Time‐simultaneous prediction band for a time series

I propose principles and methods for the construction of a time‐simultaneous prediction band for a univariate time series. The methods are entirely based on a learning sample of time trajectories, and make no parametric assumption about its distribution. Hence, the methods are general and widely applicable. The expected coverage probability of a band can be estimated by a bootstrap procedure. The estimate is likely to be less than the nominal level. Expected lack of coverage can be compensated for by increasing the coverage in the learning sample. Applications to simulated and empirical data illustrate the methods. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

浅谈大学人文素质教育的改进

分析了大学人文素质课程教学存在的问题,对大学人文素质教育的教学管理、教师队伍和教学方法等提出了改进建议。     

河南省高校体育教育专业学生专项技能现状调查

采用问卷调查法对河南省5所院校的426名体育教育专业学生入校前运动经历、在校时运动专项技能现状进行了调查。结果表明，1）一些体育教育专业开设的专选课程少，不能满足学生的需求；2）部分学校体育教育专业课程的设置不合理；3）学生在校期间专项技能学习时间不足．课余练习少，缺乏组织与指导。     

在物理教学中培养元认知以促进自主学习

文章介绍了元认知和自主学习的概念,阐述了元认知对自主学习的促进作用以及如何在物理教学中培养和发展学生的元认知.     

情境教学法在高职高专酒店英语教学中的应用

本文结合情境教学法和酒店英语的特点,阐述了在酒店英语教学中,如何运用情境教学法创设情境,开展课堂教学,提高教学质量。     

浅谈幼儿基本体操对幼儿发育的促进作用

幼儿基本体操是以幼儿为对象,以增强体质为目的的大众健身体操。从幼儿基本体操的概念上、幼儿生理上、心理上、智力发展方面介绍和论述幼儿基本体操对幼儿发育的促进作用。     

Perceptual learning of dot pattern

Dot pattern is a type of pattern defined by specific spatial relationship among some dots. As a compensation for concrete and meaningful visual stimuli, meaningless dot pattern can be used as stimuli in learning tasks. We performed an experiment for exploring the perceptual learning process of dot pattern against random-dot background. Participants were required to learn two types of dot patterns (9-dot and 11-dot). They were assigned to two groups: participants in Group 1 learned 9-dot pattern first and 11-dot pattern later, while those in Group 2 learned 11-dot pattern first and 9-dot pattern later. The results showed that participants could acquire the spatial relationship of dot pattern through perceptual learning in relatively short learning time. In comparison with 9-dot pattern, learning time of 11-dot pattern was slightly longer and its accuracy rate lower, but there was significant positive transfer effect from 11-dot pattern learning to 9-dot learning.     

外气的旋频曲线的实验研究

“旋转曲线”是旋子模型及旋子流假说的重要内容，该曲线在气功外气的研究中占有重要地位。本文从实验的角度证实了旋频曲线的存在，证明了意念对外气的调制作用．     

内含热薄透镜CW色心激光腔的振荡光束特性

运用像镜原理分析三镜折迭腔、四镜折迭腔和四镜8字型环形腔等光学谐振腔的振荡光束特性及其热行为。讨论热效应对谐振腔振荡光束特性的影响规律以及像镜分析方法的精确性,给出谐振腔的热不灵敏条件。