Prediction in context: On the comparative epistemic merit of predictive success

The considerations set out in the paper are intended to suggest that in practical contexts predictive power does not play the outstanding roles sometimes accredited to it in an epistemic framework. Rather, predictive power is part of a network of other merits and achievements. Predictive power needs to be judged differently according to the specific conditions that apply. First, predictions need to be part of an explanatory framework if they are supposed to guide actions reliably. Second, in scientific expertise, the demand for accurate predictions is replaced with the objective of specifying a robust corridor of estimates. Finally, it is highly uncertain to predict the success of research projects. The overall purpose of the paper is to enlarge the debate about predictions by addressing specifically the roles of predictions in application-oriented research.     

基于分层马尔可夫决策过程的AUV全局路径规划研究

自主路径规划是自治式水下机器人(AUV)自主能力的重要体现,是保障AUV在大范围复杂海洋环境中自主完成使命作业的关键技术之一。提出了基于马尔可夫决策过程的路径规划方法;并建立了基本的马尔可夫决策模型和结合状态聚类的分层马尔可夫决策模型,同时给出了两种规划的仿真实验及结果分析。实验证明,此类方法能够很好地求解大范围复杂环境内AUV的二维路径规划问题。     

Synthesis process of Ba-ferrites from α-FeOOH and γ-FeOOH and investigation of magnetic properties

The claviform BaFe₁₂O₁₉ crystals were synthesized by the precipitation-toptactic reaction method using α-FeOOH and γ-FeOOH as raw materials respectively. The synthesis processes of BaFe₁₂O₁₉, studied by XRD, SEM, EDS, FT-IR, and TG-DTA techniques, included preparations of precursor γ and precursor α, formations of α-Fe₂O₃ and BaFe₂O₄, and production of rod-like BaFe₁₂O₁₉ through dehydroxylation of pod-like FeOOH, followed by reactions of α-Fe₂O₃ with BaCO₃ and BaFe₂O₄. The crystallinity of α-Fe₂O₃ and BaCO₃ from precursor α was better than from precursor γ due to the direct dehydroxylation of α-FeOOH, resulting in a lower nucleation rate and better crystallinity of BaFe₂O₄. BaFe₁₂O₁₉ prepared from precursor α showed lower crystallinity and purity with a higher length-diameter ratio than from precursor γ. The VSM results proved that the appearance of final products had an important influence on magnetic properties.     

专家系统规则启发式划分和并行推理

本文提出了一个启发式规则划分办法并分析了并行规则推理的代价,设规则集合被划分为π=(π_1,π_2,…,π_k),则对于任何一个规则R_i∈π_i,在π_(i-1)中至少有某个R_i,R_i与R_i在某种代换下相关,如果串行推理对规则进行一次遍历所费时间代价为C,对于同样规则划分π进行多处理机或进程并行推理一遍遍历代价至多为C′,C′≤(k/~#R)C。其中~#R是规则集合R的基数,同时给出一个实例和推理代价的实验数据。     

城市地貌过程初探

运用实际例子,对城市地貌过程的含义、类型、作用和特征作了初步探讨.认为,城市地貌过程包括直接过程和间接过程,它们对地貌环境的作用同纯自然地貌过程相比,具有复杂性、广泛性、强烈性和负反馈性特征,值得重视和认真研究.     

正交增量鞅的平方变差和混合积分

研究了二参数正交增量鞅的平方变差和混合积分,证明了平方变差的存在定理。对连续的平方可积强鞅的混合积分的四个基本性质推广到对连续的正交增量鞅的混合积分的情形。     

纯滞后过程动态补偿器的一种新设计方法

本文通过分析Watanabe等人提出的改进型Smith预估控制(MSPC)方案,发现动态补偿器M(S)必须满足lim M(s)=1,否则当模型不匹配时,MSPC有稳态余差。同时作者还提出了一种简单的M(s)设计方法,并进行了实例演算,其结果和文献完全一致。     

试论农业资源利用的辩证发展史与现代农业地理学研究

分析农业资源利用的生产史、认识史和方法史的辩证发展过程，探讨在农业资源利用的现代化进程中，即从传统农业向现代综合生态化农业的转变过程中，农业地理学研究所面临的新任务与新要求，提出了发展农业地理学新的知识体系和研究方法及如何在具有鲜明综合性和区域性特点的现代农业资源高层次利用中发挥其作用等问题的若干思考。     

A－NET机router间通信过程的模拟

在介绍了Ａ－ＮＥＴ计算机的ｒｏｕｔｅｒ部分的功能之后，主要叙述了利用ＵＮＩＸ进程管理和进程通信的功能对ｒｏｕｔｅｒ间通信过程的模拟。     

火灾烟流污染巷道断面的烟流温度测试

测试了火源点下风侧巷道断面上的烟流温度分布，以及火灾过程中断面烟流温度变化，研究结果表明：下风侧巷道断面烟流温度分布是不均匀的，靠近巷道顶板烟流温度较高，靠近底板和壁面较低；当断面烟流平均温度或最高温度相同，随距火源点距离的增加，断面上各测点间烟流温度之差增大。