微博网络舆情中的意见领袖识别及分析

从用户影响力和用户活跃度两个角度考虑,构建了微博意见领袖指标体系,提出了使用层次分析法和粗糙集决策分析理论对意见领袖的特征进行识别及分析的理论框架。对3起突发事件微博数据进行了实证分析,通过观察法分析了Top 10意见领袖具有的特征,使用粗糙集理论对意见领袖识别问题进行了建模,并提取了识别意见领袖的决策规则。另外,通过定义意见领袖一致性和排名稳定性两个指标分析了意见领袖的跨主题性,实验结果表明意见领袖是主题依赖的,只有很少用户可以在不同主题同时成为意见领袖。     

煤炭资源税改革对煤炭行业的影响研究

煤炭资源税改革在即,在煤炭行业经营每况愈下的环境下,煤炭资源税改革的实施效果直接影响到煤炭行业的未来发展.以煤炭资源税从价计征改革为研究对象,通过对煤炭行业的现状分析,并结合煤炭定价机制和税负转嫁理论,分析煤炭资源税改革对煤炭行业的影响,并提出相关改革建议.     

The diagrammatic dimension of William Gilbert's De magnete

In De magnete (1600), Gilbert frequently appealed to diagrams. As result of a focus on the experimental methodology of the treatise, its diagrammatic dimension has been overlooked in the scholarship. This paper argues that, in De magnete, at least some diagrams are epistemically relevant; specifically, Gilbert moves from experiments to concepts and theories through diagrams. To show this, I analyze the role that the “Diagram of motions in magnetick orbes” plays in the formulation of Gilbert's rule of alignment of magnetic bodies within the orb of virtue (the space around a magnet where its influence is exerted). If it turns out that diagrams play a genuine role in Gilbert's magnetic investigations, then his investigative strategy goes beyond mere experimentalism.     

Diagrams and alien ways of thinking

The recent wave of data on exoplanets lends support to METI ventures (Messaging to Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence), insofar as the more exoplanets we find, the more likely it is that “exominds” await our messages. Yet, despite these astronomical advances, there are presently no well-confirmed tests against which to check the design of interstellar messages. In the meantime, the best we can do is distance ourselves from terracentric assumptions. There is no reason, for example, to assume that all inferential abilities are language-like. With that in mind, I argue that logical reasoning does not have to be couched in symbolic notation. In diagrammatic reasoning, inferences are underwritten, not by rules, but by transformations of self-same qualitative signs. I use the Existential Graphs of C. S. Peirce to show this. Since diagrams are less dependent on convention and might even be generalized to cover non-visual senses, I argue that METI researchers should add some form of diagrammatic representations to their repertoire. Doing so can shed light, not just on alien minds, but on the deepest structures of reasoning itself.     

Saturation models: A brief survey and critique

The authors review and compare the papers in this issue on saturation and logistic growth with special emphasis on the structure of the underlying probability models. Influence diagrams are used to illustrate the dependence and independence assumptions and the way in which uncertainty is reflected in key model assumptions and parameters characterizing the models.     

高水平运动队推动高校发展的积极影响

一流大学必须具有一流的运动水平,这不仅反映了一个大学的整体教育思想,也是一所大学扩大其影响的需要。运动队是学校的一个窗口,高水平运动队对推动高校发展所能起到积极影响其他任何成果所无法代替的。     

Awareness and use of forecasting techniques in british industry

The paper summarizes results of a mail survey of the use of formal forecasting techniques in British manufacturing companies. It appraises the state of awareness of particular techniques and the extent to which they are used in various functional applications. The extent to which the forecasts generated by the techniques influence company action is assessed; and the reasons for the non-use of particular techniques examined. The paper concludes that although an increasing number of companies appreciate the importance of forecasting, the methods used are predominantly naïve and few companies are taking steps to improve the situation through using alternative techniques or through computerizing established techniques.     

融雪剂对植物的影响及对策

就融雪剂在植物生长、发育等生理过程中产生胁迫的研究进展进行了综述,指出了融雪剂对植物的危害.并对融雪剂的使用提出了一些建议.     

考虑天气因素的空中突击任务规划

为了分析天气因素对空中突击任务的影响,采用影响图构造了考虑天气和天气预报的定性分析模型。量化了天气等级,给出了问题求解步骤;采用决策树构造了考虑天气因素的空中突击任务规划模型,并给出了具体算例,分析了天气预报的信息价值。结果表明,在空中突击任务规划中获取天气信息十分必要,获得信息的多少和精确度直接影响到突击任务益损值的大小。     

系统论视角下工业化与信息化融合的影响要素研究

本文以系统论为视角,在两化融合的内涵基础上,运用系统科学的原理和分析方法,分析了两化融合的系统性特征,然后根据分析两化融合关系作用机理,构建出基于系统论视角的两化融合影响要素系统模型,并针对该系统模型,从动力、支撑和环境等方面分析影响工业化与信息化融合的关键要素,