南水北调中线工程供水量风险分析

对南水北调中线工程的供水量进行分析计算,提供各供水区供水量的概率分布函数及其参数,为今后进一步进行工程供水效益的风险分析提供了基础。同时,根据已有的研究成果,在适当考虑水源区水资源利用情况以及供水区当地各种水源合理调度等主要影响因素的基础上,采用多变量AR（1）随机模型,对中线工程水源区的可调水量及各供水区的缺水量进行联合模拟研究,并由模拟的长序列进行供需意义上的供水量风险计算。结果表明,各供水区供水量的概率分布,可近似采用正态分布函数描述;计算资料条件下,中线工程供需意义上的供水量风险值约为20％。     

Deep sea pollen record during 12－1.6 Ma from the southern South China Sea and its response to envi-ronmental change

Based on deep-sea pollen results (512-76 m) from ODP Site 1143 in the southern South China Sea (SCS),the climate and vegetation evolution sequence on the surrounding islands and the exposed continental shelf are discussed. The pollen records show that the pollen influx was quite low before 8.15 Ma and increased dramatically afterwards. The influx changes can be ascribed,on one side,to tectonics deformations around the southern SCS resulting in rapid uplift of islands and subsequent increase of the sediment rates and pollen influx and on the other side to climate cooling and monsoon enhancement. Around 2.63 Ma was another obvious boundary,the increasing of pollen and spores influx since this time was mainly related to global climate cooling. Spectrum analysis of pollen influx values shows that 2 Ma,0.67 Ma,and 0.19-0.17 Ma cycles existed during 12-3.0 Ma,while 0.1 Ma and 46.9 ka cycles existed during 3.0-2.0 Ma.     

Sea surface temperature and terrestrial biomarker records of the last 260 ka of core MD05-2904 from the northern South China Sea

This paper reports high-resolution biomarker records of the last 260 ka for core MD05-2904 from the northern South China Sea （SCS）. The sea surface temperature （SST） record using the U37^k＇, index reveals a minimum of 21.5℃（MIS 2） and a maximum of 28.3℃（MIS 5.5）, for a temperature difference of almost 7℃, and provides the longest high-resolution U37^k＇ SST record in northern SCS. The content of odd-number long chain n-alkanes and several n-alkanes indexes such as the CPI, ACL and the C31/C27 ratio, all reveal generally higher values during the glacials and lower values during the interglaclals. Terrestrial input as Indicated by n-alkane content was mostly controlled by sea-level changes： During the glacials, lower sea-level exposed the continental shelf to enable rivers to transport more terrestrial materials to the slope; and the situation reverses during the interglacials. The n-alkane indexes changes reveal more n-alkanes from contemporary vegetation during glacials as a result of the proximity of the core site to the source region, while the increases in ACL and C81/C27 ratio during glaclals indicate a change to more grassy vegetation. However, the highest values for CPI, ACL and the C81/C27 ratio all occurred during late MIS 3, and it was suggested that this period was characterized by a strong summer monsoon-dominated humid climate which resulted in a denser vegetation for the exposed continental shelf region.     

北美自由贸易区竞争政策特征初探

北美自由贸易区竞争政策是继欧盟竞争政策之后的一种新型竞争政策合作模式，是当今区域经济集团竞争政策较理想的合作典范。与欧盟竞争政策相比较，其呈现出抽象性、避免法律真空现象产生、处理竞争争端方式的特殊性、具体规定的模糊性以及层次单一性等特征，其中抽象性、避免法律真空现象产生及处理竞争争端方式的特殊性．比较适合大多数区域经济集团的特点，宜应效仿，而其具体规定的模糊性和层次单一性，应在日后制定的区域经济集团的竞争政策中加以完善。     

Deep-water Earliest Oligocene Glacial Maximum （EOGM） in South Atlantic

The most prominent cooling event of the Earth surface during Cenozoic in the long-term transition from a non-glaciated planet, or “green-house world”, to a polar, glaciated planet, or “ice-house world”, is the Earliest Oligocene Glacial Maximum (EOGM) above the Eocene/Oligocene boundary at about 33.7 Ma. Planktonic and benthic foraminiferal oxygen and carbon isotopes, carbonate content, and coarse fraction, along with high-resolution color reflectance and magnetic susceptibility records during 35-30 Ma, from deep-water Sites 1262 and 1265, Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Leg 208 in South Atlantic, reveal the global cooling event occurring in both surface and deep oceans. The results show that the earliest Oligocene δ^18O values during 33.5-33.1 Ma represent the magnitude of continental ice sheets on east Antarctica and indicate the large decrease in both surface and deep water temperatures of worldwideoceans. The δ^13C records show the large excursion during the period of EOGM event and indicate some types of shift in global carbon reservoir, probably demonstrating the sudden increase in organic carbon burial rates and the changes in the distribution and timing of production. At the same time, lithologic composition, carbonate content, color reflectance, and coarse fraction brought about significant changes close to the Eocene/Oligocene boundary, reflecting the abrupt deepening in the carbonate compensation depth (CCD). Changes in carbonate content were revealed from the color reflectance identify periodicities associated with eccentricity of the Earth‘s orbit (100 and 400 ka), further indicating orbitally forced global climate variations in the Early Oligocene.     

