能源供求予测模型

本文论述了三种予测能源需求的方法,并对其作了评价;提出了一种能源供应予测模型;最后对我省能源、经济、予测研究提出了建议。     

预测我国钢铁工业发展趋势的递归模型

本文根据我国钢铁工业生产特点,建立了60多个变量、28个方程的递归模型,描述了钢铁工业生产的结构形式,确定了主要生产环节的生产函数,给出了各种经济变量间的相互关系,预测了我国矿、铁、钢、钢材、产值等28个主要的内生变量的未来值,分析了“七五”、“八五”、“九五”三个五年计划可达指标、发展速度及保证条件。经过1984年的实际检验,证明模型的预测效果良好。     

Resource Search in Unstructured Peer-to-Peer System Based on Multiple-Tree Overlay Structure

We propose a multiple-tree overlay structure for resource discovery in unstructured P2P systems. Peers that have similar interests or hold similar type of resources will be grouped into a tree-like cluster. We exploit the heterogeneity of peers in each cluster by connecting peers with more capacities closer to the root of the tree. The capacity of a peer can be defined in different ways （e.g. higher network bandwidth, larger disk space, more data items of a certain type etc.） according to different needs of users or applications.     

On the verge of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Umdeutung</Emphasis> in Minnesota: Van Vleck and the correspondence principle. Part one

In October 1924, The Physical Review, a relatively minor journal at the time, published a remarkable two-part paper by John H. Van Vleck, working in virtual isolation at the University of Minnesota. Using Bohr’s correspondence principle and Einstein’s quantum theory of radiation along with advanced techniques from classical mechanics, Van Vleck showed that quantum formulae for emission, absorption, and dispersion of radiation merge with their classical counterparts in the limit of high quantum numbers. For modern readers Van Vleck’s paper is much easier to follow than the famous paper by Kramers and Heisenberg on dispersion theory, which covers similar terrain and is widely credited to have led directly to Heisenberg’s Umdeutung paper. This makes Van Vleck’s paper extremely valuable for the reconstruction of the genesis of matrix mechanics. It also makes it tempting to ask why Van Vleck did not take the next step and develop matrix mechanics himself. This paper was written as part of a joint project in the history of quantum physics of the Max Planck Institut für Wissenschaftsgeschichte and the Fritz-Haber-Institut in Berlin.     

The Response of Debris-Flow Events to Solar Proton Flares （Ⅰ）

By analyzing the observation data from Dongchuan Debris Flow Observation and Research Station and historical data from year 1965 to 1990 gotten from National Astronomical Ob-servatories/Yunnan Observatory,the responding of debris flow in Jiangjia Ravine to Solar Proton Flare is studied. The following conclusion can be drawn. Solar Proton Flare,as one of most im-portant astronomical factors,affects the activity of debris flow in Yunnan. Generally,from 1965 to1990,the more active Solar Pro-ton Flare is,the greater the probability of high frequency and large runoff of debris flow is. On the contrary,the less active Solar Pro-ton Flare is,the greater the probability of low frequency,small runoff,and low sediment transport of debris flow is.     

一类仓库货物储存模型经典解的存在唯一性

文章用特征线法给出一类仓库货物储存模型解的递推表达式,并证明其光滑性从而得到了经典解的存在唯一性。     

对优秀跳远运动员助跑准确性的研究

通过对全国第十届运动会37名男女跳远运动员比赛的调查和分析,研究表明：第一，运动员的前三轮试跳助跑准确性、稳定性较好，而在后三轮试跳助跑准确性、稳定性较差，极大地影响了他们正常水平的发挥．第二，心理因素对跳远助跑的准确性有较大的影响,建议在今后的训练中加强在特殊状态下助跑技术稳定性的训练．     

基于PLC的温度控制在电镀生产线中的应用

介绍了以三菱FX0NPLC为核心的温度控制系统在电镀生产线中的应用。简述了温度控制原理,论述了控制系统的设计方案及其软硬件的实现方法。实践表明该方法简单易行,适应性好,可靠性高。     

Development of Full Automatic External Welding Machine for Annular Welds of Pipeline

To meet the demands of rapid development of pipeline constructions in China, a complete set of full automatic external welding machine for annular welds of pipeline and welding procedure have been developed thereof. The system has been applied in the “West-East Pipeline Project” and its performance is proven. With this welding machine the welding parameters can be either preset before or adjusted in real time during the welding process, which avoids the blemishes of same type domestic and international products. Thus it is best propitious to in-situ construction conditions and workers‘ technical level in China. In this article the development of mechanical and control systems of this product is introduced and typical welding procedure parameters are provided.     

关于艺术设计中基础课程设置的思考

目前,我国的设计教育基础课程的设置仍存在很大的问题.基础课程的设置,应该成为艺术设计学科建设的焦点和重点.艺术设计基础课程,应把重点放在意识的培养与技术的训练上.根据我国现有设计专业的特点,应该设置理论基础课和专业基础课两类艺术设计基础课程.