ANALYSIS OF THE MECHANISM MODELS OF TECHNOLOGICAL INNOVATION DIFFUSION＊

This paper analyzes the mechanism and principle of diffusion of technology diffusion on the basis of quantitative analysis. Then it sets up the diffusion model of innovation incorporating price, advertising and distribution, the diffusion model of innovation including various kinds of consumers, and the substitute model between the new technology and the old one applied systems dynamics, optimization method, probabilistic method and simulation method on computer, Finally this paper concludes with some practical observations from a case study.     

长期投资决策的风险度及其应用

在回顾对投资风险论述的基础上,针对长期投资决策问题,应用信息论的理论与方法,引入投资风险度,并就其性质进行讨论．给出了带风险度的长期投资决策的净现值分析方法,同时用实例予以示范     

通过闭合回路的感应电流与电量——试析电磁感应中两公式成立的条件

本文对大学普通物理教科书中有关描述电磁感应定律的两个公式：即计算“闭回路中感应电流”与“通过回路的感应电量”公式进行了讨论,认为这两式成立是有前提条件的,也就是：闭合回路中的电导率（或电阻率）是均匀（处处相等）分布的。     

单种群杆菌生长反应扩散型动力学方程的行波解及其稳定性分析

以细胞生物学理论为基础，细菌细胞发育周期形态和群体细菌分裂相数量的变化为依据，针对单种群杆菌生长问题，应用非线性系统动力学方法，建立了其状态演化的反应扩散型动力学方程，并对该体系的行波解及稳定性进行了讨论，为完善生物波理论做了有益探索．     

汶川特大地震灾后重建工程工期影响因素分析

从灾后重建工程的建设规模、投资金额、延续周期及项目类型等四个方面,探究灾后重建工程进度的系统性、紧迫性、动态性和阶段性等工程进度特征;依据多国建设工期影响因素的比较分析结论,探讨时汶川特大地震灾后重建工程工期影响因素,其结果表明:工期主要影响因素是资金、物资、环境、管理;并对灾后重建工程的进度管理提出相应措施建议,以期为重建建设工程的实践提供一些参考.     

高校计算机网络实验教学模式研究

本文根据计算机网络实验的特点,结合学生的实际情况,对实验教学模式包括的教学策略、目标与任务、内容、过程和组织形式等方面作了一些探讨,阐述了计算机网络实验教学模式。     

人力资本的激励机制

文章阐述了人力资本的激励机制及其六种主要方法。     

Optimum Distribution of Plant Production in Qingchuan County

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Health management based on fusion prognostics for avionics systems

Health management permits the reliability of a system and plays a increasingly important role for achieving efficient system-level maintenance.It has been used for remaining useful life(RUL) prognostics of electronics-rich system including avionics.Prognostics and health management(PHM) have become highly desirable to provide avionics with system level health management.This paper presents a health management and fusion prognostic model for avionics system,combining three baseline prognostic approaches that are model-based,data-driven and knowledge-based approaches,and integrates merits as well as eliminates some limitations of each single approach to achieve fusion prognostics and improved prognostic performance of RUL estimation.A fusion model built upon an optimal linear combination forecast model is then utilized to fuse single prognostic algorithm representing the three baseline approaches correspondingly,and the presented case study shows that the fusion prognostics can provide RUL estimation more accurate and more robust than either algorithm alone.     

西藏自治区科技发展研究

本文分析了西藏自治区在新形势下的科技发展的规划，应用统计方法对科技各个方面的可持续发展问题进行了评价研究。