基于神经网络和微分对策理论的制导律

根据微分对策制导律目前面临的困境,本文尝试将神经网络引入微分对策制导律。采用ＢＰ模型,将微分对策的定量和定性分析结合起来。以导弹与飞机格斗为例,探讨其实现的可能性和优点,为将来发展基于微分对策理论的智能制导律提供了一定的思路。     

Underdetermined DOA estimation and blind separation of non-disjoint sources in time-frequency domain based on sparse representation method

This paper deals with the blind separation of nonstation-ary sources and direction-of-arrival （DOA） estimation in the under-determined case, when there are more sources than sensors. We assume the sources to be time-frequency （TF） disjoint to a certain extent. In particular, the number of sources presented at any TF neighborhood is strictly less than that of sensors. We can identify the real number of active sources and achieve separation in any TF neighborhood by the sparse representation method. Compared with the subspace-based algorithm under the same sparseness assumption, which suffers from the extra noise effect since it can-not estimate the true number of active sources, the proposed algorithm can estimate the number of active sources and their cor-responding TF values in any TF neighborhood simultaneously. An-other contribution of this paper is a new estimation procedure for the DOA of sources in the underdetermined case, which combines the TF sparseness of sources and the clustering technique. Sim-ulation results demonstrate the validity and high performance of the proposed algorithm in both blind source separation （BSS） and DOA estimation.     

Multi-dimensional scattering properties diagnosis system of scale aircraft model in an anechoic chamber

Aiming at the concept of ＂diagnosis＂, a simple and effective broadband radar cross section （RCS） measurement system is constructed, and some multi-dimensional scattering properties diagnosis techniques are presented based on the system. Firstly, a stepped-frequency signal is employed to achieve high range resolution, combining with a variety of signal processing tech- niques. Secondly, cross-range resolution is gained with a rotating table, and the high-resolution two-dimensional （2-D） imaging of the scale model is obtained by the microwave imaging theory. Finally, two receiving antennas with a small distance in altitude are used, and the three-dimensional （3-D） height distribution of scattering points on the scale model is extracted from the phase of images. Some typical bodies and a scale aircraft model are diagnosed in an anechoic chamber. The experimental results show that, after scaling with a metal sphere, the accurate one- dimensional （l-D） RCS pattern of the model is obtained, and it has a large dynamic range. When the bandwidth of the transmitting signal is 4 GHz, the resolution of the 2-D image can reach to 0.037 5 m. The 3-D height distribution of scattering points is given by interferometric measurement. This paper provides a feasible way to obtain high-precision scattering properties parameters of the scale aircraft model in a conventional rectangular anechoic chamber.     

Consistency analysis of accelerated degradation mechanism based on gray theory

A fundamental premise of an accelerated testing is that the failure mechanism under elevated and normal stress levels should remain the same. Thus, verification of the consistency of failure mechanisms is essential during an accelerated testing. A new consistency analysis method based on the gray theory is pro- posed for complex products. First of all, existing consistency ana- lysis methods are reviewed with a focus on the comparison of the differences among them. Then, the proposed consistency ana- lysis method is introduced. Two effective gray prediction models, gray dynamic model and new information and equal dimensional （NIED） model, are adapted in the proposed method. The process to determine the dimension of NIED model is also discussed, and a decision rule is expanded. Based on that, the procedure of ap- plying the new consistent analysis method is developed. Finally, a case study of the consistency analysis of a reliability enhancement testing is conducted to demonstrate and validate the proposed method.     

Evidence for self-organized criticality in unscheduled downtime data of equipment

How to reduce downtime and improve availability of the complex equipment is very important. Although the unscheduled downtime（USDT） issues of the equipment are very complex, the self-organized criticality（SOC） is the right theory to study complex systems evolution and opens up a new window to the investigation of disasters, such as the sudden failure of the equipment. Firstly,SOC theory and its validation method are introduced. Then an SOC validation method for USDT of the equipment is proposed based on the above theory. Case study is done on bottleneck equipment in a factory and corresponding data pre-process work is done. The rescaled-range（R/S） analysis method is used to calculate the Hurst exponent of USDT time-series data in order to determine the long-range correlation of USDT data on time scale;at the same time the spatial power-law characteristic of USDT time series data is studied. The result shows that the characteristics of SOC are revealed in USDT data of the equipment according to the criterion of SOC. In addition, based on the characteristics of SOC,the overall framework of the prediction method for major sudden failure of the equipment is proposed based on SOC.     

