Inapparent infections and cholera dynamics

In many infectious diseases, an unknown fraction of infections produce symptoms mild enough to go unrecorded, a fact that can seriously compromise the interpretation of epidemiological records. This is true for cholera, a pandemic bacterial disease, where estimates of the ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic infections have ranged from 3 to 100 (refs 1-5). In the absence of direct evidence, understanding of fundamental aspects of cholera transmission, immunology and control has been based on assumptions about this ratio and about the immunological consequences of inapparent infections. Here we show that a model incorporating high asymptomatic ratio and rapidly waning immunity, with infection both from human and environmental sources, explains 50 yr of mortality data from 26 districts of Bengal, the pathogen's endemic home. We find that the asymptomatic ratio in cholera is far higher than had been previously supposed and that the immunity derived from mild infections wanes much more rapidly than earlier analyses have indicated. We find, too, that the environmental reservoir (free-living pathogen) is directly responsible for relatively few infections but that it may be critical to the disease's endemicity. Our results demonstrate that inapparent infections can hold the key to interpreting the patterns of disease outbreaks. New statistical methods, which allow rigorous maximum likelihood inference based on dynamical models incorporating multiple sources and outcomes of infection, seasonality, process noise, hidden variables and measurement error, make it possible to test more precise hypotheses and obtain unexpected results. Our experience suggests that the confrontation of time-series data with mechanistic models is likely to revise our understanding of the ecology of many infectious diseases.     

Genotype, haplotype and copy-number variation in worldwide human populations

Genome-wide patterns of variation across individuals provide a powerful source of data for uncovering the history of migration, range expansion, and adaptation of the human species. However, high-resolution surveys of variation in genotype, haplotype and copy number have generally focused on a small number of population groups. Here we report the analysis of high-quality genotypes at 525,910 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and 396 copy-number-variable loci in a worldwide sample of 29 populations. Analysis of SNP genotypes yields strongly supported fine-scale inferences about population structure. Increasing linkage disequilibrium is observed with increasing geographic distance from Africa, as expected under a serial founder effect for the out-of-Africa spread of human populations. New approaches for haplotype analysis produce inferences about population structure that complement results based on unphased SNPs. Despite a difference from SNPs in the frequency spectrum of the copy-number variants (CNVs) detected--including a comparatively large number of CNVs in previously unexamined populations from Oceania and the Americas--the global distribution of CNVs largely accords with population structure analyses for SNP data sets of similar size. Our results produce new inferences about inter-population variation, support the utility of CNVs in human population-genetic research, and serve as a genomic resource for human-genetic studies in diverse worldwide populations.     

香草醛缓释剂的合成和水解性能的测定——一种长效植物生长激素

以DMSO为溶剂、对甲苯磺酸或浓硫酸作催化剂,由聚乙烯醇和香草醛制备了聚乙烯醇缩香草醛,其缩醛度可达55%。室温下该缩醛可水解而缓慢释放出香草醛。     

A late-differentiation antigen associated with the helper inducer function of human T cells

T lymphocytes possessing helper function produce soluble factors that greatly augment B-cell proliferation and differentiation into antibody-secreting cells. In humans the subset of T lymphocytes bearing the T4 surface antigen comprises most of the cells that display helper activity and recognize class II antigens of the major histocompatibility complex (MHC), while the subset bearing the T8 antigen comprises T cells recognizing class I MHC antigens and exhibiting cytotoxic or suppressor function. Monoclonal antibodies to T4 or T8 greatly inhibit the cognitive and effector function of cells with the corresponding phenotype. This function/phenotype correlation is not absolute, however, for there are many examples of T8-positive clones that recognize MHC class II antigens and have helper activity, as well as of T4-positive clones with suppressor or cytotoxic function. Recently a family of cell-surface neoantigens, which might be relevant to T-cell function and which are present on activated but not on resting T lymphocytes, has been identified in mouse and humans using monoclonal antibodies. Some of these antibodies block the cytolytic activity of alloreactive T-cell clones, suggesting the possible involvement of such molecules in the activation of cytotoxic T-cell clones or in the lytic process itself. We now describe a similar late-differentiation antigen (LDA1) that is expressed by human T lymphocytes only following activation and is recognized by a monoclonal antibody that inhibits the antibody-inducing helper function of T lymphocytes.     

Movement, distribution, and predation: Lepidomeda vittata and nonnative salmonids in eastern Arizona

Nonnative rainbow trout ( Oncorhynchus mykiss ) are stocked into several reservoirs in the range of federally threatened Little Colorado spinedace ( Lepidomeda vittata ), and so have the opportunity to negatively impact Little Colorado spinedace populations. We examined rainbow trout escapement from Nelson Reservior into Nutrioso Creek, critical habitat for L. vittata . We also examined movements of L. vittata and incidence of predation by rainbow trout on L. vittata . We detected no movement of rainbow trout out of Nelson Reservoir over 4 years of study. Lepidomeda vittata marked in 3 streams did not move much; but sample sizes were too small to make any meaningful conclusions regarding movement. Most L. vittata we captured during surveys subsequent to marking were unmarked, suggesting movement out of the study area, low tag retention, mortality, or failure to capture marked fish. Lepidomeda vittata co-occurred with O. mykiss , Salmo trutta , and Salvelinus fontinalis and were typically less than half the size of the sympatric nonnative salmonids. Consequently, they are potential prey fish for these species. We found fish remains in stomachs of 33% of S. trutta , 6% of O. mykiss and 25% of S. fontinalis examined, but remains of L. vittata were found only in a single S. trutta . Because S. fontinalis are rare in the streams examined, they probably do not pose a great threat to L. vittata . Salmo trutta , which are no longer stocked, had the highest piscivory level and may thus pose more of a threat to L. vittata than O. mykiss .     

Association of Rhabdocline needle blight and epicormic branching in Douglas-fir

In northern Utah, Douglas-firs ( Pseudotsuga menziesii [Mirb.] Franco) with symptoms of Rhabdocline needle blight had a significantly higher frequency of epicormic branching than did healthy trees. It is not known whether Rhabdocline infection stimulates epicormy, or whether the proliferation of epicormics increases resistance to the disease.     

中东

Thomson Reuters 发布的全球系列研究报告表明,以阿拉伯、伊朗、土耳其为主的中东国家的科学研究与西文国家相比落后许多.当然,也有部分中东的科学家或研究机构从事着世界一流的研究工作.事实上,论文数量及引文指标都清晰地表明,近10年中东地区的研究工作有了很大的进步,表现出了鼓舞人心的发展趋势.     

中国西南地区地壳运动的GPS监测

通过１９９１￣１９９７年期间对中国西南地区ＧＰＳ（全球定位系统）载波相位测量,建立了青藏高原东部及相邻地区现代地壳运动的速度场,相对于成都,川滇地块及其以西的速度大多为５￣１０ｍｍ／ａ,鲜水河－小江断裂以东的川青地块和扬子地块运动微弱,约为０￣７ｍｍ／ａ,２个地区都表现为顺时钟的涡旋运动,而没有明显的地壳物质向东挤出或逃逸,地壳变形主要型式为顺时针旋卷构造和块体边界断裂的非均一滑动。