Modeling of frequency containment reserve prices with econometrics and artificial intelligence

The forecasting of prices for electricity balancing reserve power can essentially improve the trading positions of market participants in competitive auctions. Having identified a lack of literature related to forecasting balancing reserve prices, we deploy approaches originating from econometrics and artificial intelligence and set up a forecasting framework based on autoregressive and exogenous factors. We use SARIMAX models as well as neural networks with different structures and forecast based on a rolling one-step forecast with reestimation of the models. It turns out that the naive forecast performs reasonably well but is outperformed by the more advanced models. In addition, neural network approaches outperform the econometric approach in terms of forecast quality, whereas for the further use of the generated models the econometric approach has advantages in terms of explaining price drivers. For the present application, more advanced configurations of the neural networks are not able to further improve the forecasting performance.     

Activation of the innate immune receptor Dectin-1 upon formation of a 'phagocytic synapse'

Innate immune cells must be able to distinguish between direct binding to microbes and detection of components shed from the surface of microbes located at a distance. Dectin-1 (also known as CLEC7A) is a pattern-recognition receptor expressed by myeloid phagocytes (macrophages, dendritic cells and neutrophils) that detects β-glucans in fungal cell walls and triggers direct cellular antimicrobial activity, including phagocytosis and production of reactive oxygen species (ROS). In contrast to inflammatory responses stimulated upon detection of soluble ligands by other pattern-recognition receptors, such as Toll-like receptors (TLRs), these responses are only useful when a cell comes into direct contact with a microbe and must not be spuriously activated by soluble stimuli. In this study we show that, despite its ability to bind both soluble and particulate β-glucan polymers, Dectin-1 signalling is only activated by particulate β-glucans, which cluster the receptor in synapse-like structures from which regulatory tyrosine phosphatases CD45 and CD148 (also known as PTPRC and PTPRJ, respectively) are excluded (Supplementary Fig. 1). The 'phagocytic synapse' now provides a model mechanism by which innate immune receptors can distinguish direct microbial contact from detection of microbes at a distance, thereby initiating direct cellular antimicrobial responses only when they are required.     

Divalent metal ion buffers with low pH-sensitivity

Zusammenfassung Es werden Puffersysteme für divalente Metallionen beschrieben, die im Bereich von etwa pH 6–10 gegenüber den herkömmlichen Metallpuffern eine bemerkenswert niedrige pH-Abhängigkeit der Metallionenkonzentration und der Pufferkapazität zeigen.Die Puffersysteme bestehen aus einem starken Komplexbildner (vorzugsweise einer Polyaminocarbonsäure) und zwei verschiedenen, divalenten Metallionen, die bezüglich der Bindung durch den Komplexbildner in Konkurrenz stehen. Dasjenige Metallion, dessen Konzentration gepuffert werden soll, wird als Primärion bezeichnet. Das zweite Ion, das Sekundärion genannt wird, soll vom Komplexbildner mindestens um den Faktor 10–100 schwacher gebunden werden.Die Gesamtkonzentration des Primärions ist geringer als diejenige des Komplexbildners, während die Summe der Gesamtkonzentrationen der beiden divalenten Metallionen höher ist als diejenige des Komplexbildners.Die Konzentration des freien Primärions kann in den beschriebenen Puffersystemen auf drei verschiedene Arten variiert werden: 1. durch Änderung der Gesamtkonzentration des Primärions, 2. durch Änderung der Gesamtkonzentration des Sekundärions, und 3. durch die Wahl eines passenden Komplexbildners mit entsprechenden Metallionen- und Protonendissoziationskonstanten.

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Acknowledgments. The author wishes to thank MissU. Stechert for the design of the graphs. This work was supported by a grant of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft.     

Epstein--Barr virus-induced cell fusion

Serological and molecular biological studies have shown an association between Epstein--Barr virus (EBV) and nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Although it has been shown that the epithelioid tumour cells carry EBV genomes, they are apparently devoid of receptors for EBV (H.W., unpublished observations). Other have suggested that fusion of EBV carrying cells with epithelial cells may be the mode of entry of the virus into cells unable to absorb the virus and that this may be mediated by one of the known syncytium-forming viruses which inhabit the respiratory tract (for example, members of the paramyxovirus group). de Thé and colleagues suggested that intercellular bridges could be seen in NPC tumour material. We have developed a technique which permits the preparation of stable monolayers of viable human lymphoblastoid cell lines. Using this technique we have now demonstrated that EBV can induce fusion between EBV-superinfected lymphoblastoid cells and cells devoid of EBV receptors.     

Enhancing Organisational Innovation Capability Through Systemic Action Research: A Case of a Swiss SME in the Food Industry

This paper presents detailed insights into the nature of innovation dynamics of an SME operating in the food industry. Furthermore, the paper highlights how Action Research has changed and enhanced SME??s capability to innovate. Within the exploratory action research based case study described in this article, the researchers interacted closely with one company with regards to a newly launched innovation process over a time period of more than 18 months. The analysis contributes to the fields of action research and innovation research in three respects: First, it exemplifies how systemic action research as a method can be applied on the organisational level in the private sector. Second, it demonstrates how useful action research can be for fostering the innovativeness and creativity of a company. Lastly, the analysis illustrates the extensive time horizon of an action research project.     

Distinct memory traces for two visual features in the Drosophila brain

The fly Drosophila melanogaster can discriminate and remember visual landmarks. It analyses selected parts of its visual environment according to a small number of pattern parameters such as size, colour or contour orientation, and stores particular parameter values. Like humans, flies recognize patterns independently of the retinal position during acquisition of the pattern (translation invariance). Here we show that the central-most part of the fly brain, the fan-shaped body, contains parts of a network mediating visual pattern recognition. We have identified short-term memory traces of two pattern parameters--elevation in the panorama and contour orientation. These can be localized to two groups of neurons extending branches as parallel, horizontal strata in the fan-shaped body. The central location of this memory store is well suited to mediate translational invariance.