泥石流拦挡坝总坝高设定及坝后淤积计算

泥石流沟道治理中拦挡坝总坝高的设定和坝后淤积率的计算涉及治理工程的安全和经济效益,是一个无法回避的难点。以武都区已治理的23条沟道(共布设112道拦挡坝)作为研究对象进行比较分析,采用直线相关的回归方程对经验公式进行优化。结果表明:泥石流沟道运行9～11 a后,武都区43%的泥石流治理沟道总库容淤积和单坝淤积不足50%,属于过度治理;优化后的拦挡坝总高度计算公式既考虑了泥石流沟道治理的安全,又考虑了治理效益的最大化,更符合设计要求;推导的坝后回淤比降计算公式与原沟床建立了线性关系,便于设计人员应用,其计算结果约为治理前沟床比降的0.49～0.61倍,在前人研究的区间内,具有科学性和实用性。以上研究为武都区泥石流拦挡坝设计、创新及管理提供了可靠依据。     

船艏泵喷射侧向推力水动力计算

给出了船艏泵喷射侧向推力的水动力计算，并对两种泵的出口段形状作了比较，从而得出较好的出口段，并选择合适的水泵，为改善船舶操纵性能提供一种可行的方法．     

内燃机配气机构传动链脱节概率

以某型发动机配气机构传动链为研究对象,应用随机摄动和概率可靠性等分析方法,建立了配气机构脱节概率可靠性数学模型.当配气机构基本随机变量为正态分布时,提出了传动链脱节的可靠性分析方法.通过算例分析获得了凸轮在不同运动阶段的传动链脱节概率,以及在不同转速下的脱节失效概率,并且随着转速升高传动链发生脱节的概率也会升高,与实际情况相符合,进一步表明了所提方法的正确性.此外,通过分析脱节的原因,提出了为降低脱节概率而应采取的方法,为今后内燃机配气机构传动链的可靠性设计提供了理论依据.     

通过四倍体补偿实验证明iPS细胞具有发育全能性

本研究首次利用诱导性多能干细胞(iPS细胞)通过四倍体囊胚注射得到存活并具有繁殖能力的小鼠。研究中,我们制备了37株iPS细胞系,其中3株iPS细胞系获得了共计27个活体小鼠,经多种分子生物学技术鉴定,证实该小鼠确实从iPS细胞发育而成。其中一些小鼠现已发育成熟并且繁殖了后代,这是世界上第一次获得完全由iPS细胞制备的活体小鼠,有力地证明了iPS细胞具有真正的全能性。这项工作为进一步研究iPS技术在干细胞、发育生物学和再生医学领域的应用提供了技术平台,将iPS细胞研究推到了新的高度,也为中国在这一国际热点研究领域取得领先地位做出了重要的贡献。     

单个水滴蒸发过冷过程的特性分析

为分析单个水滴在低温、低湿空气中的运动和蒸发特性,建立了描述整个传热传质及运动过程的数学模型,并通过对悬挂水滴的蒸发冷却实验验证了该模型的有效性.通过模拟计算获得了水滴温度、直径、速度和运动轨迹的变化规律,以及水滴初始参数和空气速度对制冰效率的影响.结果表明,水滴在某一喷射角度下,直径越小,同样的下落高度水滴水平飞行的距离越短,而相应的速度衰减则越快,同时水滴蒸发过冷所需的时间越短.另外,水滴初始温度越低和逆流空气速度越高,在很短的下落高度内,水滴就实现了过冷,而水滴直径的变化量随着初始水温和空气流速的增大而增大,因此对雾化水滴进行预冷却不仅可提高系统制冰效率,还能减少水滴的蒸发损失.