抽水引起岩土体内应力变化分析

针对开采地下水这一特定问题,以在抽水实践中地下水水位面是一以井心为顶点的旋转抛物面为出发点,研究了地下水开采过程中岩土体应力变化的时空规律。通过分析影响内部应力变化的宏观物理量—开采影响半径、井心水位下降和空间位置,可以方便的得到随着时间变化岩土体内部应力变化的全程规律。同时,分析了影响边界、下沉位置等因素对计算结果的影响。     

Which survey indicators are useful for monitoring consumption? Evidence from European countries

This paper assesses the information content of two survey indicators for consumption developments in the near future for eight European countries in the period 1985–1998. Empirical work on this topic typically focuses on consumer confidence, the perceptions of buyers of consumption goods. This paper examines whether perceptions of sellers of consumption goods, measured by retail trade surveys, may also improve short‐term monitoring of consumption. We find that both consumer confidence and retailer confidence embody valuable information, when analysed in isolation. For France, Italy and Spain we conclude that adding retail confidence does not improve the indicator model once consumer confidence has been included. For the UK the reverse case is obtained. For the remaining four countries we show that combining consumer sentiment and retail trade confidence into a composite indicator leads to optimal results. Our results suggest that incorporating information from retail trade surveys may offer significant benefits for the analysis of short‐term prospects of consumption. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A ground‐level ozone forecasting model for Santiago,Chile

A physically based model for ground‐level ozone forecasting is evaluated for Santiago, Chile. The model predicts the daily peak ozone concentration, with the daily rise of air temperature as input variable; weekends and rainy days appear as interventions. This model was used to analyse historical data, using the Linear Transfer Function/Finite Impulse Response (LTF/FIR) formalism; the Simultaneous Transfer Function (STF) method was used to analyse several monitoring stations together. Model evaluation showed a good forecasting performance across stations—for low and high ozone impacts—with power of detection (POD) values between 70 and 100%, Heidke's Skill Scores between 40% and 70% and low false alarm rates (FAR). The model consistently outperforms a pure persistence forecast. Model performance was not sensitive to different implementation options. The model performance degrades for two‐ and three‐days ahead forecast, but is still acceptable for the purpose of developing an environmental warning system at Santiago. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

城市可持续发展水平的指标体系及评价

从经济、环境、资源、社会发展和人口5个方面构建了评价城市可持续发展水平的指标体系.由于涉及到众多的指标,选择因子分析法通过降维处理,能使较多原始指标被综合为几个较少指标.实例证明,指标的选取、方法的选择都比较合理.     

自动门限转速测量仪的设计

本文提出了自动门限测量转速的方法,同时介绍了采用8098单片机的A/D输入及PWM输出来实现自动门限,并且采用HSI及定时器实现转速测量的硬件电路及相应的软件设计方法.     

正态分布位置参数基于不完全数据的区间估计

对于不完全的样本数据，给出了构造正态分布总体位置参数的置信区间的一个方法，这个结果还适用样本中可能存在异常值的情形。     

基于ERP的决策支持系统在快速消费品行业中的应用研究

介绍了快速消费品行业信息化的现状,指出ERP对提供支持决策信息能力不足的缺点,进而提出在ERP广泛应用的快速消费品行业里,建立基于ERP系统的综合数据仓库决策支持系统的重要性以及广阔前景。     

用旋量零标架方法导出球对称动态黑洞时空中Dirac粒子的能级

用旋量零标架方法对球对称动态黑洞时空中旋量粒子的Dirac方程分离变量，并退耦为普通微分方程组，从所获得的径向方程和角向方程出发，进一步导出了Dirac粒子的能级方程．得到了粒子的能量分布不仅与粒子的质量、自旋量子数、角量子数、磁量子数有关，还与黑洞周围的时空结构及视界的变化有关．     

基于等级结构的竞争种群系统的最优控制问题

研究了一类基于个体等级结构差异的竞争种群系统最优控制问题。首先利用不动点定理证明了系统解的存在惟一性,其次证明了解对控制变量的连续依赖性,最后通过共轭系统及切锥-法锥的相关理论得出了最优控制的必要性条件。     

遮光和栽培密度对石蒜生长及切花品质的影响

采用裂区设计研究遮光程度和栽培密度对石蒜地上部分生长状况及切花品质的影响。结果表明:(1)遮光程度对石蒜营养生长的影响不显著,因石蒜可通过提高叶绿素b的含量来适应弱光条件,但遮光程度对石蒜生殖生长和切花品质的影响显著,以60%遮光处理有利于提高切花品质,尤其是花茎长度;(2)栽培密度对石蒜营养生长的影响不显著,对切花品质的影响较大,以15cm×10cm切花数量最大,15cm×20cm切花品质最好。