基于信用监管与防范的战略联盟演化博弈

为研究联盟成员信用与自身防范对联盟稳定性的影响,基于对专有性资源的攫取是机会主义行为的动机这一前提,建立战略联盟演化博弈模型,从理论上分析了信用惩罚额度和防范成本对战略联盟稳定性的影响.研究认为,通过进行信用监管,以及联盟成员自身实施一定的防范措施,有助于实现联盟稳定.过高或过低的惩罚额度与防范成本,将不利于联盟稳定.     

基于Hotelling模型促销活动策略采取的进化博弈分析

传统的Hotelling模型中,交通成本用于比拟消费者购物时发生的负效用.在现实经济生活中,商家会采取促销活动策略,以增强自家商品对他家商品的替代性,抵消消费者购物时发生的负效用.构造了一个可以由商家选择支付交通成本、商品降价空间受指导价约束的Hotelling模型,以商家提供免费购物车的方式,比拟现实生活中商家采取的多种促销活动,研究了原有的交通成本转移到商家后,对商家的销量、价格和利润的影响,以及竞争商家可能的应对.进而以进化博弈论为工具,研究了商家采用各项策略的进化稳定性.结果表明:为获取长远利益,商家采取促销活动策略,以及竞争商家的应对策略,都应结合需求、竞争、指导价水平、商品价格、促销成本等多种因素综合考虑.     

三维传播环境天线阵列空域相关性研究

针对任意三维传播环境下多天线空域相关性求解复杂的问题,提出一种基于角度域脉冲采样的高效近似计算方法。针对均匀角度谱分布,详细推导出了天线空域相关系数的闭合表达式和近似表达式;针对非均匀任意角度谱,利用有限个均匀二维采样脉冲加权叠加进行逼近,从而将天线空域相关系数等效为多个均匀采样脉冲对应相关系数的加权之和。基于实测的Von Mises Fisher角度谱,仿真结果表明,当采样间隔小于2°时,所提方法运算量仅为数值积分方法的十分之一,而绝对误差小于0.005,可以应用于多天线分集、多输入多输出系统性能评估及天线阵列流型优化等场合。     

基于SCA的欠定跳频网台分选方法

针对组网跳频信号在欠定条件下网台分选效果不佳的问题,提出了一种基于稀疏成分分析(sparse component analysis, SCA)的欠定跳频网台分选方法。在估计混合矩阵时,首先利用观测信号的实部与虚部方向一致性检测时频单源点,在采用S变换构造时频比矩阵的基础上,利用方差法实现了混合矩阵估计;在源信号恢复时,利用改进的子空间投影法得到源信号的时频域分离,最后可通过S逆变换得到时域分离信号,从而实现了欠定条件下的跳频网台分选。仿真结果表明,该方法有效实现了混合跳频信号在欠定条件下的网台分选且适用于跳频同步或异步组网方式,提高了分选性能和抗噪性能。     

时间成本视角下RCEP对中国的经济影响——基于GTAP模型的测算

作为潜在的最大自由贸易区以及中国应对TPP(trans-pacific partnership)的一项重要策略,RCEP(regional comprehensive economic partnership)谈判的迅速推进使其成为国际社会的热点议题,然而目前却鲜有研究在量化贸易便利性的情况下测算RCEP对中国的经济影响.本文利用改进的GTAP(global trade analysis project)模型,以时间成本量化贸易便利性,分别模拟了RCEP成员之间"关税削减"情景和"关税削减+时间成本削减"情景.发现关税削减只能使中国的GDP增长0.14%.然而,如果将时间成本的削减也纳入考虑,在"冰山效应"的拉动下,中国的GDP将增长1.41%,达到关税削减情景的10倍之多.此外,中国的消费、贸易及大部分行业的生产也都会因此受益.这说明贸易时间的减少将会给中国带来巨大经济效益,也说明忽视时间成本的定量研究严重地低估了贸易自由化潜在的正面影响.     

Maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter for a continuous one-parameter exponential family under the optimal ranked set sampling

This paper studies a maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter for a continuous one-parameter exponential family under ranked set sampling (RSS). The authors first find the optimal RSS according to the character of the family, viz, arrange the RSS based on quasi complete and sufficient statistic of independent and identically distributed (iid) samples. Then under this RSS, some sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of the MLE, which are easily used in practice, are obtained. Using these conditions, the existence and uniqueness of the MLEs of the parameters for some usual distributions in this family are proved. Numerical simulations for these distributions fully support the result from the above two step optimizations of the sampling and the estimation method.     

基于SD-SEM模型的消费者食品安全风险感知的信息搜寻行为

本文利用系统动力学模型和结构方程模型来研究消费者食品安全风险感知和消费者信息搜寻行为之间的关系,在总结消费者食品安全风险感知和消费者食品安全信息搜寻行为研究文献的基础上,利用结构方程确定消费者食品安全风险感知的影响因素及其之间的路径系数,进而建立系统动力学模型模拟信息搜寻行为对消费者食品安全风险感知的影响,以提出降低消费者食品安全风险感知的建议.     

Near-optimal cumulative longitude low-thrust orbit transfer

The indirect method for the continuous low-thrust near minimum cumulative longitude orbit transfer problem is addressed. The movement of the satellite is described by the Gauss equation using the modified equinoctial elements and replacing time as the system independent variable by the cumulative longitude. The maximum principle is adapted to design the optimal control in order to minimize the final cumulative longitude, and the twopoint- boundary-value problem is derived from the orbit transfer problem. The single shooting method is applied in a numerical experiment, and the simulations demonstrate that the orbit transfer mission is fulfilled and the product of the maximal thrust and the minimum cumulative longitude is near constant.     

基于四阶累积量与核Fisher判别分析的MPSK信号分类方法

提出了一种基于高阶累积量和核Fisher判别分析的MPSK信号自动调制识别方法。该算法选取信号的四阶累积量作为分类特征,利用核函数的思想把特征向量映射到一个高维空间,并在高维空间中采用线性Fisher判别分析实现了数字信号的分类。选用了径向基核函数,使用一对一或一对余多类构造法,并利用交叉验证网格搜索法优化核函数参数,构建了快速稳健的多类核Fisher判别分析分类器。计算仿真结果表明,基于核Fisher判别分析的分类器具有良好的性能,它与支持向量机的分类精度相当,且训练时间较短。     

Vertical handoff algorithm in heterogeneous networks to maximize system benefit

A new vertical handoff decision algorithm is proposed to maximize the system benefit in heterogeneous wireless networks which comprise cellular networks and wireless local area networks (WLANs). Firstly the block probability, the drop probability and the number of users in the heterogeneous networks are calculated in the channel-guard call admission method, and a function of the system benefit which is based on the new call arrival rate and the handoff call arrival rate is proposed. Then the optimal radius of WLAN is obtained by using simulation annealing (SA) method to maximize the benefit. All the nodes should handoff from cellular network to WLAN if they enter WLAN’s scope and handoff fromWLAN to cellular network if they leave the scope. Finally, the algorithm in different new call arrival rates and handoff call arrival rates is analyzed and results show that it can achieve good effects.