飞机单击中易损性的杀伤概率图谱分析法

飞机在威胁单次打击下的易损性通常是以杀伤概率或易损面积形式给出的,这种评估方法往往是在宏观上对飞机及其部件易损性进行评估,然而具体的某一飞机位置的易损性很难直观给出.提出了一种飞机单击中易损性评估的杀伤概率图谱分析法.该方法以飞机及部件的有限元模型作为输入数据,考虑了部件的引燃、引爆、穿透及其组合杀伤模式,通过计算每一条射击线打击下飞机各个位置的杀伤概率值,最后可以提供飞机的杀伤概率云图.应用中表明:杀伤概率图谱分析法可以直观的显示飞机杀伤概率的区域分布,可以作为易损面积评估的有益补充,对于生存力增强/易损性减缩设计具有指导意义.     

基于条件蒙特卡罗方法的信用违约互换合约定价

多标的资产违约相关性结构的度量及其联合违约时间的模拟是信用违约互换合约定价的关键.Copula函数和蒙特卡罗模拟是解决此关键问题的有力工具,被广泛应用于信用衍生品定价.本文基于因子t-copula模型,结合条件蒙特卡罗模拟,构建了计算第7n次信用违约互换合约的条件蒙特卡罗算法.该算法能够捕捉多标的资产违约的尾部相关性,更准确地度量标的资产组合的违约风险及提高违约事件的模拟效率.数值结果表明,在考虑尾部相关性的情形下,采用重要抽样技术的JK算法和改进的JK算法是不稳定的,不能达到减方差的目的;而本文新构建的定价算法更稳定,在高斯copula和t-copula模型下,都能够有效减小估计量的方差,提高信用违约互换合约的定价精度和可靠性.     

目标定位的分布式MIMO雷达资源分配算法

为了提高分布式多输入多输出(multiple input multiple output,MIMO)雷达的目标定位精度,分析了阵元、发射功率和信号带宽对定位精度的影响,进而提出一种将三者联合优化的资源分配算法。首先,以最小化目标的平方位置误差下限(squared position error bound,SPEB)为目标函数,建立了包含阵元、功率和带宽3个变量的优化模型;然后,通过推导最优功率分配矢量和带宽分配矢量的关系简化模型;最后利用凸松弛和循环最小化算法将优化问题转化成二阶锥形式,求解得到最优的资源分配策略。仿真结果表明,利用所提出的算法进行资源分配能明显提高目标的定位精度;信号有效带宽对目标定位精度的影响大于发射功率。     

基于反演滑模和扩张观测器的带角度约束制导律设计

针对水下动能武器末制导段攻击机动目标,为获得最佳的毁伤效果,结合反演滑模控制方法与线性扩张状态观测器理论,设计了一种带角度约束的非线性制导律。通过对攻击角度的分析,设计了非线性滑模面,并根据滑模面可达条件,将制导律分为两部分设计,既满足了系统能够到达滑模面,又保持了系统状态在滑模面上运动。通过反演变结构获得的制导律,既保证了系统稳定,又具有了滑模控制理论所具有的鲁棒性。考虑到目标机动,将目标机动作为未知扰动,并对该扰动采用线性扩张状态观测器进行估计。该制导律作用下,视线角变化率收敛到零,攻击角度收敛到期望值,实现攻击角度约束。理论证实了制导系统的稳定性,仿真验证了本文所设计制导律的有效性。     

Liquidity dynamics around intraday price jumps in Chinese stock market

Using 4128 single jumps detected from high frequency data of 220 individual stocks in SZ300P index, this paper investigates the liquidity dynamics around price jumps in Chinese market. Some interesting empirical results are obtained and the corresponding explanations are given. The frequency of positive jumps is quite higher than that of negative jumps. The trading volumes and average trade sizes are all in a high level around positive jumps. The relatively low liquidities around negative jumps show that negative jumps may be generated and enlarged by poor liquidity provision. The price reversal after price jumps is significant, and price reversal lasts longer after positive jumps. Moreover, the size and direction of jumps are significantly correlated with the returns and trades in the post-jump trading time. These findings are believed to be associated with the high proportion of retail investors and their herding behavior for price trend chasing.     

Performance and EXIT analysis of parallel concatenated space time trellis codes

Space time trellis coding (STTC) techniques have been proposed to achieve both diversity and coding gains in multiple input multiple output (MIMO) fading channels. But with more transmit antennas STTCs suffer from the design difficulty and complexity increasing. This paper proposes a scheme, named parallel concatenated space time trellis codes (PC-STTC), to achieve the tradeoff between the performances and complexity of STTCs for a large number of transmit antennas. Simulation results and complexity comparison are provided to demonstrate the performance and superiority of the proposed scheme over conventional schemes in fast fading channels in low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) regions. And an EXIT (extrinsic information transform) chart is given to analyze the iterative convergence of the proposed scheme. It shows that PC-STTC has better iterative convergence in low SNR regions.     

Near-optimal cumulative longitude low-thrust orbit transfer

The indirect method for the continuous low-thrust near minimum cumulative longitude orbit transfer problem is addressed. The movement of the satellite is described by the Gauss equation using the modified equinoctial elements and replacing time as the system independent variable by the cumulative longitude. The maximum principle is adapted to design the optimal control in order to minimize the final cumulative longitude, and the twopoint- boundary-value problem is derived from the orbit transfer problem. The single shooting method is applied in a numerical experiment, and the simulations demonstrate that the orbit transfer mission is fulfilled and the product of the maximal thrust and the minimum cumulative longitude is near constant.     

遮阴对不同品种玉米叶片形态和功能的影响

采用盆栽方法研究了遮阴对不同玉米品种叶片形态和功能的影响。结果表明在全生育期遮阴条件下玉米叶片长宽比增大,叶生物量比和叶质量分数增大,叶面积比增大,比叶面积增大,比叶质量减小;各生育期玉米叶片光合速率随遮阴程度的加重降低幅度加大,玉米开花期叶片光合速率降低幅度大于大喇叭口期和灌浆中期;玉米叶片叶绿素a含量、叶绿素b含量、叶绿素总量增加,叶绿素a／叶绿素b降低。遮阴后叶绿素含量的增高,特别是叶绿素b含量的培加是玉米对低光胁迫的一种生态适应。图1,表2,参16。     

基于固定半径包围球的核向量回归算法

为了进一步提高核向量回归算法用于大样本回归问题的训练速度,提出了一种改进的核向量回归算法。该算法利用样本数据在特征空间中的映射点确定包围球半径,并使该半径在迭代过程中保持不变。通过缩小核心数据集,提高了回归算法的训练速度。对几组回归时间序列预测的仿真实验表明,改进的核向量回归算法的训练时间和支持向量的数目均小于核向量回归算法,但二者具有相似的回归精度,从而验证了改进的核向量回归算法的有效性。     

Study on the extending multi-attribute decision model of grey target

Based on the distance of interval numbers and the two-stage decision methods, this paper expands the decision model of grey target into some situation under which the decision information and target weights are the interval numbers at the same time. It also gives the optimization method of weights in the grey target. We get the optimum coordinated vector utilizing the combination assigning method, based on the local optimization of various schemes. So it can shift the weights of interval number into real number form and sequence it according to the weighted off-target distance. Finally the effectiveness and practicality of the model is proved by a real project.