物质材料决定音乐与舞蹈在时间、空间表现上的特殊性

从音乐美学和舞蹈美学的角度 ,通过对音乐与舞蹈的物质材料声音与动作进行认识和分析 ,阐述物质材料最终决定听觉艺术和视觉艺术的表现特性 ,并进一步论述音乐与舞蹈因物质材料这一因素在时间、空间表现上所呈现的异同点。     

基于RBF网络的混沌时间序列的建模与多步预测

提出将RBF神经网络应用于混沌时间序列的建模与预测中 ,设计了一个三层RBF网络结构 ,说明了RBF网络用于混沌时间序列建模和预测时的基本性质。仿真结果表明 ,RBF网络模型对混沌时间序列有比较强的拟合能力和比较高的一步及多步预测精度。采用RBF网络进行混沌时间序列的建模和预测能够取得比其它方法好得多的效果。     

金融时间序列分形维估计的小波方法

讨论了金融时间序列的性质,通过实际数据说明,金融时间序列具有两个重要特性——统计自相似性和非平稳性.利用正交小波变换的方法,给出了其分形维的估计方法.最后,实证分析了国内金融市场,并应用此方法分别得出了上证综合指数序列过程和深证成分指数序列过程的分形维.     

开放式基金投资者赎回行为的模拟

应用停止理论（shopping theory)的概念和方法模拟开放式基金投资的赎回行为发现，投资者的赎回行为可用停时（stopping time)来描述，并给出了完全随机型赎回行为的概率分布和其收益现值和期望。     

发酵监控系统上位计算机软件编程研究

提出了利用上位机参与实时控制,综合分析在线参数、离线参数和间接参数,辅助发酵过程工艺研究和优化控制,并给出了上位机软件包的部分源程序及框图。该软件包对发酵工艺人员进一步了解菌种的遗传特性、细胞代谢调节和反应器工程特性方面有较大帮助。     

DA_1-100型多级自吸离心泵的研制

阐述了多级自吸泵在节能与操作简便方面的实用意义,并且利用外混式自吸原理,将一台普通节段式多级离心泵改造成一台多级自吸离心泵,同时保持了原有的性能和安装尺寸。还分析了两端轴封漏气的原因,并提出了解决的方法。     

Dirichlet公式的简化证明及应用

本文给出了Ｄｉｒｉｃｈｌｅｔ公式的一个简化证明，极易掌握。利用这一公式导出了一个含双参数的级数及其和的表达式。适当选取参数，得出了几个新的收敛级数。     

A ground‐level ozone forecasting model for Santiago,Chile

A physically based model for ground‐level ozone forecasting is evaluated for Santiago, Chile. The model predicts the daily peak ozone concentration, with the daily rise of air temperature as input variable; weekends and rainy days appear as interventions. This model was used to analyse historical data, using the Linear Transfer Function/Finite Impulse Response (LTF/FIR) formalism; the Simultaneous Transfer Function (STF) method was used to analyse several monitoring stations together. Model evaluation showed a good forecasting performance across stations—for low and high ozone impacts—with power of detection (POD) values between 70 and 100%, Heidke's Skill Scores between 40% and 70% and low false alarm rates (FAR). The model consistently outperforms a pure persistence forecast. Model performance was not sensitive to different implementation options. The model performance degrades for two‐ and three‐days ahead forecast, but is still acceptable for the purpose of developing an environmental warning system at Santiago. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

我国居民消费水平的中长期预测

根据全国1992－1999年居民消费水平的统计数据，采用灰色系统理论的数据预测及缓冲算子公理，结合定性分析，建立了GM（1，1）模型，预测了我国2000－2005年居民消费水平的发展前景。     

Forecasting trend output in the Euro area

This paper is an applied study about forecasting trend output and the output gap in the Euro area. The need for trend output forecasts is justified by an analysis of the monetary strategy of the European Central Bank. Trend output serves as a direct inflation indicator and helps to determine the reference value for money. For both purposes, trend output has to be forecasted. A permanent–transitory decomposition based on cointegration restrictions gives an estimate of trend output in the Euro area. Ex‐ante point forecasts of trend output are computed and bootstrap simulation is employed to construct prediction intervals that take estimation uncertainty into consideration. The uncertainty of trend output and the output gap is quite large and raises questions about their usefulness as indicators for monetary policy. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.