基于可接受性标准的复杂产品仿真系统在线评估框架

针对当前复杂仿真系统评估的滞后性问题,提出了基于可接受性标准(Acceptability Criteria,AC)的仿真在线评估方法。通过定性和定量AC到指标的映射模型来建立评估指标体系;引入指标集和评估函数,提出了仿真评估流程有限自动机七元组模型,给出仿真流程到评估自动机的映射关系和基于数据驱动的状态转移机制,实现评估过程自动化执行过程;基于上述成果设计了在线评估工具,通过案例验证了在线评估方法的有效性,表明该方法能够有效解决仿真系统评估滞后性问题。     

The predictability of stock market volatility in emerging economies: Relative roles of local,regional, and global business cycles

This paper explores the role of business cycle proxies, measured by the output gap at the global, regional, and local levels, as potential predictors of stock market volatility in the emerging BRICS nations. We observe that the emerging BRICS nations display a rather heterogeneous pattern when it comes to the relative role of idiosyncratic factors as a predictor of stock market volatility. While domestic output gap is found to capture significant predictive information for India and China particularly, the business cycles associated with emerging economies and the world in general are strongly important for the BRIC countries and weakly for South Africa, especially in the postglobal financial crisis era. The findings suggest that despite the increase in the financial integration of world capital markets, emerging economies can still bear significant exposures to idiosyncratic risk factors, an issue of high importance for the profitability of global diversification strategies.     

On implementing the symbolic preprocessing function over Boolean polynomial rings in Gröbner basis algorithms using linear algebra

Some techniques using linear algebra was introduced by Faugère in F4 to speed up the reduction process during Gr?bner basis computations.These techniques can also be used in fast implementations of F5 and some other signature-based Gr?bner basis algorithms.When these techniques are applied,a very important step is constructing matrices from critical pairs and existing polynomials by the Symbolic Preprocessing function(given in F4).Since multiplications of monomials and polynomials are involved in the Symbolic Preprocessing function,this step can be very costly when the number of involved polynomials/monomials is huge.In this paper,multiplications of monomials and polynomials for a Boolean polynomial ring are investigated and a specific method of implementing the Symbolic Preprocessing function over Boolean polynomial rings is reported.Many examples have been tested by using this method,and the experimental data shows that the new method is very efficient.     

Advance selling in the presence of product diffusion effect

Product diffusion refers to the phenomenon that the later demand is dependent on the early sales. To investigate how a firm’s advance selling strategy is affected by the effect of product diffusion, we consider a monopolist seller who sells a fashionable product in a market that comprises of myopic and strategic consumers over two periods (i.e., the advance selling season and the regular selling season). For a linear product diffusion effect we find that, when the effect of product diffusion is positive, the seller may set an extremely high advance selling price to induce the strategic consumers to purchase in the regular selling season, which is counter-intuitive. Moreover, the optimal procurement quantity for the seller may increase in the negative effect of product diffusion and decrease in the amount of strategic consumers. When we extend our model to consider a concave quadratic product diffusion effect, however, the optimal procurement quantity is concave in the amount of strategic consumers. Numerical studies are further presented to discuss the managerial insights.     

朝鲜崖柏生境及高生长规律分析

采用标准地调查法测定朝鲜崖柏的土壤特征、林下植被和高生长规律.结果表明:朝鲜崖柏生长于土层较薄且呈弱酸性的山地暗棕壤,不同标准地林下植被差异明显;不同标准地朝鲜崖柏树高的年生长量均呈逐年下降趋势.     

基于局部紧耦合结构的模块性优化社区检测方法

利用局部紧耦合结构提升社区检测的模块性优化质量.首先,定义了4类边缘紧耦合结构,并提出了一种具有线性复杂度的边缘紧耦合结构挖掘算法.其次,分别选择k-clique,k-clan,k-plex结构作为核心紧耦合结构,并以长结构优先和短结构优先2种策略将边缘与核心紧耦合结构合并.然后,将合并后的局部紧耦合结构融入模块性优化过程,提出了一种NFN算法.该算法将每个局部紧耦合结构初始化为独立社区,不断凝聚模块性增量最大的2个社区,直至找到预定义数量的社区.6个真实数据集上针对外部指标和内部指标的实验结果均表明,相比于传统的FN算法,NFN算法能发现更高质量的社区.在参数设置方面,长结构优先策略优于短结构优先策略,且采用k-clique结构作为核心紧耦合结构优于采用其他结构.因此,长结构优先策略结合k-clique成为NFN算法的最佳参数组合.     

沪深300股指期货与现货的波动关系研究

随着高频数据获取的便利性,采用高频数据研究金融市场的波动越来越普遍。沪深300股指期货市场的迅速发展使得股指期货与现货市场的波动关系研究成为热点。采用MEM模型,对股指期货与现货市场的连续成分(连续样本路径方差)之间和跳跃成分(离散跳跃方差)之间的关系进行研究。结果表明,现货跳跃成分对期货跳跃成分的溢出效应大于期货跳跃成分对现货跳跃成分的溢出效应;现货连续成分对期货连续成分的溢出效应大于期货连续成分对现货连续成分的溢出效应。现货与期货之间的波动溢出效应主要体现在二者的连续成分上。     

Flame spread over the surface of thermal insulation materials in different environments

Experiments were conducted in a plateau area in Lhasa and a plain area in Hefei China to investigate the flame spread characteristics on thermal insulation materials under different environmental conditions (pressure and oxygen concentration).Molded polystyrene foam (EPS) and extruded polystyrene foam (XPS) samples were placed horizontally on a small-scale flame spread experimental bench.Changes in the average length of the pool fire,flame spread speed,average flame height,and length of preheating zone were used to determine the effect of the plateau and plain environments on flame spread characteristics.These parameters were all larger in Hefei than in Lhasa,which indicates the fire hazard in Hefei will be higher than that in Lhasa if insulation materials of the same size are used.     

交通工程成本控制与管理的研究

交通工程施工企业合理制定加强成本控制的方案和措施,建立和完善成本控制体系,提高成本控制的有效性,抓好招标、施工、竣工验收阶段的各环节,完善成本控制核算制度,努力降低成本,才能提高企业的效益.