Z网络下新的推理算法在不确定决策中的应用

针对Z-number的模糊不确定性和概率不确定性推理,在Z网络模型的基础上对其推理算法上做出了一些改进.首先,在Z-number理论基础上对离散Z-number在if-then规则下进行最大熵方法处理的算法过程做出了一些改进,由于算法过程中优化模型获取的区间值概率随着给定数据的变化并不一定能满足最大熵方法中的约束条件,所以对这些区间值概率进行了优化.其次,基于Z网络的结构和概率推理过程,对利用Z网络获取区间值概率然后应用最大熵方法获得约束部分最可能的潜在概率分布过程作出了同样的改进.最后利用一个实例来说明改进后的方法的有效性和可行性.     

弱智儿童的脑机制及教育启示探析

弱智儿童的脑机制是我国特殊教育界尚未探讨的一个领域。从智力、弱智和学习的本质出发,探讨了弱智儿童脑发育的机制和脑活动机制,认为弱智儿童脑发育的正常机制因为先天、后天的遗传异常或损伤遭到了破坏,由此导致了神经系统的传导失能,并表现为神经环路的形成困难、传导的信息堵塞和消失这些主要的神经活动特点。提出了干预或教育弱智儿童的三大措施,包括食物或物质干预、文化给予以及感官训练与文化、言语的结合。     

An Economic Model-Based Matching Approach Between Buyers and Sellers Through a Broker in an Open E-Marketplace

A broker in an open e-marketplace enables buyers and sellers to do business with each other. Although a broker plays an important role in e-marketplaces, theory and guidelines for matching between buyers and sellers in multi-attribute exchanges are limited. Therefore, a challenge for a broker’s responsibility is how to maximize a buyer’s total satisfaction degree as its goals under the consideration of trade-off between a buyer’s buying quantity and price paid to a seller, and other attributes. To solve this challenge, this paper proposes an economic model-based matching approach between a buyer’s requirements and a seller’s offers. The major contributions of this paper are that (i) a broker can model a seller’s price policy as per a buyer’s buying quantity through communication between a broker and a seller; (ii) due to each buyer’s different quantity demand, a broker models a buyer’s satisfaction degree as per a buyer’s buying quantity based on communication between a broker and a buyer; and (iii) to carry out a broker’s matching processes, an objective function and a set of constraints are generated to help a broker to maximize a buyer’s total satisfaction degree. Experimental results demonstrate the good performance of the proposed approach.     

专利风险评价指标体系构建及关键指标国际比较

 从经济安全的角度，基于专利价值链理论，构建了一套专利风险评估指标体系，用于衡量一个国家或地区在专利活动中遭遇风险的程度。利用专利基本活动中的4个关键指标，即专利质量水平、专利转化能力、专利纠纷风险程度和专利贸易国际地位，对美国、日本、韩国、德国和中国进行比较分析，得出2006-2015年，中国的专利发展“快而不高”“大而不强”，但与其他专利强国相比，在专利价值链关键环节的竞争中，中国不占优势，甚至存在较为严重的风险，尤其专利使用费逆差越来越大，对国家经济安全存在一定程度的威胁。     

Study on the Centralization Strategy of the Blood Allocation Among Different Departments within a Hospital

By far, the researches on how to distribute blood products among different departments in hospital have not been further studied, though the problem of blood shortage and wastage that caused by improper blood allocation is severe, which may endanger patient’s lives and impose considerable costs on hospitals. In order to solve this problem, this paper mainly studies on how to distribute the blood items among different departments within a hospital and investigates the allocation approach with the novel management method by centralizing the inventory of several different departments. By integrating the blood inventory requirements of some departments, the hospital could reduce the rate of blood shortage and wastage effectively, release the pressure of the occupancy of resources and reduce the bullwhip effect of blood products. This paper illustrates the centralization principle in hospital and formulates the mixed integer programming model to work out the optimal allocation network scheme and the optimal inventory setting for every department. And the results of the numerical example demonstrate that this centralization method could considerably reduce blood shortage and wastage in hospital by about 72% and 90% respectively. Furthermore, it could decrease the total cost by about 108,540 RMB a month on blood supply chain management in the hospital and improve the effect of some certain surgeries by transfusing the fresh blood to patients.     

