Estimation and testing of time-varying coefficient regression models in the presence of linear restrictions

A linear regression model with random walk coefficients is extended to allow for linear restrictions between the coefficients to be satisfied at each point in time. Estimation in this model is shown to be no more involved than estimation in the standard model. It is also demonstrated how, after a slight modification to the testing problem, classical test procedures may be applied to the problem of testing for such restrictions. The performance of the Lagrange Multiplier test for a variety of different restrictions is then investigated via simulation. An empirical application involving testing for homogeneity in a random walk coefficient version of the AIDS model is given.     

A ground‐level ozone forecasting model for Santiago,Chile

A physically based model for ground‐level ozone forecasting is evaluated for Santiago, Chile. The model predicts the daily peak ozone concentration, with the daily rise of air temperature as input variable; weekends and rainy days appear as interventions. This model was used to analyse historical data, using the Linear Transfer Function/Finite Impulse Response (LTF/FIR) formalism; the Simultaneous Transfer Function (STF) method was used to analyse several monitoring stations together. Model evaluation showed a good forecasting performance across stations—for low and high ozone impacts—with power of detection (POD) values between 70 and 100%, Heidke's Skill Scores between 40% and 70% and low false alarm rates (FAR). The model consistently outperforms a pure persistence forecast. Model performance was not sensitive to different implementation options. The model performance degrades for two‐ and three‐days ahead forecast, but is still acceptable for the purpose of developing an environmental warning system at Santiago. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

语境因素在The Sampler一文的语篇理解中的应用

运用背景知识,认知模式,认知语境知识和知识草案等理论去分析理解购物行为模式,通过分析行为模式的特殊性以及对词语标记性的运手,揭示了一个特殊购物者———TheSam-pler———充满孤独无助的内心世界。     

现代意义下作战模型的研究

本文阐述了现代战争的特点，构造了现代意义下的作战模型，通过求解与分析，指明信息在现代战争中的重要作用和对未来战争的指导意义。     

Radar Imaging Based on Iterative Algorithms

It has long been realized that the problem of radar imaging is a special case of image reconstruction in which the data are incomplete and noisy. In other fields, iterative reconstruction algorithms have been used successfully to improve the image quality. This paper studies the application of iterative algorithms in radar imaging. A discrete model is first derived, and the iterative algorithms are then adapted to radar imaging. Although such algorithms are usually time consuming, this paper shows that, if the algorithms are appropriately simplified, it is possible to realize them even in real time. The efficiency of iterative algorithms is shown through computer simulations.     

粗可能性测度

给定模糊可测空间(X，A)及(X，A)上的可能性测度，通过应用粗集理论，将可能性测度Ⅱ和模糊糊积分分别扩充至P(X)和F(X)上，从而引入粗可能性测度的概念。     

计算机基础课程的探究型教学模式

在计算机基础课程的教学中采用探究型教学模式，对培养学生应用信息技术的能力和创新能力是非常有利的．结合教学实践，对探究型教学模式的3个环节进行了详细的论述，并指出在具体实施过程中应注意的若干问题。     

高等师范学生教师职业技能训练及培养模式新论

高等师范学生的教师职业技能训练,自国家1995年《教师资格条例》颁布以来,虽在全国有关高校一度出现好的势头,但很快被我国高校扩招的形势冲淡了,目前情况令人担忧。因此,在我国高等教育发展的新形势下,从宏观上构建高等师范学生教师职业技能培养模式应是当务之急。     

浅谈高校实行成本管理的必要性和可行性及其组织措施

介绍了当前高等学校实行成本管理的必要性,探讨了高等学校实行成本管理的可行性,阐述了高等学校实行成本管理的组织措施。     

基于时态关系模型的儿童保健系统的设计研究

根据当前时态数据模型的理论,为儿童保健管理信息系统建立了一个可行的时态关系模型,并对系统中的查询做了简单的描述,最后分析了这种建模方法的优缺点.