天津医科大学图书馆中文专业图书资源利用效率统计分析

以天津医科大学图书馆UNICORN集成管理系统的各项记录为数据源,挖掘整合了2004—2013年中文专业图书有关数据,从综合性、动态性角度,统计分析了图书购置数量、图书借阅数量及购书经费分布等有关数据,旨在为提高图书馆管理水平提供参考依据。     

Microstructure,mechanical properties and wear resistance of an Al–Mg–Si alloy produced by equal channel angular pressing

Microstructure, mechanical properties and wear resistance in an ultrafine-grained Al–Mg–Si alloy fabricated utilizing a combination of equal channel angular pressing (ECAP) and dynamic aging were investigated in this paper. The results indicated that the grain size of the ECAP alloy was significantly refined, i.e., to ~239 nm after three ECAP passes. Meanwhile, the yield and tensile strength of the ECAPed material reached 340 MPa and 445 MPa, respectively, while maintaining a significant uniform elongation of 14%. Wear resistance results demonstrated that the wear rate, wear depth and width of the ECAPed material decreased in comparison with the solution-treated (SST) and peak-aged (T6) conditions under a load range of 5–25 N. The adhesive wear that occurs in the undeformed specimens at 10 N does not appear in the ECAPed specimen at the same load, indicating that the ECAPed specimen delay the appearance of more serious wear mechanisms under certain loads. The cooperative interaction of high density nano-scale β" precipitates and dislocations resulted in a combination of super-high strength and good work hardening ability which suppressed the extension of cracks between the friction layer and the plastic deformation zone. As a consequence, the combination of ECAP and dynamic aging brings a significant improvement for antifriction performance of the 6061 aluminum alloy.     

Constructing and evaluating core inflation measures from component‐level inflation data

This paper undertakes a comprehensive examination of 10 measures of core inflation and evaluates which measure produces the best forecast of headline inflation out‐of‐sample. We use the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index as our measure of inflation. We use two sets of components (17 and 50) of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index to construct these core inflation measures and evaluate these measures at the three time horizons (6, 12 and 24 months) most relevant for monetary policy decisions. The best measure of core inflation for both sets of components and over all time horizons uses weights based on the first principal component of the disaggregated (component‐level) prices. Interestingly, the results vary by the number of components used; when more components are used the weights based on the persistence of each component is statistically equivalent to the weights generated by the first principal component. However, those forecasts using the persistence of 50 components are statistically worse than those generated using the first principal component of 17 components. The statistical superiority of the principal component method is due to the fact that it extracts (in the first principal component) the common source of variation in the component level prices that accurately describes trend inflation over the next 6–24 months.     

Forecasting in long horizons using smoothed direct forecast

This paper constructs a forecast method that obtains long‐horizon forecasts with improved performance through modification of the direct forecast approach. Direct forecasts are more robust to model misspecification compared to iterated forecasts, which makes them preferable in long horizons. However, direct forecast estimates tend to have jagged shapes across horizons. Our forecast method aims to “smooth out” erratic estimates across horizons while maintaining the robust aspect of direct forecasts through ridge regression, which is a restricted regression on the first differences of regression coefficients. The forecasts are compared to the conventional iterated and direct forecasts in two empirical applications: real oil prices and US macroeconomic series. In both applications, our method shows improvement over direct forecasts.     

考虑单元互测的测试性指标分配方法

测试性分配是将系统级测试性指标按照一定规则分配给各组成单元的过程。针对现有主流测试性分配方法未考虑单元之间的互测情形,导致分配结果不合理,尤其是部分单元分配指标虚高,难以实现或代价过高等问题,提出了在综合考虑单元故障率、故障危害度等多重影响因素基础上,进一步考虑单元互测因素的测试性指标分配方法。首先实施考虑多重影响因素的指标初次分配;然后基于单元测试性初步设计结果,实施测试性建模与分析,得到单元自检故障率与他检故障率;再利用这两个数据以及初次分配结果构造分配函数实施再次分配,进而得到最终的分配结果;最后应用该方法进行仿真和实例运算,证明了该方法的有效性和先进性。     

基于ESI和InCites的学科发展预测研究--以中国地质大学为例

基于汤姆路透公司的ESI和InCites数据库，分析了中国地质大学各学科的特征，探讨了高被引论文、热门论文、顶尖论文与学科发展的关系，并预测后续最有可能入围ESI世界前1％的学科。     

基于BP网络的反馈控制器设计

针对常规反馈控制器参数在对象时变情况下难以获得最优的问题，利用BP神经网络构成系统反馈控制器，通过自适应学习速率在线调整网络权值以逼近对象的逆动态模型，并利用Lyapunov方法给出了该算法的收敛的条件。将算法应用于循环水温度控制系统表明：该控制器对模型参数不依赖，能有效地适应控制对象参数的变化，系统具有较强的鲁棒性。     

图析宁波电视收视格局

文章对宁波的电视收视总体格局、晚间时段各电视频道的竞争态势,以及电视剧在宁波的收视情况作了由总及分的探讨和分析,将数据做成图表的形式形象、科学地解构了宁波电视的收视格局,对了解宁波电视收视情况和促进各台竞争提供了实际的参考价值.     

干燥工艺对稻谷发芽率影响的研究

利用薄层干燥试验台，采用二次回归正交组合设计试验对辽宁省稻谷主要品种942进行研究。分析了热风温度、表现风速、初始水分、干燥时间对稻谷发芽率损失影响的规律，建立了稻谷发芽率损失回归方程，在干燥时应采用低温干燥，以保证其发芽率。利用贡献率法确定各因素在二次非线性模型中的主次关系为热风温度、初始水分、表现风速、干燥时间，为进行辽宁省稻谷深床干燥研究提供了理论依据。     

LaMnO3不同晶位掺杂的磁电阻效应

基于研究钙钛矿型氧化物磁电阻效应的目的,采用固相反应法制备了实验所需的单相多晶样品,主要就La位二价金属离子掺杂和稀土互掺及Mn位掺杂对LaMnO3磁电阻影响的实验结果作比较研究,发现La位稀土互掺对磁电阻的影响可以用晶格效应来解释,并明确指出La位和Mn位掺杂是提高和调制钙钛矿型锰氧化物超大磁电阻效应的一种有效途径.