山西省各城市投资环境综合评估研究

介绍了城市投资环境指标体系的构建思路,运用主成分分析方法对山西省各城市投资环境进行了综合评估,以此提高山西省投资环境.     

基于实物期权的投资机会价值评价方法

根据实物期权的方法,给出了一个投资时限为有限的投资机会的价值评价模型,利用数值分析方法计算了投资机会价值并进行相关讨论.     

新手抉择专家意见的依据是什么?

在科学实践和生活世界中，面对一个问题，当两个专家给出不一致或相；中突的专家意见时，外行或新手是否能够又如何能够获得辩护地相信一个专家意见而不是另一个专家意见?     

医院开展法医临床司法鉴定工作浅探

从医学鉴定与法医学鉴定的概念界定入手,探讨了医院开展法医临床司法鉴定工作的管理思路。     

How to think about shared norms and pluralism without circularity: A reply to Anna Leuschner

Anna Leuschner argues that there is problematic circularity in Helen Longino's approach that postulates the existence of some shared norms as a necessary precondition for well-functioning pluralistic communities. As an alternative, Leuschner proposes to approach the establishing of more pluralistic communities through political means on a case-by-case basis, taking relevant epistemic and political factors into account. In this paper, I argue that there is an alternative understanding of norms that avoids circularity. I do so by drawing on Isabelle Peschard's discussion of shared practice. I go on to show that norms, so understood, are important in the cases where a political decision may not alone be sufficient for establishing a successful community. Specifically, I discuss pluralistic communities that include laypersons in possession of relevant expertise as an example.     

基于专家知识的模糊时间序列预测模型及应用

将投资专家的成功经验引入模糊时间序列模型,实现股票市场走势的多步预测。根据专家经验构造多个反映市场结构特征的变量并将其模糊化为模糊时间序列;建立具有多前件、高阶模糊关系的模糊时间序列预测模型;最后,将该模型用于股票指数预测。结果表明,与经典模糊时间序列模型相比,其预测精度有了较大提高。     

认知负荷研究的某些新动向及教学应用

研究者对认知负荷的分类进行了细化,增加了相关认知负荷的概念;将认知负荷的产生机制与图式建构理论相结合;认知负荷的测量方法主要有利用产生式来测量认知负荷、自我报告心理努力、脑电测量技术、快速评估测验等;专长水平和媒体呈现方式等都是个体认知负荷的影响因素.认知负荷研究的最新成果为教学模式、教学计划、教学软件等的设计提供了理论支持.     

证券市场大盘预测准确度的极小极大估计

给出了证券投资机构对证券市场大盘走势预测准确度的定义,通过引入统计判决中的极小极大估计方法,将其作了估计.通过实证对估计结果的分析得出结论,中国证券市场投资咨询机构所提供的对大盘涨跌的预测,每次有一半以上家数正确的概率的极小极大估计为45%.     

Douglas on values: From indirect roles to multiple goals

In recent papers and a book, Heather Douglas has expanded on the well-known argument from inductive risk, thereby launching an influential contemporary critique of the value-free ideal for science. This paper distills Douglas’s critique into four major claims. The first three claims provide a significant challenge to the value-free ideal for science. However, the fourth claim, which delineates her positive proposal to regulate values in science by distinguishing direct and indirect roles for values, is ambiguous between two interpretations, and both have weaknesses. Fortunately, two elements of Douglas’s work that have previously received much less emphasis (namely, her comments about the goals of scientific activity and the ethics of communicating about values) provide resources for developing a more promising approach for regulating values in science.     

语境论的专长观

波兰尼曾把知识划分为两种类型，一种是明确知识；另一种意会知识。专长既包含有明确知识，也包含有意会知识。专长的获得是在实践中完成的，是建立在实践经验基础上的一种能力，并且能够不断地内化到人的身体当中。德弗雷斯从现象学的角度把专长理解为是最高层次的技能；柯林斯进一步讨论了普遍存在的专长、素质和专家的专长，并提出了互动型专长的概念。他们都认为，专长的获得是依赖于语境的。