Exploring Survey‐Based Inflation Forecasts

This paper first shows that survey‐based expectations (SBE) outperform standard time series models in US quarterly inflation out‐of‐sample prediction and that the term structure of survey‐based inflation forecasts has predictive power over the path of future inflation changes. It then proposes some empirical explanations for the forecasting success of survey‐based inflation expectations. We show that SBE pool a large amount of heterogeneous information on inflation expectations and react more flexibly and accurately to macro conditions both contemporaneously and dynamically. We illustrate the flexibility of SBE forecasts in the context of the 2008 financial crisis. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

串联系统精确置信下限计算和奇点消除

本文通过对廖炯生提出的ＩＵＭＶＥ法的变差系数公式进行校正,重新对二部件串联系统的可靠性置信下限进行了计算,不仅消除掉大部分非正常点,而且也使计算结果更加合理,但仍存在着９个非正常点。我们利用系统的等价试验信息来消除非正常点,获得了令人满意的结果。     

关于CTQ系列接触网支线故障智能切除装置防雷方式的探讨

介绍了CTQ系列接触网支线故障智能切除装置的结构原理、性能特点、实践应用,针对此装置安装在户外现场的实际情况,探讨了对直击雷和感应雷的防护措施。     

RLC串联谐振实验的改进

本文提出了一个在实验教学中往往被忽视,但却十分重要的问题:这就是应对实验所用元件参数作严格的定量测试,(同时也应对所用仪器作严格的校正)才能保证实验结果的正确性,并首先提出在RLC串联谐振实验中要考虑电容器介质损耗电阻。实验结果与理论符合较好,因而对实验教学有一定参考价值。     

树的优美标号

1963年,G·Ringel 提出“所有树都是优美图”的著名猜想。它是图论中迄今尚未解决的难题之一。本文把树看成若干个“星”的串接和并接,从结构上对树的优美标号进行了探讨,对相当广泛的树类,给出了它们的优美标号。     

级数收敛问题中阶的估计法

文章通过阶的概念研究,用阶的估计法讨论数学分析中级数收敛问题,为收敛问题深入研究提供了一种方法。     

矩阵与递推关系

讨论了递推关系的矩阵解法.     

Adaptive control method for nonlinear time-delay processes

Two complex properties,varying time-delay and block-oriented nonlinearity,are very common in chemical engineering processes and not easy to be controlled by routine control methods.Aimed at these two complex properties,a novel adaptive control algorithm the basis of nonlinear OFS(orthonormal functional series) model is proposed.First,the hybrid model which combines OFS and Volterra series is introduced.Then,a stable state feedback strategy is used to construct a nonlinear adaptive control algorithm that can guarantee the closed-loop stability and can track the set point curve without steady-state errors.Finally,control simulations and experiments on a nonlinear process with varying time-delay are presented.A number of experimental results validate the efficiency and superiority of this algorithm.     

序列寻访理论与大学生失业

对序列寻访理论模型的假设、相关概念进行了阐述，并利用该理论模型对当前大学生的失业问题进行了分析，提出了相应的政策建议。     

Bathynotus: A key trilobite taxon for global stratigraphic boundary correlation between Cambrian Series 2 and Cambrian Series 3

The Cambrian trilobite Bathynotus is a special morphology of Redlichiid,which is characterized by a wider thorax axis and an 11th macropleural segment bearing a long,backwardly directed spine.Additionally,its 12th and 13th pleural segments are narrow and they terminate at a fulcrum where they fuse together and to the posterior edge of the long macropleural spine.The genus is widely distributed,occurring in North America,Siberia,the Altay-Sayan fold belt of Russia,South China,the Tarim Basin of China,and Australia.It occurs primarily in deposits of the upper part of the continental slope,at the transition between stable platform settings and subsiding margins of the late Early Cambrian.Here,we recognize three species of Bathynotus from China,including B.holopygus which is widespread around the world.Although six species of Bathynotus have been reported from Siberia and the Altay-Sayan fold belt area of Russia,data presented here suggest that only three of these species are valid.Bathynotus exhibits a short geological range,with its first occurrence late in the unnamed Cambrian Series 2 and the last appearance datum of Bathynotus at the boundary of Cambrian Series 2 and Cambrian Series 3.The late appearance datum (LAD) of Bathynotus provides an important global stratigraphic marker of the boundary between Cambrian Series 2 and Cambrian Series 3.