The problem of time's arrow historico-critically reexamined

Responding to Hasok Chang's vision of the history and philosophy of science (HPS) as the continuation of science by other means, I illustrate the methods of HPS and their utility through a historico-critical examination of the problem of “time's arrow”, that is to say, the problem posed by the claim by Boltzmann and others that the temporal asymmetry of many physical processes and indeed the very possibility of identifying each of the two directions we distinguish in time must have a ground in the laws of nature. I claim that this problem has proved intractable chiefly because the standard mathematical representation of time employed in the formulation of the laws of nature “forgets” one of the connotations of the word ‘time’ as it is used in ordinary language and in experimental physics.     

High precision topographic data on Lop Nor basin's Lake "Great Ear" ? and the timing of its becoming a dry salt lake

High precision elevation measurements using DGPS were carried out along three representative tran- sects for the "Great Ear" area, a dry salt lake within the Lop Nor basin. Results indicate that the Lop Nor basin is only 5.2 m deep and its lowest point occurs at the center of the "Great Ear". In addition, the basin is asymmetric - steeper in the southwest (0.19‰) and gentler in the northeast (0.09‰). Points along the same "Great Ear" ring were found to have an identical elevation value, but different when from different ones (lower towards the center). The spacing of the "Great Ear" rings was found to be closely related with the surface steepness. The closer the "Great Ear" rings are spaced, the steeper the ground surface, and vice versa. These findings support the argument that the "Great Ear" rings are the former shoreline trails left behind by Lop Nor water during the last few episodes of recession towards its total dry up. A comprehensive analysis of the high precision elevation data, historical accounts, aerial and satellite photographs and imagery, and official topographic maps of the study area suggests that the "Great Ear" area in the Lop Nor basin was incorrectly mapped as being covered by a great body of water on the 1963 topographic maps. A re-interpretation of the 1958 aerial photographs and newer remote sensing imagery indicated that the "Great Ear" ring structure was already in place in 1958 and it continued to appear on the subsequent remote sensing data without any major changes. It is estimated that lake water in the "Great Ear" area of the Lop Nor basin disappeared between the late 1930s and early 1940s.     

浅谈预算编制改革与预算执行改革

针对传统预算编制方法与预算执行机制中存在的突出问题,浅谈如何同步推进预算编制改革与预算执行改革。     

基于多元时间序列融合的飞行动作识别方法

针对飞行动作数据随机性强与长度不一致的问题,提出通过减小动态时间规整(DTW)算法的搜索空间,并定义不同特征参数贡献度的概念,实现对飞行数据的多元时间序列融合,从而完成对战术机动动作的识别。通过引入预分类和细分类结合的方式,对动作数据进行预处理,然后根据改进的动态时间规整(WDTW)算法对待测数据进行识别。仿真实验表明,相比传统DTW算法,WDTW算法通过降低算法复杂度,识别计算时间变化明显;对核密度与精准度系数的分析表明识别准确率亦有所提高。实验结果验证了所提方法的准确性。     

层次分析法的两处缺陷改进及实例

层次分析方法在定性与定量的评判中,有较广泛地运用。在运用的过程中,发现其存在两处缺陷有待改进。其一为准则层的因素设置过于宽泛,通过其直接评判的权重存在较大的主观误差;其二为专家评判值为一定值,与实际为区间值不相符。基于此,文章提出通过第三层因素判断矩阵,来间接求取准则层各因素的权重;引入三时估算法,改进原有专家评判法,同时对三时估算值误差对权值误差以及最终评判值误差的影响作了一定程度分析。     

确定威布尔分布三参数的一种计算方法

威布尔分布是描述部件寿伞的一种极为主要的分布,本文对确定威布尔分布的三参数,给出了一种试探性算法,方法简单、实用。     

理想非线性单组分色谱模型理论解与实验的比较

用气相色谱的分析方法研究了理想非线性单组分不同温度下的流出曲线，用＂特征点＂法回归出了各组分的物理常数Ｇ和ｂ，代入理论模型公式，并与实验结果进行子比较。     

基于标记的分词算法

目前，自动分词的算法很多，但都有不能满足实用的要求。文中介绍一种在最大匹配法基础上，根据大量的真实语料中出现的语言现象，把汉语中的词按其在分词意义下的特性进行分类，并用不同的标记标识，对每一类词确定一组规则进行处理，使分词算法更接近于实用的目的。     

多功能剧场建筑设计与可调混响时间的应用

本文以一座大型厂矿文化宫建筑设计实例,扼要论述了多功能厅堂的设计要点,结合我国目前多功能厅堂使用状况,提出以电声为主的设计原则和实施办法,以改善多功能厅堂的音质效果。     

非马尔科夫多值噪声驱动下系统的平均第一通过时间

本文把Weiss等发展的计算平均第一通过时间(简称MFPT)的新方法推广到由非马尔科夫多值噪声驱动的过程.为了简化,本文只限于研究矩形分布这一情形.通过一个重要实例,对MFPT进行了具体计算,并得到了显式解析表示.