Coordination-theoretic approach to modelling grid service composition process

A grid service composite process is made up of complex coordinative activities. Developing the appropriate model of grid service coordinative activities is an important foundation for the grid service composition. According to the coordination theory, this paper elaborates the process of the grid service composition by using UML 2.0, and proposes an approach to modelling the grid service composition process based on the coordination theory. This approach helps not only to analyze accurately the task activities and relevant dependencies among task activities, but also to facilitate the adaptability of the grid service orchestration to further realize the connectivity, timeliness, appropriateness and expansibility of the grid service composition.     

任务型CGF组织本体建模

针对作战模拟对人类行为表示的准确性要求,建立真实反映战场行为的组织模型是非常重要的。根据需求分析和已有研究的不足,提出了基于本体论的组织建模方法,阐述了该组织本体的构建原则,并从组织静态结构和动态行为两个方面定义了相关概念及概念间的关系。在此基础上采用一阶谓词逻辑描述了该组织本体的形式化过程。实验结果表明,该方法能够准确地建立起用于实体的组织模型,使得实体行为可以反映实际战场行为,且能够保证组织本体的通用性。     

非线性微分〖CDF*2〗代数系统的自适应状态观测器设计

针对非线性微分-代数系统,给出了可观性判据,提出了基于非线性微分-代数方程的自适应状态观测器设计方法。根据状态观测器工作点变化在线配置极点,获得合适的观测器的反馈增益阵,保证观测器在大范围内稳定工作。理论分析了存在模型误差时观测器的鲁棒性,证明如果模型稳态无差,观测器也是稳态无差的。以化工过程中的典型微分-代数系统为例,仿真结果证明了用该方法设计的观测器能够稳定收敛到状态真值,具有较好的动态性能。     

绿洲灌区节水型种植模式评价与筛选

面对水资源严重短缺、农业可持续发展受限、生态环境逐渐恶化的现实,以武威市凉州区为例,运用综合评价方法从经济、社会、生态3个方面对现有主要种植模式进行了分析。结果表明,日光温室蔬菜、玉米/豌豆、制种玉米、小麦/玉米、大田玉米、马铃薯6种模式综合效益较好,但从水资源安全、高效利用、农业产业发展的更高层次要求来看,日光温室蔬菜、玉米/豌豆、制种玉米3种节水高效模式更为理想,适宜于西北内陆绿洲灌区应用,有利于实现节水、增收以及农业产业可持续发展目标。     

基于跳辨识-MCMC组合算法的人民币汇率跳扩散模型参数估计问题

针对人民币汇率收益率时间序列数据存在的跳变特征,采用跳扩散模型对其时间序列数据进行描述.为识别跳变规律并解决模型的参数估计问题,提出了基于跳辨识-MCMC的组合算法:即结合Lee-Mykland的跳辨识方法与MCMC(蒙特卡罗马尔可夫链)方法形成组合算法,利用仿真实验,通过误差分析得出组合算法在跳扩散模型参数估计方面效果明显优于单一MCMC方法.以人民币/美元日汇率数据为样本进行实证分析,结果表明组合算法不但能较为准确地识别出汇率收益率的跳变时刻及规律,而且其模型参数估计的有效性大大提高.     

一般Levy过程下带违约风险的可转换债券定价模型

对可转换债券的相应标的股价S_t=S_0exp[(r-q)t+X_t],在X_t是Levy过程的假设下,运用傅立叶变换和残数定理,得出了带有赎回和回售条款的可转换债券的定价公式;同时,结合Duffie关于衍生产品带违约风险的定价方法,给出了带违约风险的可转换债券定价公式.     

The M/PH/1 queue with working vacations and vacation interruption

We study an M/PH/1 queue with phase type working vacation and vacation interruption where the vacation time follows a phase type distribution. The server serves the customers at a lower rate in a vacation period. The server comes back to the regular busy period at a service completion without completing the vacation. Such policy is called vacation interruption. In terms of quasi birth and death process and matrix-geometric solution method, we obtain the stationary queue length distribution. Moreover we obtain the conditional stochastic decomposition structures of queue length and waiting time when the service time distribution in the regular busy period is exponential.     

翼伞系统纵向动力学建模研究

动力翼伞是一种具有广泛应用价值的独特飞行器,其低速飞行和较大的载荷重量的特点可以使得它成为航空拍摄或军事侦察监视等应用的平台。通过建立简单适用的纵向动力学模型,可以对其速度、姿态等方面的稳定性进行相应的分析。通过推力来控制飞行器的爬升、下降或平飞,起到调整高度的作用。仿真结果表明通过合理的设计载荷与翼伞的质量比、连接绳的长度、翼伞质心与压心的相对位置等影响参数,可以得到较为理想的效果。

Abstract：

Powered parafoils represent a very unique class of aircraft which has broad applied value. Their slow flight and large payload characteristics make them a practical platform for applications such as aerial screen and military surveillance. The stability of speed and attitude was analyzed by designing a simple and applied longitudinal dynamic model. The climbing, descending or flying straight-and-level of the aircraft were controlled by thrust, which had an effect to adjust the altitude. The simulation results show an ideal purpose can be gained by designing the parameters such as the mass ratio of the payload and parafoil, the length of the link, and the relative position between the center of mass and center of pressure rationally.     

大雨对飞机降落影响效应仿真研究与定量分析

为全面、定量分析大雨对飞机降落阶段的严重影响,选取波音737-300作为典型代表,首先对于降落阶段大雨造成的飞机性能损失进行了量级评估。然后重点针对降雨所导致的粗糙表面因素,利用CFD仿真方法和改进的湍流壁面函数,对于不同降雨强度下的波音737-300中段翼型气动性能进行了仿真模拟,给出了升阻力系数、失速攻角等定量结果,并与实验结果进行了对比。结果表明：大雨所导致的粗糙机翼表面将引起严重的气动性能损失。在降落阶段,对于波音737-300中段翼型而言,短时500毫米/小时降雨条件下,最大升力系数减少约28%,阻力系数平均增加达98.1%,失速攻角减小约5度。

Abstract：

Heavy rain might influence aerodynamic performance of an aircraft seriously, especially when it is landing. It requires an intensive investigation and quantitative analysis. Choosing Boeing 737-300 as the representative of aircraft, magnitude calculation for the penalty associated with severe rainfall was firstly made. Then the roughness factor was studied in detail using evolutional turbulence boundary function and CFD simulation tools. The aerodynamic character of Boeing 737-300 midspan airfoil was simulated under different rainfall environment. The quantitative results of lift-drag coefficients and stall angle were proposed and compared with experiment data. The results indicate that, the roughness surface caused by rainfall is most likely to cause significant aerodynamic penalties. For Boeing 737-300 midspan airfoil, when it is landing under severe rainfall of 500mm/hour over 30s periods, it could lead to the loss of maximum lift coefficient by about 28%, the decrease of stall angle by 5 and the increase of drag coefficient by 98.1%.     

航天器及部位投影形状不确定性的建模与仿真

在未来空间作战中,航天器将成为重要的作战装备,同时也将是敌对双方重点打击的对象.通过投影形状确定航天器类型或者航天器毁伤部位的毁伤度,可以为及时采取相应的措施提供决策依据.结合航天器的三维空间实体描述,给出了航天器投影多边形的误差带模型以及航天器毁伤部位投影多边形的面积误差模型.通过实例仿真分析得出,通过构建航天器及其毁伤部位多方位投影形状数据库,建立多边形面元不确定性模型,结合先进的计算机技术和人工智能技术,确定航天器类型及其可能毁伤部位的毁伤度是可行的.