Modeling eBay price using stochastic differential equations

Online auctions have become increasingly popular in recent years. There is a growing body of research on this topic, whereas modeling online auction price curves constitutes one of the most interesting problems. Most research treats price curves as deterministic functions, which ignores the random effects of external and internal factors. To account for the randomness, a more realistic model using stochastic differential equations is proposed in this paper. The online auction price is modeled by a stochastic differential equation in which the deterministic part is equivalent to the second‐order differential equation model proposed in Wang et al. (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2008, 103, 1100–1118). The model also includes a component representing the measurement errors. Explicit expressions for the likelihood function are also obtained, from which statistical inference can be conducted. Forecast accuracy of the proposed model is compared with the ODE (ordinary differential equation) approach. Simulation results show that the proposed model performs better.     

基于小波分析对地面电场信号的去噪及闪电信息提取

基于小波分析方法,通过对7种小波函数在误差控制和阈值方法选取上的对比,参考信噪比及均方误差等计算结果,选取了较为合理的Rigrsure阈值分析方法和sym5小波函数作为地面大气电场信号的去噪处理方法.该方法不仅能够较好地对电场信号波形平滑处理,降低电场波形中噪声信号的叠加度,还可保留闪电引起的电场的快速变化.在此基础上,利用差分计算方法实现了对闪电信号的自动识别,引入了总闪电频数误差及分时段闪电频数与人工分析结果的相关系数等2个参考量来选取差分计算方法中电场差分阈值,通过该方法可以实现闪电频数和极性等有关信息的提取.     

Notch Effect and Frequency Compensation of Dual-Sensor OBC Data in Shallow Water

Reverberation is significant in shallow water and produces obvious notches in OBC spec-tra. It also degrades the quality of sections and increases the difficulty of processing and interpretation. This ...     

河南农业科技创新联盟建设与发展的思考

农业科技创新联盟是联盟发展的新产物,是农业科技创新进行协作的组织形式。本文主要通过对农业科技创新联盟及其重要作用和农业科技创新联盟功能定位、管理体制与存在问题进行了分析论述,提出了河南农业科技创新联盟建设发展的对策建议     

高中生物教师现状的调查及分析——以玉林市为例

以玉林高中生物教师为研究对象,通过问卷调查法和个人访谈法对高中生物教师队伍的基本结构、生物教师配备、工作量、任职、收入、科研水平和进修培训等情况进行了调查,分析得出了影响高中生物教师发展的不利因素:(1)教师队伍结构不合理;(2)公立和私立学校、城市和乡镇学校,在师资配备、教师培养、待遇等方面的投入存在着较大的差距;(3)高中生物教师工作量较大、得到发展的机会较少;(4)教学资金投入不足,不利于教学工作的开展.文中结合新形势下对高中生物教师的要求,提出了一些促进高中生物教师发展的对策,以求为有关部门有效地优化高中生物教师队伍、合理利用和分配教师资源提供理论依据和实践参考.     

"数字电路与系统"多媒体双语教学的体会

“数字电路与系统”具有实践性和离散性等特点;采用多媒体与板书相结合的方法克服多媒体的局限性,发扬板书的优势,取长补短;加强与学生的交流,创建和谐、有序、兴趣盎然的教学氛围。     

CHARACTERISTICS OF QUATERNARY AMMONIUM RESISTANT BACTERIA FROM A FINE PAPERMACHINE SYSTEM

To evaluate the biocide effect of quaternary ammonium chloride (QAC), a whitewater sample was taken from a fine papermachine headbox. By plate spreading method, 51 strains of facultative anaerobe were isolated morphologically. Then the strains were separately transferred to basal medium and were incubated before the beginning of log phase. To identify strains with different QAC resistance, 30-120 ppm of N-Alkyl-benzyl-dimethyl ammonium chloride were added to basal medium.Biocide effect was investigated by comparison of bacterial growth, which can be monitored by 600 nm light absorbance of basal medium suspension. Among 51 strains, only 2 strains can Survive for QAC concentration up to 120 ppm. API20E aud 16S rRNA gene sequencing technique were applied to identify two strains with highest (120 ppm)QAC resistance. One strain (HB22)was identified as Morganella morganii. HB22 can resist QAC concentration up to 150 ppm. HB22 is Gram-negative rod, motile with flagella, catalase positive, oxidase negative, Indole positive, H2S production negative, facultative anaerobe. HB22 has optimum growth condition of 35℃ and pH 7.0.HB22 can catabolize only glucose and D (+)-Mannose.The other (HB45) was identified with high similarity among Pseudomonas cf. monteili or Pseudomonas mosselii or Pseudomonas putida. HB45 can resist QAC concentration up to 200 ppm.HB45 is Gram-negative rod, motile with flagella,catalase positive, oxidase negative, Indole negative,H2S production negative, aerobe. HB45 has optimum growth condition of 30℃ and pH 7.4. HB45 can catabolize L-Arabinose, L(+)-Rhanmose, D (+)-Mannose, Glucose, Glycerol, Lactose, Maltose,Raffmose, Xylose, Cellulose and Xylan. The implication of this work to paper industry is also discussed.     

PIC系列单片机片内定时器实时时钟的实现

针对直接用单片机片内定时器作实时计时不准问题，本文提出了一种可以获取与秒成整数倍关系的定时器溢出信号的方法，同时克服定量溢出中信号被其它中断暂停所受的计时影响，实验表明，在4MHz晶振下，计时误差可控制在每天14s以下，本方法也适用于一般的单片机，在PIC87系列上的实验结果表明效果很好。