血吸虫病蔓延周期的灰色预测模型

对血吸虫病蔓延高峰期的预测具有深远的意义。本文建立一种新的灰色预测模型,对该病蔓延发展的高峰期进行预测,通过实例计算分析,预测结果正确,模型拟合精度为优。     

SEA方法及其在C~3I系统效能分析中的应用(Ⅱ)——交战模型

本文采用ＳＥＡ方法建立了Ｃ３Ｉ系统在一种典型交战环境下的系统效能模型及其分析程序,举例说明了系统效能计算结果的战术涵义。由于Ｃ３Ｉ系统所处的交战环境是千变万化的,因此采用ＳＥＡ方法建立一般交战情形下通用的Ｃ３Ｉ系统效能模型仍是十分困难的工作。然而,本文的分析过程可起到一定的示范作用。     

基于神经网络和微分对策理论的制导律

根据微分对策制导律目前面临的困境,本文尝试将神经网络引入微分对策制导律。采用ＢＰ模型,将微分对策的定量和定性分析结合起来。以导弹与飞机格斗为例,探讨其实现的可能性和优点,为将来发展基于微分对策理论的智能制导律提供了一定的思路。     

Underdetermined DOA estimation and blind separation of non-disjoint sources in time-frequency domain based on sparse representation method

This paper deals with the blind separation of nonstation-ary sources and direction-of-arrival （DOA） estimation in the under-determined case, when there are more sources than sensors. We assume the sources to be time-frequency （TF） disjoint to a certain extent. In particular, the number of sources presented at any TF neighborhood is strictly less than that of sensors. We can identify the real number of active sources and achieve separation in any TF neighborhood by the sparse representation method. Compared with the subspace-based algorithm under the same sparseness assumption, which suffers from the extra noise effect since it can-not estimate the true number of active sources, the proposed algorithm can estimate the number of active sources and their cor-responding TF values in any TF neighborhood simultaneously. An-other contribution of this paper is a new estimation procedure for the DOA of sources in the underdetermined case, which combines the TF sparseness of sources and the clustering technique. Sim-ulation results demonstrate the validity and high performance of the proposed algorithm in both blind source separation （BSS） and DOA estimation.     

Multi-dimensional scattering properties diagnosis system of scale aircraft model in an anechoic chamber

Aiming at the concept of ＂diagnosis＂, a simple and effective broadband radar cross section （RCS） measurement system is constructed, and some multi-dimensional scattering properties diagnosis techniques are presented based on the system. Firstly, a stepped-frequency signal is employed to achieve high range resolution, combining with a variety of signal processing tech- niques. Secondly, cross-range resolution is gained with a rotating table, and the high-resolution two-dimensional （2-D） imaging of the scale model is obtained by the microwave imaging theory. Finally, two receiving antennas with a small distance in altitude are used, and the three-dimensional （3-D） height distribution of scattering points on the scale model is extracted from the phase of images. Some typical bodies and a scale aircraft model are diagnosed in an anechoic chamber. The experimental results show that, after scaling with a metal sphere, the accurate one- dimensional （l-D） RCS pattern of the model is obtained, and it has a large dynamic range. When the bandwidth of the transmitting signal is 4 GHz, the resolution of the 2-D image can reach to 0.037 5 m. The 3-D height distribution of scattering points is given by interferometric measurement. This paper provides a feasible way to obtain high-precision scattering properties parameters of the scale aircraft model in a conventional rectangular anechoic chamber.     

Consistency analysis of accelerated degradation mechanism based on gray theory

A fundamental premise of an accelerated testing is that the failure mechanism under elevated and normal stress levels should remain the same. Thus, verification of the consistency of failure mechanisms is essential during an accelerated testing. A new consistency analysis method based on the gray theory is pro- posed for complex products. First of all, existing consistency ana- lysis methods are reviewed with a focus on the comparison of the differences among them. Then, the proposed consistency ana- lysis method is introduced. Two effective gray prediction models, gray dynamic model and new information and equal dimensional （NIED） model, are adapted in the proposed method. The process to determine the dimension of NIED model is also discussed, and a decision rule is expanded. Based on that, the procedure of ap- plying the new consistent analysis method is developed. Finally, a case study of the consistency analysis of a reliability enhancement testing is conducted to demonstrate and validate the proposed method.     

Evidence for self-organized criticality in unscheduled downtime data of equipment

How to reduce downtime and improve availability of the complex equipment is very important. Although the unscheduled downtime（USDT） issues of the equipment are very complex, the self-organized criticality（SOC） is the right theory to study complex systems evolution and opens up a new window to the investigation of disasters, such as the sudden failure of the equipment. Firstly,SOC theory and its validation method are introduced. Then an SOC validation method for USDT of the equipment is proposed based on the above theory. Case study is done on bottleneck equipment in a factory and corresponding data pre-process work is done. The rescaled-range（R/S） analysis method is used to calculate the Hurst exponent of USDT time-series data in order to determine the long-range correlation of USDT data on time scale;at the same time the spatial power-law characteristic of USDT time series data is studied. The result shows that the characteristics of SOC are revealed in USDT data of the equipment according to the criterion of SOC. In addition, based on the characteristics of SOC,the overall framework of the prediction method for major sudden failure of the equipment is proposed based on SOC.     

不同钙质原料对干式振动料性能的影响

采用新型环保复合结合剂和引入无水化钙质材料(石灰石、白云石、消石灰等)作为CaO源原料,研究开发环保型抗水化镁钙质干式料.结果表明, 钙质原料的种类、粒度和数量对干式料性能影响很大.加入部分石灰石颗粒,采用环保型结合剂可制得具有较好物理性能的干式料,其中粒度为3～1mm和1～0mm的石灰石加入量分别为5%和30%时,试样获得了较好的综合性能,是一种理想的CaO源材料.     

基于神经网络技术自动筛选Monastrol抑制剂的算法研究

带自动荧光显微镜的HCS（high content screening）系统是一种新兴的显微摄影、筛选和处理系统.HCS系统在摄影过程中会产生大量数据,人工筛选和识别费时费力.本文为了进行Monastrol抑制剂的筛选,基于前馈式神经网络技术研究了一种对HCS系统摄影的大量细胞同时进行特征提取和细胞显型识别的自动算法.在得到各个通道分离的图像后,对不同通道图像进行并行预处理,并采用神经网络和逻辑运算相结合的算法进行处理.我们将该方法运用于Monastrol抑制剂的筛选中,并将结果与人工识别结果进行分析比较.相比较前人提出的multi-phenotypic mitotic analysis（MMA）算法自动识别的正确率得以提高,可更好评估抗癌药剂效用.     

大学生耐力性素质练习的价值及对策研究

文章针对当前学生耐力素质的现状,运用文献资料调研法,旨在阐明耐力素质的重要性,并就如何科学合理地运用方法手段,提高学生的耐力素质,以促进学生身体素质的全面发展.