带有讨厌参数的经验似然比置信区间

在许多情况下，形如θ０＝ＥＨ（Ｘ，μ）是人们所感兴趣的参数，这里Ｈ（·，·）是一已知在Ｒｄ×Ｒｋ上的连续实函数，其中，μ∈Ｒｋ是一讨厌参数，利用经验似然比泛函给出了θ０的经验似然比置信区间，属非参数方法，但其结果却类同于参数下的Ｗｉｌｋｓ定理和Ｏｗｅｎ的工作，同时给出了一些有用实例．     

水驱油藏含水率及采出程度相似理论研究

为使模拟实验结果更好地应用到油田,为油田开发方案提供理论指导,应用相似定数法导出了水驱油藏相似准则,经相似变换建立了采出程度和含水率相似准则。利用数值模拟方法对各相似准则进行了敏感性分析,利用相似理论函数论对敏感性较强的相似准则进行了研究。结果表明,水驱油藏采出程度及含水率同各相似准则之间满足乘积关系。根据此关系建立了水驱油藏含水率与采出程度的经验关系式。关系式中引入了相渗经验系数以消除模型与原型相渗差异。物理模拟实验与数值模拟结果的对比表明,所建立的经验关系式可以满足油田实际应用。     

Investigation on Relationship between Cost and Software Reliability

Based on the fact that the software development cost is an important factor to control the whole project, we discuss the relationship between the software development cost and software reliability according to the empirical data collected from the development process. By evolutionary modeling we get an empirical model of the relationship between cost and software reliability, and validate the estimate results with the empirical data.     

财务危机预警实证研究方法的评析

综述了国内外财务危机预警的实证研究,分析了国内外具有重要影响的相关文献,对我国财务预警实证研究的发展方向进行了探讨。     

An Efficient Way of Fabric Simulation

A particle system model is presented for the simulation of fabric draping. The interaction of each particle is based on a refined mass-spring structure. Regarded the fabric material as an orthotropic continuum, the refinement of our model is focused on the construction of mechanical responses of bending and shearing springs by means of a piecewise polynomial approximation of KES-F testing data. In this way, the draping figure of a silk fabric, a wool fabric and a polyester fabric are simulated. The static final shape and animation of simulation proves that our model has developed an efficient technique on real fabric-drape modeling, and the little computation time of the simulation execution on a PC with Celeron 450 CPU may meet the requirement of real-time simulation.     

刻度指数族参数的渐近最优的经验Bayes估计

对刻度指数族在加权平方损失下获得了刻度参数的Bayes估计，并构造了相应的经验Bayes估计，证明了该估计是渐近最优的。     

Temporal-spatial characteristics of vegetation cover and desertification of China by using remote sensing data

Based on the NOAA advanced very high resolution radiometer (NOAA-AVHRR) remote sensing data of 1982 — 1999. the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) reflecting the surface vegetation cover has been obtained. Using the empirical orthogonal function analysis, the temporal-spatial eigenvectors of NDVI are given, and the characteristics of the spatial distribution of vegetation cover and its temporal variation together with the desertification of China are analyzed. It is found that the surface vegetation cover has seriously deteriorated in most part of China since 1995. along with the intensified desertification. All these are mainly caused by human activities although the climate change is responsible for the damage of surface vegetation cover to some extent.     

Analysis of EET on Ca increasing the melting point of Mg17Al12 phase

The present investigation showed that the additions of Ca to the alloy AZ91 were mainly dissolved into the Mg17Al12 phase and increased its melting point and thermal stability, which would have great effects on the high- temperature properties of AZ91 alloy. The empirical electron theory (EET) of solid and molecules was used to calculate the valence electron structures (VES) of Mg17Al12 intermetallic compound with and without Ca addition. The results showed that Ca dissolving in Mg17Al12 phase increased the strength of bonds that control the thermal stability of Mg17Al12 phase. Additions of Ca also made the distribution of the valence electrons on the dominant bond network more uniform in the whole unit cell of Mg17Al12. The theoretical conclusions well account for the experimental results.     

神经网络在混凝土强度预测中的应用

通过建立神经网络中使用最广泛的BP网络模型，预测普通混凝土，高强混凝土等多种混凝土强度，模型的预测值与试验数据，传统的鲍罗米经验公式的预测结果进行了比较。研究表明，神经网络方法由于综合考虑了混凝土强度的各种影响因素，能够实现非线性关系，具有较高的预测精度，在混凝土性能预测中具有广阔的应用前景。