汇率时间序列非线性特征分析及实证研究

为了更好地描述汇率行为特征,改善对其的短期预测能力,本文分析汇率时间序列的非线性依赖性.通过正态性检验和BDS统计检验,实证研究6种货币兑美元日汇率序列的非线性依赖性;在确定存在非线性依赖的基础上,对子样本序列及标准化序列进行BDS检验,试图确定非线性依赖的来源.结果表明,除欧元外其余5种货币兑美元的汇率序列均存在非线性依赖特征,其形式可能是混沌.     

模内压板与成形复合工艺及杆系柔性成形模具

分析了板料在曲面成形过程中的应力分布情况和板料的受压屈曲与起皱机理,提出了一种新颖的板料成形方法———模内压板与成形复合工艺,板料在成形过程中板面法向受压板力的约束,可抑制板料受压屈曲,这种工艺方法可以显著地减少板料在成形过程中的起皱现象.杆系柔性成形模具由若干个可调节杆组成,若干个杆组合成一个阵列,各杆端冲压头可以更换,选用与被冲压板件局部成形面近似形状的冲压头组成一定尺寸的模具冲压面,以适应加工件的表面形状,从而构成冲压成形模具.模内压板技术与杆系柔性成形模具相结合,实现模内多点压板与成形,从而可以有效地抑制板料的起皱.     

酸性镀锡液稳定剂的优选

本工作采用加热恒温氧化法、鼓气氧化法和Ｈ＿２Ｏ＿２加速氧化法，研究了酸性镀锡液稳定剂：ＦＳ－１、ＦＰ－型和铈离子（Ｃｅ（４＋））对硫酸型光亮镀锡液的基础镀液稳定性的影响。实验结果表明，稳定剂的稳定效力ＦＳ－１优于ＦＰ－型稳定剂，Ｃｅ￣（４＋）也有一定的稳定作用。由于铈离子还能提高镀锡层的可焊性和抗氧化性、抗腐蚀性能，因此，我们认为：ＦＳ－１＋Ｃｅ￣（４＋）是目前硫酸型光亮镀锡液的最佳组合稳定剂。     

密集信号分选平面变换技术的多义性分析

信号平面显示变换技术，是根据累积变换的数学原理，得到各种对应信号的特征曲线，累积变换是一对应的，但在用平面变换实现时具有多义性，即有时会出现与某种信号的特征曲线形状相似的特征曲线。作者就平面变换技术多义性的原理进行了分析，论证了产生伪特征曲线的原因，提出了识别伪特征曲线的方法和分选伪特征曲线的方案。     

Molecular mapping of QTLs for root response to phosphorus deficiency at seedling stage in wheat (Triticum aestivum L.)

Phosphorus (P) deficiency in the soil is one of the major abiotic stresses that limit plant growth and crop productivity throughout the world. Development of cultivars with improved P-deficiency tolerance is an efficient strategy for sustainable agriculture. Plant roots play an important role in crop growth and development, especially in nutrient uptake and improvement of P-efficiency. Mapping quantitative trait loci (QTLs) for root traits and their response to low P stress at seedling stage will facilitate the development of P-efficient wheat cultivars. In this study, 30 QTLs (LOD>2.0) were mapped for the three root traits, such as root length, root number and root dry matter under different P supply conditions and their response to P-stress. These QTLs were distributed on 14 chromosomes, with each of the 5 QTLs explaining more than 10% phenotype variance. Analyses showed that root traits and their response to P-deficiency were controlled by different QTLs. In addition, alleles with positive effects were separated on both parents, and wheat cultivars with improved P-efficiency could be developed by accumulating these positive effect alleles together.     

三并列方柱风荷载特性的试验研究

研究了三并列正方形截面柱体在不同地貌下的动态风荷载和局部风压分布特性。结果显示，对称并列布置的两个柱体可以显著地干扰并增大被扰结构的动力荷载，在B类地貌下且间距比为3．2时，可以使横风向和顺风向响应基底弯矩的干扰因子分别增至4．56和1．36，并且并列三柱体间的干扰效应明显高于双柱体并列的情况。在B类地貌下，三柱体配置的横风向和顺风向响应基底弯矩的干扰因子值要比相应双柱体并列布置的分别高出109％和6％。粗糙化地貌的高湍流度气流对结构的旋涡脱落有明显的干扰作用，故在高湍流度流场，相应的干扰因子大大降低，但在D类地貌中，试验观测到的横风向和顺风向响应基底弯矩的干扰因子仍分别有1．66和1．12。     

氯化镁、氯化钙太阳池热稳定系数的测定

本文通过对氯化镁和氯化钙水溶液的密度、粘滞系数、比热容、导热系数的测定和盐扩散系数的计算，得到了以这两种盐为工质的太阳池热稳定系数，从而使该两种太阳池的稳定性得以简便地监测和控制     

基于遗传算法和BP算法的混合算法

本文就函数优化问题,结合遗传算法和 BP 算法的优点,提出一种新的混合算法。该算法既有较快的收敛速度又能以较大概率收敛到全局最优解,数值实验结果表明该算法显著优于遗传算法和 BP 算法。     

Exploring Attack Graphs for Security Risk Assessment: A Probabilistic Approach

The attack graph methodology can be used to identify the potential attack paths that an attack can propagate. A risk assessment model based on Bayesian attack graph is presented in this paper. Firstly, attack graphs are generated by the MULVAL (Multi-host, Multistage Vulnerability Analysis) tool according to sufficient information of vulnerabilities, network configurations and host connectivity on networks. Secondly, the probabilistic attack graph is established according to the causal relationships among sophisticated multi-stage attacks by using Bayesian Networks. The probability of successful exploits is calculated by combining index of the Common Vulnerability Scoring System, and the static security risk is assessed by applying local conditional probability distribution tables of the attribute nodes. Finally, the overall security risk in a small network scenario is assessed. Experimental results demonstrate our work can deduce attack intention and potential attack paths effectively, and provide effective guidance on how to choose the optimal security hardening strategy.     

数字图像相关的不锈钢真实应力应变关系测量

工程上广泛应用的名义应力应变曲线,在材料发生大变形时,由于应力和应变不再沿着试件均匀分布,因而不能真实反映材料在塑性阶段的本构关系。在不锈钢标准板的拉伸试验中连续采集试件散斑表面的数字图像,采用数字图像相关技术对序列数字图像进行相关运算以获得其每个变形状态下的变形场,得到了整个拉伸过程中试件的变形形态。以光学虚拟引伸计的方法分别测量横向和竖向的实时应变数据,结合体积不变理论计算得到真实应力应变曲线。采用Johnson-Cook材料模型对真实应力应变曲线进行拟合,得到了塑性本构关系;最后根据以上实验结果和真实应力应变曲线获取了材料的力学特性参数。实验结果表明了基于数字图像相关方法对不锈钢真实应力应变关系测量的有效性和可靠性,对实验结果的真实应力应变曲线后处理,获得不锈钢材料的弹性模量为169 GPa,屈服强度为236.8 MPa,并获得了Johnson-Cook简化模型的所有三个参数A、B和n的数值。