entre estas cuatro especies desvela un complejo de adelfotaxones que constituyen el linaje de T. martinezi, exclusivo del extremo nororiental de las montañas Béticas. Se aportan claves de identificación para estas especies. Se incluyen comentarios sobre la biogeografía del linaje de T. martinezi.     

How helpful are spatial effects in forecasting the growth of Chinese provinces?

In this paper, we make multi‐step forecasts of the annual growth rates of the real gross regional product (GRP) for each of the 31 Chinese provinces simultaneously. Beside the usual panel data models, we use panel models that explicitly account for spatial dependence between the GRP growth rates. In addition, the possibility of spatial effects being different for different groups of provinces (Interior and Coast) is allowed for. We find that both pooling and accounting for spatial effects help substantially to improve the forecast performance compared to the benchmark models estimated for each of the provinces separately. It is also shown that the effect of accounting for spatial dependence is even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared forecast error is about 8% at the 1‐year horizon and exceeds 25% at the 13‐ and 14‐year horizons). Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A monetary real‐time conditional forecast of euro area inflation

Based on a vector error correction model we produce conditional euro area inflation forecasts. We use real‐time data on M3 and HICP, and include real GPD, the 3‐month EURIBOR and the 10‐year government bond yield as control variables. Real money growth and the term spread enter the system as stationary linear combinations. Missing and outlying values are substituted by model‐based estimates using all available data information. In general, the conditional inflation forecasts are consistent with the European Central Bank's assessment of liquidity conditions for future inflation prospects. The evaluation of inflation forecasts under different monetary scenarios reveals the importance of keeping track of money growth rate in particular at the end of 2005. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.