污水处理厂污泥的资源化处理

污水处理产生的污泥中含有不同的有机物和无机污染物，其处置以减量化、稳定化、无害化和资源化为目的。污泥的土地利用、污泥消化制沼气、污泥燃料化技术、污泥的建材利用及污泥的其他几种资源化处理方法，有利于污泥处理效率的提高和环境的改善。     

犁式滑雪转弯膝关节软骨有限元分析

随机挑选200名实验对象,记录他们的基本信息、关节角度和滑行速度,对其中181个有效数据进行分析.根据1名志愿者的MR,CT数据建立了膝关节140°软骨与骨的三维模型.根据运动学分析结果和膝关节解剖学结构定义载荷及约束,在Abaqus 6.14中得出转弯膝软骨应力集中出现的位置.研究结果表明:体重过大、速度过快时应适当增大转弯半径以减少向心力对膝关节软骨施加的应力;犁式转弯的过弯速度应控制在3 m/s之内.     

车削颤振稳定性预测软件研究与开发

针对金属加工过程中颤振预测软件实现的工程需求,设计了车削加工颤振稳定性叶瓣图实验测试软硬件系统,研究了软件实现算法中的关键问题.首先,搭建了由采集卡、加速度传感器、模态力锤组成的硬件系统,开发了具有频响函数测试和稳定性叶瓣图生成功能的系统软件.其次,设计了交互式软件采集及分析界面,研究了基于C#编程语言频响函数测试过程中多通道高速同步触发采集的实现算法,开发了具有由频域分析方法获得颤振稳定性叶瓣图功能的C#类.最后,对CJ0625车床加工系统进行稳定性预测,结果表明软件预测结果与实验结果相吻合.     

Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Model Averaging and Selection over the Business Cycle

Four methods of model selection—equally weighted forecasts, Bayesian model‐averaged forecasts, and two models produced by the machine‐learning algorithm boosting—are applied to the problem of predicting business cycle turning points with a set of common macroeconomic variables. The methods address a fundamental problem faced by forecasters: the most useful model is simple but makes use of all relevant indicators. The results indicate that successful models of recession condition on different economic indicators at different forecast horizons. Predictors that describe real economic activity provide the clearest signal of recession at very short horizons. In contrast, signals from housing and financial markets produce the best forecasts at longer forecast horizons. A real‐time forecast experiment explores the predictability of the 2001 and 2007 recessions. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

双前桥重型汽车轴间距及操纵稳定性分析

分析了双前桥重型汽车轴间距与轮胎载荷的关系,建立了双前桥重型汽车平面运动微分方程,得到该车型稳态横摆角速度增益和稳定性因素表达式;提出了保证轮胎均载和整车具有不足转向特性应满足的条件;分析结果为双前桥重型汽车轴距合理布置提供了理论依据。     

奇摄动非线性系统Robin边值问题的多种层性质

通过研究一类具有转向点的二阶非线性系统Rob in边值问题的奇摄动.在适当的假设条件下,利用微分不等式方法得到了解的存在性和渐近估计.     

Forecasting key US macroeconomic variables with a factor‐augmented Qual VAR

In this paper, we first extract factors from a monthly dataset of 130 macroeconomic and financial variables. These extracted factors are then used to construct a factor‐augmented qualitative vector autoregressive (FA‐Qual VAR) model to forecast industrial production growth, inflation, the Federal funds rate, and the term spread based on a pseudo out‐of‐sample recursive forecasting exercise over an out‐of‐sample period of 1980:1 to 2014:12, using an in‐sample period of 1960:1 to 1979:12. Short‐, medium‐, and long‐run horizons of 1, 6, 12, and 24 months ahead are considered. The forecast from the FA‐Qual VAR is compared with that of a standard VAR model, a Qual VAR model, and a factor‐augmented VAR (FAVAR). In general, we observe that the FA‐Qual VAR tends to perform significantly better than the VAR, Qual VAR and FAVAR (barring some exceptions relative to the latter). In addition, we find that the Qual VARs are also well equipped in forecasting probability of recessions when compared to probit models.     

减缓细长轴车削加工时振动的方法

从振动的角度分析了细长轴车削时变形情况和在主车削力作用下细长轴的动特性,通过有限元法仿真了细长轴振动的模态特性.通过对比分析,证实了使用浮动跟刀架能有效地补偿控制振动以减少径向振型的振幅,从而明显地减小细长轴的加工误差.     

转向概率对平面环行交叉路口交通流的影响

从道路结构出发,建立了具有内、外环道的平面环形交叉路口元胞自动机模型,研究了转向概率对平面环行交叉路口交通流的影响.计算机模拟结果表明.各车道的交通流在转向概率影响下呈现出不同的特点.转向概率均在一定的系统密度区域内对车道的交通流存在影响.     

履带车辆软地转向性能理论分析

建立了一个履带车辆软地稳态转向模型,模型中考虑到了车辆沉陷、纵向倾角等因素;对模型参数进行了数值计算,并以此分析了土壤、车辆结构诸多参数对转向性能的影响.