Frequentist model averaging estimation: a review

In applications, the traditional estimation procedure generally begins with model selection. Once a specific model is selected, subsequent estimation is conducted under the selected model without consideration of the uncertainty from the selection process. This often leads to the underreporting of variability and too optimistic confidence sets. Model averaging estimation is an alternative to this procedure, which incorporates model uncertainty into the estimation process. In recent years, there has been a rising interest in model averaging from the frequentist perspective, and some important progresses have been made. In this paper, the theory and methods on frequentist model averaging estimation are surveyed. Some future research topics are also discussed.     

Design of control invariant sets of planar systems

Control invariant sets play a key role in model predictive control. Using Lyapunov function, a technique is proposed to design control invariant sets of planar systems in a precise form. First, it is designed for a linear system in Brunovsky canonical form. Then, the result is extended to general linear systems. Finally, the nonlinear control systems are considered, and some sufficient conditions and design techniques are also obtained. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the proposed design methods.     

调节大豆籽粒生育的生理生态因素

大豆籽粒是生殖生长时期植株光合产物主要存储库,鼓粒灌浆期籽粒的生长发育以及干物质积累的过程直接影响大豆的产量。因此,研究大豆籽粒的生长发育及其影响因素对提高产量至关重要。影响大豆籽粒生长发育的因素很多,从源库的改变、外界温度、光照、水分供应以及二氧化碳的浓度的影响,酶活性、内源物质含量的调节以及植物激素的调控等方面予以综述。参64。     

Some interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic hybrid Shapley operators

Two interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic hybrid operators cal ed the induced interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic hybrid Shapley averaging （I-IIULHSA） operator and the induced interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic hybrid Shapley geometric （I-IIULHSG） operator are defined. These operators not only reflect the importance of elements and their ordered positions, but also consider the correlations among elements and their ordered positions. Since the fuzzy measures are defined on the power set, it makes the problem exponentially complex. In order to simplify the complexity of solving a fuzzy measure, we further define the induced interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic hybrid λ-Shapley averaging （I-IIULHλSA） operator and the induced interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic hybrid λ-Shapley geometric （I-IIULHλSG） operator. Moreover, an approach for multi-attribute group decision making under the interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic environment is developed. Finally, a numerical example is provided to verify the developed procedure and demonstrate its practicality and feasibility.     

Group consensus for multiple networked Euler-Lagrange systems with parametric uncertainties

In this paper,a group consensus problem is investigated for multiple networked agents with parametric uncertainties where all the agents are governed by the Euler-Lagrange system with uncertain parameters.In the group consensus problem,the agents asymptotically reach several different states rather than one consistent state.A novel group consensus protocol and a time-varying estimator of the uncertain parameters are proposed for each agent in order to solve the couple-group consensus problem.It is shown that the group consensus is reachable even when the system contains the uncertain parameters.Furthermore,the multi-group consensus is discussed as an extension of the couple-group consensus,and then the group consensus with switching topology is considered.Simulation results are finally provided to validate the effectiveness of the theoretical analysis.     

Consensus design for continuous-time multi-agent systems with communication delay

This paper investigates a consensus design problem for continuous-time first-order multiagent systems with uniform constant communication delay.Provided that the agent dynamic is unstable and the diagraph is undirected,sufficient conditions are derived to guarantee consensus.The key technique is the adoption of historical input information in the protocol.Especially,when agent＇s own historical input information is used in the protocol design,the consensus condition is constructed in terms of agent dynamic,communication delay,and the eigenratio of the network topology.Simulation result is presented to validate the effectiveness of the theoretical result.     

An Analysis of an SIRS Epidemic Model with General Direct Immunization in Networks北大核心CSCD

We consider an SIRS epidemic model with a general direct immunization rate on networks. By constructing suitable Lyapunov functions, we find that the dynamical behvaior of the model is completely determined by the epidemic threshold λc. When λ≤λc, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; when λ>λc, the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. In addition, we propose a uniform direct immunization and a targeted direct immunization. The results show that under the same average immunization rate s there exists a critical immunization-lost rate δc so that the epidemic threshold of the targeted direct immunization is smaller (larger) than that of the uniform direct immunization if δ<δc(δ>δc). © 2017, The Journal of Agency of Complex Systems and Complexity Science. All right reserved.     

组合市场中消费者联盟形成及多方博弈的研究

关注电子商务的进一步发展,研究组合贸易中的消费者联盟形成及多方博弈问题.在给出一种多Agent中介系统控制的组合市场模型的基础上,使用群集分析方法对组合市场中大量消费者联盟形成过程的宏观动态特性进行仿真,通过数值仿真实验为组合市场中不同角色在贸易中所起的作用进行定量的分析,并为不同角色间的市场博弈提供定量分析的方法.     

某速射火炮身管系统传热特性的数值仿真研究

热烧蚀磨损是决定速射火炮身管寿命的关键因素。以某采用外液冷方式的速射火炮身管为研究对象,建立了包括身管、冷却液和水套的流固耦合传热模型,使用有限元方法进行研究。研究表明:(1)速射火炮的射频是决定身管内膛尖峰温度的极为重要的因素。(2)对于速射火炮,外液冷方式可以有效降低身管外壁的温度,但对于身管内膛温度的降低和寿命的提高作用有限。合理选择流速可以达到冷却效率与动力的最佳匹配。     

新疆基础研究现状分析

"十一五"期间,新疆经过不懈的努力,基础研究实力明显增强,研究水平不断提高,自主创新能力有了一定的提升,形成了区域研究特色,在国内外相关研究领域产生了一定影响。本文从区域创新体系出发,通过对新疆研究项目、知识创造和转移及人才培养等进行介绍,探讨了新疆基础研究现状,分析了当前新疆基础研究存在不能满足区域创新体系功能定位等问题,并提出了"十二五"改善新疆基础研究发展及资助政策的若干建议。