Effects of Strain Rate,Temperature and Grain Size on the Mechanical Properties and Microstructure Evolutions of Polycrystalline Nickel Nanowires: A Molecular Dynamics Simulation

Through molecular dynamics(MD)simulation,the dependencies of temperature,grain size and strain rate on the mechanical properties were studied.The simulation results demonstrated that the strain rate from 0.05 to 2 ns~(–1 )affected the Young’s modulus of nickel nanowires slightly,whereas the yield stress increased.The Young’s modulus decreased approximately linearly;however,the yield stress firstly increased and subsequently dropped as the temperature increased.The Young’s modulus and yield stress increased as the mean grain size increased from 2.66 to6.72 nm.Moreover,certain efforts have been made in the microstructure evolution with mechanical properties association under uniaxial tension.Certain phenomena such as the formation of twin structures,which were found in nanowires with larger grain size at higher strain rate and lower temperature,as well as the movement of grain boundaries and dislocation,were detected and discussed in detail.The results demonstrated that the plastic deformation was mainly accommodated by the motion of grain boundaries for smaller grain size.However,for larger grain size,the formations of stacking faults and twins were the main mechanisms of plastic deformation in the polycrystalline nickel nanowire.     

Fuzzy Views on Black-Litterman Portfolio Selection Model

In this paper, views of investor are described in fuzzy sets, and two fuzzy Black-Litterman models are constructed with fuzzy views and fuzzy random views respectively. In the models, expected returns and uncertainty matrix of views are redefined and the views are formulated by fuzzy approaches suitably. Then the models are tested with data from Chinese financial markets. Empirical results show that the fuzzy random views model performs the best, and both the fuzzy models are better than the traditional ones, demonstrating that the fuzzy approaches can contain more information in the views and measure the uncertainty more correctly.     

低电压低功耗音频Σ-Δ ADC调制器设计

针对应用于音频设备中的∑-ΔADC,提出一款改进的∑-ΔADC调制器.该调制器结构改进传统调制器的结构并对调制器系数进行优化,克服传统∑-ΔADC调制器结构的缺点,同时对调制器中的两个关键电路即OTA放大器和比较器也进行优化,极大改善了OTA放大器和比较器性能.改进后的调制器具有低电压、低功耗、高精度和较好的鲁棒性的特点.该调制器采用1.2 V低电压供电,过采样比(OSR)为128,采样频率为6.144 MHz,信号带宽为20 kHz.基于SMIC0.11μm的工艺下,完成了∑-ΔADC调制器的版图设计,并最终流片成功.芯片流片后的成测结果表明,调制器的信噪比达到102.4 dB,有效位达到16.7 bit,调制器的整体功耗仅1.17 mW左右,整个调制器的版图的面积仅为0.122 mm2左右.调制器的成测性能指标表明,该调制器是音频芯片中∑-ΔADC电路的良好选择.     

乡村振兴绩效评价:意义、维度与路径

2018年,中共中央、国务院印发《中国乡村振兴战略规划(2018-2022年)》,全面部署和布局乡村振兴战略.文章基于政府绩效评价的理念和方法,构建乡村振兴绩效评价指标体系,明确评价维度,为实现乡村振兴、城乡融合发展提供价值导向、度量体系和动力工具.该评价维度包涵资源投入、过程监管、目标实现情况和社会满意度四个方面.文章指出,相关单位以绩效评价推进乡村振兴时应注重顶层设计,强化部门协同,构建评价体系,引入第三方评价主体,凸显农民获得感.