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This paper proposes the use of the bias‐corrected bootstrap for interval forecasting of an autoregressive time series with an arbitrary number of deterministic components. We use the bias‐corrected bootstrap based on two alternative bias‐correction methods: the bootstrap and an analytic formula based on asymptotic expansion. We also propose a new stationarity‐correction method, based on stable spectral factorization, as an alternative to Kilian's method exclusively used in past studies. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted to compare small‐sample properties of prediction intervals. The results show that the bias‐corrected bootstrap prediction intervals proposed in this paper exhibit desirable small‐sample properties. It is also found that the bootstrap bias‐corrected prediction intervals based on stable spectral factorization are tighter and more stable than those based on Kilian's stationarity‐correction. The proposed methods are applied to interval forecasting for the number of tourist arrivals in Hong Kong. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
433.
Potassium and sodium transport in non-animal cells: the Trk/Ktr/HKT transporter family 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
C. Corratgé-Faillie M. Jabnoune S. Zimmermann A.-A. Véry C. Fizames H. Sentenac 《Cellular and molecular life sciences : CMLS》2010,67(15):2511-2532
Bacterial Trk and Ktr, fungal Trk and plant HKT form a family of membrane transporters permeable to K+ and/or Na+ and characterized by a common structure probably derived from an ancestral K+ channel subunit. This transporter family, specific of non-animal cells, displays a large diversity in terms of ionic permeability,
affinity and energetic coupling (H+–K+ or Na+–K+ symport, K+ or Na+ uniport), which might reflect a high need for adaptation in organisms living in fluctuating or dilute environments. Trk/Ktr/HKT
transporters are involved in diverse functions, from K+ or Na+ uptake to membrane potential control, adaptation to osmotic or salt stress, or Na+ recirculation from shoots to roots in plants. Structural analyses of bacterial Ktr point to multimeric structures physically
interacting with regulatory subunits. Elucidation of Trk/Ktr/HKT protein structures along with characterization of mutated
transporters could highlight functional and evolutionary relationships between ion channels and transporters displaying channel-like
features. 相似文献
434.
The developmental dynamics of the maize leaf transcriptome 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
435.
Hüffmeier U Uebe S Ekici AB Bowes J Giardina E Korendowych E Juneblad K Apel M McManus R Ho P Bruce IN Ryan AW Behrens F Lascorz J Böhm B Traupe H Lohmann J Gieger C Wichmann HE Herold C Steffens M Klareskog L Wienker TF Fitzgerald O Alenius GM McHugh NJ Novelli G Burkhardt H Barton A Reis A 《Nature genetics》2010,42(11):996-999
Psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is an inflammatory joint disease that is distinct from other chronic arthritides and which is frequently accompanied by psoriasis vulgaris (PsV) and seronegativity for rheumatoid factor. We conducted a genome-wide association study in 609 German individuals with PsA (cases) and 990 controls with replication in 6 European cohorts including a total of 5,488 individuals. We replicated PsA associations at HLA-C and IL12B and identified a new association at TRAF3IP2 (rs13190932, P = 8.56 × 10?1?). TRAF3IP2 was also associated with PsV in a German cohort including 2,040 individuals (rs13190932, P = 1.95 × 10?3). Sequencing of the exons of TRAF3IP2 identified a coding variant (p.Asp10Asn, rs33980500) as the most significantly associated SNP (P = 1.13 × 10?2?, odds ratio = 1.95). Functional assays showed reduced binding of this TRAF3IP2 variant to TRAF6, suggesting altered modulation of immunoregulatory signals through altered TRAF interactions as a new and shared pathway for PsA and PsV. 相似文献
436.
Experimental modeling is the construction of theoretical models hand in hand with experimental activity. As explained in Section 1, experimental modeling starts with claims about phenomena that use abstract concepts, concepts whose conditions of realization are not yet specified; and it ends with a concrete model of the phenomenon, a model that can be tested against data. This paper argues that this process from abstract concepts to concrete models involves judgments of relevance, which are irreducibly normative. In Section 2, we show, on the basis of several case studies, how these judgments contribute to the determination of the conditions of realization of the abstract concepts and, at the same time, of the quantities that characterize the phenomenon under study. Then, in Section 3, we compare this view on modeling with other approaches that also have acknowledged the role of relevance judgments in science. To conclude, in Section 4, we discuss the possibility of a plurality of relevance judgments and introduce a distinction between locally and generally relevant factors. 相似文献
437.
438.
Machnicka B Grochowalska R Bogusławska DM Sikorski AF Lecomte MC 《Cellular and molecular life sciences : CMLS》2012,69(2):191-201
This review focuses on the recent advances in functions of spectrins in non-erythroid cells. We discuss new data concerning
the commonly known role of the spectrin-based skeleton in control of membrane organization, stability and shape, and tethering
protein mosaics to the cellular motors and to all major filament systems. Particular effort has been undertaken to highlight
recent advances linking spectrin to cell signaling phenomena and its participation in signal transduction pathways in many
cell types. 相似文献
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