Accuracy in forecasting: A survey

In this study, the author provides a brief and concise summary of empirical investigations pertaining to forecasting with special reference to the accuracy of different forecasting techniques. The study mainly focuses on comparisons of the accuracy of these techniques. The comparisons cover both quantitative and qualitative methods. In addition the summary includes studies seeking to test or improve accuracy by combining forecasting techniques.     

The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition

In the last few decades many methods have become available for forecasting. As always, when alternatives exist, choices need to be made so that an appropriate forecasting method can be selected and used for the specific situation being considered. This paper reports the results of a forecasting competition that provides information to facilitate such choice. Seven experts in each of the 24 methods forecasted up to 1001 series for six up to eighteen time horizons. The results of the competition are presented in this paper whose purpose is to provide empirical evidence about differences found to exist among the various extrapolative (time series) methods used in the competition.     

一类带有梯度项的非线性椭圆型方程的解的奇性的讨论

本文主要研究了一类带有梯度项的非线性椭圈型偏微分方程,详细讨论了它的解的奇点可去性的问题。     

南京市R&D模式的国际比较及政策建议

发达国家经验表明,在不同经济发展阶段R&D模式具有一般规律可循。将南京市2002—2008年R&D强度、R&D来源和R&D支出结构,与发达国家同期进行比较研究,结果表明,南京市R&D投入强度基本符合规律,但政府R&D投入比例偏低、基础研究经费比例偏低。为加快创新型城市建设,建议南京市加大政府R&D投入力度、优化政府R&D结构,充分调动企业R&D投入的积极性。     

贵州遵义学孔煤炭普查区煤层对比方法及特征分析

本文通过学孔煤炭普查的工程实践,结合相关地球物理资料,对学孔煤炭普查区进行了简要的煤层对比方法及特征分析,主要涉及到:标志层对比法、煤层顶底板岩性对比法、煤岩特征对比法和测井曲线特征对比等方法,运用上述方法,使各煤层易于对比,取得了很好的效果。     

基于BP神经网络的房地产市场比较法价格评估

将ＢＰ神经网络理论应用于房地产市场比较法价格评估,讨论了网络结构的设计、学习算法等问题;计算实例表明,应用神经网络评估房地产价格具有方便、真实、可靠的特点。     

市场经济运行中的竞争机制

本文介绍了竞争机制在三类不同国家经济运行中的作用及其特征。指出了我国经济改革可供借鉴之处。     

Comparison of the accuracy of powder and single-crystal X-ray diffraction techniques in determining organic crystal structure

This study demonstrates the accuracy of pow- der X-ray diffraction （PXRD） in determining the crystal structures of four organic molecules by comparing the structural information obtained from both single-crystal X-ray diffraction （SXRD） and PXRD techniques. Results showed that the PXRD technique had approximately the same precision as the SXRD technique. The majority of the relative deviations from PXRD-derived lattice parameters were within 4-0.2 % of the correct values （average of the SXRD data）, whereas the relative deviations in bond lengths and angles are within 4-1,0 %, All of the relative deviations were subjected to normal statistical distributions （# = 0） and coincided with the SXRD data. As an auxiliary implement of SXRD, PXRD is clearly an effective and powerful technique in establishing an accurate character- ization of organic molecules.     

不完全判断矩阵权值的粒子群优化算法计算

不完全判断矩阵权值求解是一个重要问题.在分析不完全判断矩阵权值求解的各种方法基础上,提出以使判断矩阵的最大特征值达到最小为目标,建立求解权值准则.给出利用粒子群优化算法解决此问题,实例表明该方法比较有效.     

西昌黄皮洋葱春播秋收品种栽培试验研究

本试验用长日照、中日照和短日照型的黄皮洋葱品种10个,在不同的3个播期进行栽培对比试验,试验结果表明:中日照黄皮洋葱品种10A1、10A2适宜西昌春播秋收。