A multiyear lags input-holding-output model on education with excluding idle capital

This paper develops a multi-year lag Input-Holding-Output (I-H-O) Model on education with exclusion of the idle capital to address the reasonable education structure in support of a sustainable development strategy in China. First, the model considers the multiyear lag of human capital because the lag time of human capital is even longer and more important than that of fixed capital. Second, it considers the idle capital resulting from the output decline in education, for example, student decrease in primary school. The new generalized Leonitief dynamic inverse is deduced to obtain a positive solution on education when output declines as well as expands. After compiling the 2000 I-H-O table on education, the authors adopt modifications-by-step method to treat nonlinear coefficients, and calculate education scale, the requirement of human capital, and education expenditure from 2005 to 2020. It is found that structural imbalance of human capital is a serious problem for Chinese economic development. This research was supporting by the Key Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 60874119, Innovation Funds of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Research Fund for Humanities and Social Sciences in colleges under Grant No. 06BJY102, Key project in Jiangxi Soft Science Project under Grant No. [2006]188, Jiangxi Research Fund for Humanities and Social Sciences in colleges under Grant No. 03JJ01, and Henan Research Fund for Humanities and Social Sciences in colleges under Grant No. 2008-ZD-002.     

基于时间优化的设备群维持随机模型

对于在工人完成任务效率具有随机性的情况下,如何合理组织一类可拆分设备维修以加快设备维修速度,从而增强企业竞争优势的问题,建立了基于时间优化的随机维修模型并对该模型进行讨论,最终形成了一个与之等价的可以进行求解的确定型模型。通过数值算例发现,在考虑随机性对维修效率的影响后,与认为工人完成任务效率固定的确定型模型相比,任务安排可能发生变化。     

运行状态逐渐恶化的同类设备流维修管理模型

大量同类设备的维修问题具有广泛的应用背景,这样的设置具有运行状态逐渐恶化的性质。虽然有许多文献对这类设备维修问题进行研究,但很少文献在建模中联合考虑其他同类设备运行状态及维修资源有限的情况。Venkatesh等人在这方面进行了开拓性的工作。然而他们只是对一个简单的设备流维修管理问题(FMP)问题进行了研究,仍然存在不足。本文尝试将问题进行扩展,讨论了一类具有多个运作方和维修方的设备流维修优化问题。通过仿真实验,将设备流维修管理与传统的基于条件的设备维修管理进行了比较。结果显示,本文提出的设备流维修策略可以获得更多收益。     

环境系统的临界性分析

讨论了环境系统临界性产生的一种可能机制及其临界特征.对湖泊富营养化模型的详细分析表明,其临界性来自于湖泊系统中的"S"形磷再循环过程.基于"S"形过程的普遍性,文章认为这可能是产生环境系统临界性的一种普遍机制,并建立了其动力学模型的一般形式.以此为基础,构造了一个包含"S"形过程的生物自净模型,该模型可以刻画因生物的污染净化能力变化所引起的临界性.对生物自净模型动态演化过程的数值模拟发现,其临界特征在污染治理中有重要意义,如果污染治理时刻晚于某个临界值,环境系统的演化轨迹将突然发生变化.     

基于模糊神经网络方法的新构造控水专家系统

在对大量野外地质资料统计和综合分析基础上，依据地质专家在新构造领域的理论知识和成功经验，运用模糊数学理论和神经网络理论相结合的方法，提出一种用线性单元并联实现非线性划分的神经元网络模型，并研制出相应具有较强推理能力和学习功能、广泛用于非定性系统数据处理的专家系统，该系统经实例验证具有较强的适用性。     

BP算法求解多元线性回归模型初探

提出求解多元线性回归模型系数的BP算法，给出该算法的数学描述、推导过程和计算机编程步骤，并结合实例说明。     

A hierarchical multiple criteria model for eliciting relative preferences in conflict situations

A multiple criteria decision analysis(MCDA) approach is designed for capturing the relative preference information of a decision maker involved in a conflict.More specifically,an MCDA approach based on the outranking method,ELECTRE III,is employed for ranking states or possible scenarios in the conflict from most to least preferred,where ties are allowed,for a decision maker according to his or her value system.To demonstrate how this preference elicitation methodology can be conveniently implemented in practice within the framework of the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution,it is applied to a real world water supply crisis which occurred in the town of North Battleford,located in the Canadian province of Saskatchewan.     

Process capability analysis and estimation scheme for autocorrelated data

<正>Autocorrelation is prevalent in continuous production processes,such as the processes in the chemical and pharmaceutical industries.With the development of measurement technology and data acquisition technology,sampling frequency is getting higher and the existence of autocorrelation cannot be ignored.This paper analyzes five estimation schemes of process capability for autocorrelated data.Comparisons among these schemes are discussed for small sample and large sample.In conclusion,this paper gives a procedure of process capability analysis for autocorrelated data.     

半主动空气弹簧悬挂系统控制策略及仿真分析

随着铁路不断提速，对车辆运行品质的要求也越来越高。半主动控制技术在机车车辆上的应用为进一步提高机车车辆动力学性能进而提高其运行品质开辟了新的途径。包括空气弹簧的二自由度悬挂系统的控制策略进行分析，结合控制策略提出了一套以调节空气弹簧节流孔直径从而改变悬挂系统阻尼为目的的半主动控制方案，运用计算机软件SIMULINK对半主动控制空气弹簧悬挂系统进行了仿真。研究结果表明，运用半主动控制技术可以得到更好的空气弹簧悬挂参数，提高整个悬挂系统的减振性能以改善车辆运行平稳性。     

风险、等效边际成本与投资规模

用金融期权的分析方法研究了非完全竞争市场条件下风险、企业的等效边际成本和投资规模之间的关系,并讨论了需求弹性和企业商品的市场占有率的影响．研究表明风险促使企业降低等效边际成本,导致边际成本随资本量递减企业增加投资,递增企业减少投资．需求弹性和企业商品的市场占有率对等效边际成本和投资规模也有明显的影响．