《韩国文集丛刊》中悲秋赋探析

在中国古代文学三大时间悲情模式中,悲秋是其中一个历史悠久的主题,并在韩国得到了继承和发展。《韩国文集丛刊》中的悲秋赋进一步拓展了悲秋在文学上的演绎,文化上的异质使悲秋这一主题在异国的文学中开出了璀璨的花朵。     

南方S750在土地监测中的应用

全球定位系统（GPS）在土地监洲领域中既是遥赢技术的辅助定位手段,也可以作为独立的数据获取手段。南方s750手持数据采集系统的核心技术采用就是GPS定位技术。本文首先整体把握土地监洲的内容和方法以及应用领域,在这基础上来阐述如何利用高精度的南方s750对土地的违法使用进行实时苴控与管理,对土地进行整体的、实时的和动态的监潮分析,从而保障土地违法执法工作的实效高效,以及土地资源的合理管理。     

U-Pb dating of detrital zircons from the Wudangshan Group in the South Qinling and its geological significance

U-Pb dating was made by the LA-ICP-MS method for detrital zircons from the Wudangshan volcanic-sedimentary succession in the South Qinling. Samples comprise quartz sandstones of the Wudangshan Group collected from the base of the Yangping Formation and an upper layer of the Shuangtai Formation overlain its volcanic sequence, and two river-sand collections from the drainage systems cutting across the two formations, respectively. The results show that the Yangping detrital zircons are dominated by 830–780 Ma grains with a minor population of ~1.0–0.84 Ga and sporadic grains of ~2.6, ~2.4 and 2.0 Ga, whereas the Shuangtai zircons yield an upper intercept age of 763±33 Ma, identical to the timing of the Wudangshan volcanism within error, with few concordant grains of 1.9 and 0.86 Ga. Age spectra for the two river-sand samples are similar to those of the Yangping and Shuangtai Formations, respectively. It thus suggests that the Wudangshan strata are less than 780 Ma, whereas their major detrital zircon populations of 1.0–0.85 Ga and 830–780 Ma are consistent with timing of the Hannan magmatic activities along the northwestern margin of the South China Block. This suggests a Hannan or adjacent area provenance for the Wudangshan strata. The Wudang area is characterized by rift-related igneous events at ~755 and ~680 Ma, respectively, pointing to a tectono- magmatic history different from the Hannan area. It is inferred that the ~755 Ma magmatism is likely to indicate a separation of the South China Block from the supercontinent Rodinia, while the ~680 Ma event suggests a further split between the South Qinling and some unknown continent.     

南海北部陆缘黏土矿物组合特征与地质意义

采用沉积矿物分析方法对南海北部九口探井渐新世—中新世沉积物进行系统的黏土矿物分析.结果表明:南海北部沉积物黏土矿物组成随时间及空间呈现规律性变化,黏土矿物伊/蒙转化深度具有自北向南逐步变浅的规律,与地温梯度升高变化趋势基本一致,这种黏土矿物伊/蒙转化的变化规律反映了南海北部洋陆过渡地壳减薄,莫霍面抬升,热流值升高的趋势.通过黏土矿物组合演变特征与热流变化趋势的相关关系,可以预测区域性温度场变化规律,加深对南海北部洋陆过渡地壳厚度变化的认识.     

华南晚古生代Zoophycos时空分布及其控制因素

 基于对华南晚古生代3条剖面Zoophycos的精细解剖和前人资料分析,识别了螺旋形和舌形Zoophycos两种形态,揭示了华南晚古生代Zoophycos时空分布具有3个方面的特征：(1) 在时间上,Zoophycos广泛分布于早-中泥盆世(埃姆斯期-艾菲尔期)、密西西比亚纪(维宪期)及中二叠世(沃德期);(2) 在空间上,Zoophycos主要发育于黔东南、湘中南、桂东北一带;(3) 临滨至浅海下部是Zoophycos的主要产出环境。研究表明,华南晚古代Zoophycos的时空分布与大气含氧量(17%—24%),气候和温度(20—25℃),海水地球化学成分(方解石海Mg/Ca<2)以及生物灭绝事件等具有耦合关系。