Modeling eBay price using stochastic differential equations

Online auctions have become increasingly popular in recent years. There is a growing body of research on this topic, whereas modeling online auction price curves constitutes one of the most interesting problems. Most research treats price curves as deterministic functions, which ignores the random effects of external and internal factors. To account for the randomness, a more realistic model using stochastic differential equations is proposed in this paper. The online auction price is modeled by a stochastic differential equation in which the deterministic part is equivalent to the second‐order differential equation model proposed in Wang et al. (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2008, 103, 1100–1118). The model also includes a component representing the measurement errors. Explicit expressions for the likelihood function are also obtained, from which statistical inference can be conducted. Forecast accuracy of the proposed model is compared with the ODE (ordinary differential equation) approach. Simulation results show that the proposed model performs better.     

激光冲击强化对Ti2AlNb合金微观组织及残余应力的影响

Ti2AlNb(O-Ti2AlNb)具有优异的力学性能,在航空发动机方面有远大应用前景.激光冲击强化(Laser Shock Peening,LSP)是一种先进的表面改性技术,能够在材料表面诱导产生高幅值、大深度的残余压应力,改善材料微观组织,提高材料抗疲劳、高温氧化等性能.本文采用激光冲击强化对Ti2AlNb合金进行表面改性,并研究其组织演变、残余应力以及高温环境对性能的影响.结果表明:激光冲击强化能够显著减小Ti2AlNb合金近表面的晶粒尺寸.显微硬度由冲击前的350 HV提升到395 HV;在冲击区域近表面产生了约-377 MPa的残余压应力;而在高温环境中,由激光冲击强化所诱导的材料近表面残余应力随时间逐渐释放,在600℃条件下,残余应力释放较为缓慢;而在720℃条件下,残余应力迅速释放.     

改进蚱蜢算法在电动汽车充换电站调度中的应用

电动汽车充换电站调度优化问题一般采用群智能优化算法求解，但现有算法存在陷入局部最优、早熟收敛等缺陷，因此提出一种改进的蚱蜢算法:采用边界反弹机制，提高算法效率;引入正余弦搜索机制，加强算法的全局搜索能力;采用Lévy飞行对粒子进行随机扰动，防止种群陷入局部最优;采用非线性收敛策略加快算法后期的收敛速度.实验结果表明，该算法在电动汽车充换电站调度优化问题上，性能优于原始蚱蜢算法以及其他现有群智能算法.     

水溶性La_(0.88)Sr_(0.12)MnO_3纳米粒子的非水相合成

采用纳米微乳液法,以三嵌段共聚物聚氧乙烯-聚氧丙烯-聚氧乙烯(PEO-PPO-PEO)为表面活性剂,乙酰丙酮镧(III),乙酰丙酮锰(III)和乙酰丙酮锶(II)为前驱体,1,2-十六烷二醇为还原剂成功合成了水溶性La0.88Sr0.12MnO3纳米粒子.FT-IR分析证实该纳米粒子表面存在PEO-PPO-PEO分子,XRD和TEM分析表明该纳米粒子基本上呈球形、粒径分布窄、结晶度高,VSM测试表明该纳米粒子室温下显示软铁磁性.纳米粒子在水中快速和高效的分散收集过程,表明该纳米粒子具有良好的水溶性和磁操控性.     

面向中亚地区的多语种专业领域术语库及本体知识库构建

针对目前乌兹别克语、哈萨克语等中亚语种急缺专业领域词典、术语库及知识本体库的问题,文章以安全领域为例,利用现有术语作为种子词,自动采集维基百科及双语专业词典中的术语对,人工校对后构建了中型中、俄、乌、哈多语种专业领域术语库。以此术语库为基础,搭建了包含人员、组织、地域、技术、设备、活动、文件7大类及35个子类的领域本体,最后讨论了该专业术语库及领域本体库的扩展潜力和应用前景。本成果是一项重要的基础性工作,对中亚语种的术语词典编撰、术语学、自然语言处理和语言教学研究均有较大现实意义。     

中国大气颗粒物污染与致癌研究进展

 室外空气污染和污染空气中的颗粒物是一类致癌物，而近年中国的大气颗粒物污染仍然维持在较高浓度水平。通过综述中国近年大气颗粒物污染现状和开展的颗粒物致癌机制研究，分析中国研究中颗粒物有关实验动物致癌性的证据和颗粒物致癌的人群流行病学线索，阐述大气颗粒物与癌症的关系，提出中国亟需开展相关研究。     

基于风廓线雷达的降水云分类方法在海南地区的应用

将风廓线雷达用于热带降水云体进行垂直探测,可以实时对热带地区降水云体进行较准确分类.通过对海口地区降水云系特征(2017年1月～12月)进行统计分析,提出一套基于风廓线雷达探测数据(回波强度、垂直速度和速度谱宽)的热带降水云体分类方法.以该方法为基础,结合天气雷达等观测资料,对2017年发生在海口地区的两次降水过程展开详细分析.结果表明:风廓线雷达具备较好体现降水云体垂直结构的能力,相比于天气雷达,风廓线雷达探测数据可以更精细地描述降水云系的变化趋势;相比于传统降水分类方案,采用以风廓线雷达探测数据为基础的分类方案可以提高对复杂降水类型识别的正确率;风廓线雷达可以更好地描述快速过境的高空微弱对流系统.     

智能高速罐身电阻焊机数字化控制系统

提出了以国产MCT80 0 0F8运动控制器为核心的智能高速罐身电阻焊机数字化控制系统 ,并介绍了系统的组成、工作原理、硬件接口、电机控制方法以及伺服电机的运动关系数学模型 .新的系统有利于提高罐身电阻焊机的制罐生产速度 ,并具有功能全面、可靠性高、控制精确、开放性好以及成本较低等优点     

CHARACTERISTICS OF QUATERNARY AMMONIUM RESISTANT BACTERIA FROM A FINE PAPERMACHINE SYSTEM

To evaluate the biocide effect of quaternary ammonium chloride (QAC), a whitewater sample was taken from a fine papermachine headbox. By plate spreading method, 51 strains of facultative anaerobe were isolated morphologically. Then the strains were separately transferred to basal medium and were incubated before the beginning of log phase. To identify strains with different QAC resistance, 30-120 ppm of N-Alkyl-benzyl-dimethyl ammonium chloride were added to basal medium.Biocide effect was investigated by comparison of bacterial growth, which can be monitored by 600 nm light absorbance of basal medium suspension. Among 51 strains, only 2 strains can Survive for QAC concentration up to 120 ppm. API20E aud 16S rRNA gene sequencing technique were applied to identify two strains with highest (120 ppm)QAC resistance. One strain (HB22)was identified as Morganella morganii. HB22 can resist QAC concentration up to 150 ppm. HB22 is Gram-negative rod, motile with flagella, catalase positive, oxidase negative, Indole positive, H2S production negative, facultative anaerobe. HB22 has optimum growth condition of 35℃ and pH 7.0.HB22 can catabolize only glucose and D (+)-Mannose.The other (HB45) was identified with high similarity among Pseudomonas cf. monteili or Pseudomonas mosselii or Pseudomonas putida. HB45 can resist QAC concentration up to 200 ppm.HB45 is Gram-negative rod, motile with flagella,catalase positive, oxidase negative, Indole negative,H2S production negative, aerobe. HB45 has optimum growth condition of 30℃ and pH 7.4. HB45 can catabolize L-Arabinose, L(+)-Rhanmose, D (+)-Mannose, Glucose, Glycerol, Lactose, Maltose,Raffmose, Xylose, Cellulose and Xylan. The implication of this work to paper industry is also discussed.