Harmony Theory

To aim directly at the negative effectiveness widely existing in socio-economic sys-tems,this paper puts forward a framework of "harmony theory"which can decrease the negativeeffectiveness and guarantee systems to be stably developing.     

Advance selling in the presence of product diffusion effect

Product diffusion refers to the phenomenon that the later demand is dependent on the early sales. To investigate how a firm’s advance selling strategy is affected by the effect of product diffusion, we consider a monopolist seller who sells a fashionable product in a market that comprises of myopic and strategic consumers over two periods (i.e., the advance selling season and the regular selling season). For a linear product diffusion effect we find that, when the effect of product diffusion is positive, the seller may set an extremely high advance selling price to induce the strategic consumers to purchase in the regular selling season, which is counter-intuitive. Moreover, the optimal procurement quantity for the seller may increase in the negative effect of product diffusion and decrease in the amount of strategic consumers. When we extend our model to consider a concave quadratic product diffusion effect, however, the optimal procurement quantity is concave in the amount of strategic consumers. Numerical studies are further presented to discuss the managerial insights.     

隐马氏模型中的标量估计

通过测度变换的方法构造一个概率空间,利用观测变量在该构造空间中独立的性质,研究了一类在实际中应用广泛的隐马尔可夫模型———零延迟隐马尔可夫模型;然后通过测度的逆变换,将构造空间中得到的结果返回到实际的空间中来,克服了通过半鞅的方法得到标量估计的困难。最后给出了零延迟隐马尔可夫模型中标量估计的一般公式,并且应用该公式给出了状态、跳跃次数、状态到达次数等标量估计,以阐明该方法的应用。     

基于复杂性理论的黄河河川径流序列诊断分析

水文序列性质的诊断是水文预测的关键问题之一，至今没有得到有效解决．本文通过采用复杂性理论中的复杂性测度，对黄河干流不同水文站的河川径流序列进行诊断分析．结果表明：黄河干流径流序列以随机性为主，确定、随机和混沌成分共存；人类活动的影响总体使得径流变化的随机和混沌增大，且下游的随机成分大于上游，上游的混沌成分大于下游；同时表明复杂性测度具有较灵敏的识别能力，为识别河川径流序列的性质及人类活动的影响提供了一种新的方法，     

多载波CDMA中的多用户判决反馈检测器

提出了基于多载波的最小均方误差(minimummean squarederror,MMSE)多用户判决反馈检测器(deci sion feedbackdetector,DFD)。MMSEDFD具有结构比较简单且性能优于线性多用户检测器(LMMSE)的特点。多载波系统相对于传统的单载波系统能够有效地消除频率选择性衰落。在多载波的合并上,采用了等增益合并(equalgaincombination,EGC)和最大比合并(maximalratecombination,MRC)方式。仿真表明,MC DS/CDMA系统中的MMSEDFDEGC接收机和MMSEDFDMRC接收机相对于LMMSE接收机可以提高系统性能,特别是MMSEDFDMRC接收机能够明显提高系统性能。     

Multiple Criteria Decision Making with Respect to Multiple Experts *

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一类闭排队网络引入遗忘因子的优化算法研究

在闭排队网络服务策略的优化中，基于对系统一条样本轨道的仿真进行策略优化是一种很有实用意义的方法，但在具体优化过程中，过多的仿真次数是影响寻优速度的重要因素。该论文提出了一种引入遗忘因子，利用参数取旧值时的仿真中所获得的信息进行优化的方法，使寻优速度有显著提高。     

Study on the Centralization Strategy of the Blood Allocation Among Different Departments within a Hospital

By far, the researches on how to distribute blood products among different departments in hospital have not been further studied, though the problem of blood shortage and wastage that caused by improper blood allocation is severe, which may endanger patient’s lives and impose considerable costs on hospitals. In order to solve this problem, this paper mainly studies on how to distribute the blood items among different departments within a hospital and investigates the allocation approach with the novel management method by centralizing the inventory of several different departments. By integrating the blood inventory requirements of some departments, the hospital could reduce the rate of blood shortage and wastage effectively, release the pressure of the occupancy of resources and reduce the bullwhip effect of blood products. This paper illustrates the centralization principle in hospital and formulates the mixed integer programming model to work out the optimal allocation network scheme and the optimal inventory setting for every department. And the results of the numerical example demonstrate that this centralization method could considerably reduce blood shortage and wastage in hospital by about 72% and 90% respectively. Furthermore, it could decrease the total cost by about 108,540 RMB a month on blood supply chain management in the hospital and improve the effect of some certain surgeries by transfusing the fresh blood to patients.     

飞行模拟器视景光学虚像显示广角无限显示系统的技术及应用

在飞行模拟器视景显示系统中,常用的显示方式有实例显示方式和虚像显示方式两大类,在虚像显示中又分为分光镜式的同轴虚像显示方式和WIDE系统。本文重点介绍了WIDE系统的设计原则和技术指标的确定,以及为保证指标的实现,确定球面反射镜和反投影屏设计,制造和检测指标。