中国药品集中采购政策解读与实证分析

2018年底伊始的国家药品集中采购迄今为止已实施三轮,共涉及112个品种,预计每年约可节省医保药品支出539亿元.对三轮集中采购规则进行解读和实证分析,发现:选区规则对竞价结果具有显著性影响;熔断机制理论上会受到成本因素约束,实践中仍发挥了一定效果.国家药品集中采购促进了中国医药市场基于质量和成本的竞争,推动行业集中度...     

锈蚀钢筋混凝土桥梁力学性能研究综述(Ⅱ)

根据国内外已有的锈蚀钢筋混凝土构件力学性能研究成果,分析了各种研究锈蚀钢筋混凝土构件力学性能的试验方法的特点及其适用性,总结了各种不同受力形式锈蚀钢筋混凝土构件的承载力模型,讨论了各种模型的优缺点和适用范围.最后根据存在的问题,对锈蚀钢筋混凝土构件的力学性能的研究进行了展望和建议.     

The industrial asymmetry of the stock price prediction with investor sentiment: Based on the comparison of predictive effects with SVR

As a representative emerging financial market, the Chinese stock market is more prone to volatility because of investor sentiment. It is reasonable to use efficient predictive methods to analyze the influence of investor sentiment on stock price forecasting. This paper conducts a comparative study about the predictive performance of artificial neural network, support vector regression (SVR) and autoregressive integrated moving average and selects SVR to study the asymmetry effect of investor sentiment on different industry index predictions. After studying the relevant financial indicators, the results divide the Shenwan first-class industries into two types and show that the industries affected by investor sentiment are composed of young companies with high growth and high operative pressure and there are a great number of investment bubbles in those companies.     

时变海场景双基SAR回波实时模拟方法研究

基于时变海场景双站散射机理,结合双基合成孔径雷达(SAR,Synthetic Aperture Radar)成像几何模型,提出了一种时变海场景双基SAR射频回波信号实时模拟方法。针对时变海场景的复杂耦合散射,采用多径近似理论建立了双基SAR海面目标回波信号模型,提取了时变海面双基SAR系统响应函数,结合高性能计算技术、同步动态随机存取(SDRAM)技术以及全系统交换设计,实现了时变海场景双基SAR射频回波信号实时模拟,最后仿真测试结果验证了该方法的有效性。     

考虑关键性的多约束下辐射干扰对消装备随舰备件配置优化方法

可用度是评估备件对装备完好性影响的重要指标,针对备件关键性对装备可用性造成影响而又难以将其考虑在内建立可用度模型的问题,以舰载通信电台辐射干扰对消装备为对象,采用对备件关键性实行专家打分的方法,将备件关键性作为备件配置优化的约束之一,建立以备件费用、备件体积、备件关键性为约束的备件配置优化模型。在备件费用、体积及关键性归一化的基础上,采用权重因子方法将多约束转化为单一约束,并给出了权重因子更新方法。列举案例,分别计算了费用约束、体积约束、关键性约束和多约束下的备件方案,并对比了装备改进前后的备件配置方案,将装备使用过程中的备件保障延伸至装备可靠性设计阶段。案例分析结果表明:备件配置方法在考虑了体积、费用等限制约束下,能同时兼顾备件关键性对装备完好性的影响;装备可靠性设计时,提高装备可靠性低的现场可更换单元(line replaceable unit, LRU)等薄弱点,能有效减少装备维修保障资源。     

A novel fully-integrated miniature six-axis force/torque sensor

This paper presents a new designed miniature six DOF （degree of freedom） force/torque sensor. This sensor is fully integrated with a micro DSP （digital signal processor）, so all the signal conditioning, A/D, decoupling, digital-signals serial output are performed in the sensor. Some experimental results are presented to demonstrate the capability of the proposed design. Finally, a neural network was used for decoupling the interacting signals, compared with the conventional method using the inverse matrix, this new method is more accurate.     

GMCL： a robust global localization method for mobile robot

A large sample size is required for Monte Carlo localization （MCL） in multi-robot dynamic environ- ment, because of the ＂kidnapped robot＂ phenomenon, which will locate most of the samples in the regions with small value of desired posterior density. For this problem the crossover and mutation operators in evolutionary computation are introduced into MCL to make samples move towards the regions where the desired posterior density is large, so that the sample set can represent the density better. The proposed method is termed genetic Monte Carlo localization （GMCL）. Application in robot soccer system shows that GMCL can considerably reduce the required number of samples, and is more precise and robust in dynamic environment.     

初始损伤对钢的延性起裂韧性影响的细观力学分析

通过力学参数测量和微观观察研究了初始损伤对钢的延性起裂韧性影响.研究结果表明,随钢组织在预加载荷中产生的微孔洞初始损伤量的增加,其延性起裂韧性降低.并进一步对初始损伤孔洞在后续加载中的演化行为的细观有限元力学进行模拟计算及微孔洞初始损伤对钢的延性起裂韧性影响的机理进行了研究.计算结果表明,初始大尺寸孔洞长大速度比较快,且在这些孔洞之间存在变形局部化,容易诱发二次小孔洞的形核和长大,从而使一次初始大孔洞连接,使材料延性起裂,因而大尺寸初始损伤孔洞主导了材料的延性起裂.随初始损伤量的增加,大尺寸孔洞的数量和尺寸增加,使孔洞聚合(延性起裂)时的应变降低,这也就是随着预载荷比P0/Pgy的增加,材料的延性起裂韧性Pi/Pgy降低的细观力学原因.     

分布式呼叫中心系统的设计

呼叫中心目前在各行各业中有着广泛的应用,但由于传统的集中式呼叫中心系统中存在语音服务平台和具体业务平台没有分离的缺点,对业务扩展产生了较大的阻碍。本文提出的分布式呼叫中心系统结构通过使用互联网络并采用分布式处理的思想对原有系统进行改造,将业务与呼叫中心通讯和设备控制分离,实现分布式的信息处理并简化业务流程控制,使系统整体的可扩展性和可维护性得到提升。     

某大跨度变截面连续箱梁桥时程分析

基于通用有限元程序软件对某桥进行了时程分析,并把理论分析计算结果与实测值进行比较分析,分析结果有助于了解该桥的结构受力性能。